420 Market · Highspire, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
THIS IS PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD "AS IS" "WHERE IS". BUYER OR BUYER'S AGENT TO VERIFY SQUARE FOOTAGE AND PUBLIC UTILITIES OF THE LOT. 418–420 Market Street presents a rare chance to reimagine a property with room to grow. With two separately deeded lots included, the layout creates opportunities for expansion, redevelopment, income potential, or a customized long-term project. The existing house requires major improvements and may appeal to buyers looking to start fresh with a new build tailored to their goals. A detached barn on the additional parcel adds another layer of versatility, offering potential for studio space, storage, trades use, hobby space, or future
Key facts
- Detached barn
- Nearby highways
- Major travel routes
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership: Fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Semi-detached structure; Above-grade living space (estimated finished area: 1,622)
- Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Other above-grade structures
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent paid annually; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (all upper levels)
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Basement present (other type)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $571 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.0% in Highspire — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,272 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Steelton-Highspire SD (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #538 of 539 in PA (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Steelton-Highspire Hs (math 2% / reading 6%, grade F, #434 of 437 statewide, top 99%, 599 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $90k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.19%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,041
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -59.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 High St | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,562 (+1%) | 9mo | $189,500 | $121 | 88 |
| 417 Eshelman St | 0.23mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,476 (-5%) | 6mo | $159,000 | $108 | 71 |
| 508 Eshelman St | 0.30mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,464 (-5%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $143 | 71 |
| 1987 Market Street Ext | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-10%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $146 | 67 |
| 462 Elizabeth St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,368 (-12%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $139 | 58 |
| 1821 Lexington Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 | 1,696 (+10%) | 10mo | $269,900 | $159 | 58 |
| 667 Eshelman St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,609 (+4%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $118 | 56 |
| 1204 Georgetown Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,631 (+5%) | 4mo | $207,000 | $127 | 55 |
| 1781 Lakeside Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,408 (-9%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $185 | 54 |
| 1690 Lakeside Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,408 (-9%) | 9mo | $214,000 | $152 | 47 |
| 1100 Georgetown Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-10%) | 8mo | $211,000 | $151 | 43 |
| 21 Race St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,747 (+13%) | 7mo | $103,400 | $59 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $40,473
- Equity at exit
- $33,167
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.06×
- Total profit
- $102,365
- Equity at exit
- $46,030
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17034
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,710 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$270 /mo · $3,243/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $571
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $622 | -5% $597 | +0% $571 | +5% $546 | +10% $520 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $436 | -5% $504 | +0% $571 | +5% $639 | +10% $706 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $616 | -0.5pp $594 | base $571 | +0.5pp $548 | +1.0pp $524 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 502 Eshelman St Highspire, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,585 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1239 Amber Ln Harrisburg, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1414 | $2,260 | $1.60 | 14d | 9 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-05-06status Active
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-04-09$90,000 Active
-
2021-09-10soldstatus $42,000
-
2021-05-07soldstatus $42,000
-
2011-09-01historical
-
2011-09-01historical
-
2010-11-11$65,000
-
2010-11-11$65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,243 · $270/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,243 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$3,243
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,641
- − Management
- −$1,641
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $5,883
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,412
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,441/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Steelton-Highspire SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222800
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,685
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10040
- State rank
- #538 of 539 in PA
Livability — Highspire
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #1272
- US rank
- #15383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Highspire, PA
- City population
- 2,988
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,988
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 7%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.52%
- Current HPI
- 266.3558
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+38.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2011-09-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-09-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-11-11 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-11-11 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $3,243 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…