1707 State St · Rush, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $946 – $6,584
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming and ready to make your own, this home needs your vision and finishing touch! Large back deck with spectacular views await. Seller has recently added a new roof to the home. In addition, as of 02-09-2024 seller is completing the following: framing, siding and other upgrades to the property. See notes about adjoining property.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
- Listed 1200 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Total below-grade area approximately 615 (unfinished); Above-grade finished area estimated at 1,806; above-grade unfinished about 206
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric heating; Electric service available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property; Below-average condition; Estimated year built
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on lot; Other above- and below-grade structures noted
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (details not specified)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on main level; Rooms include: Living Room, Kitchen, Additional Bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD (town): math 42% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #258 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $943 of equity ($276 loan paydown + $667 appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 1200 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask is 33% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $314/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 1200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.40%
- DSCR
- 4.40
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $27,576
- Equity at exit
- $15,035
- IRR
- 47.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.96×
- Total profit
- $66,539
- Equity at exit
- $21,124
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16666
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,195 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$7 /mo · $87/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$314 /mo · $3,765/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $397
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $420 | -5% $409 | +0% $397 | +5% $386 | +10% $327 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $303 | -5% $350 | +0% $397 | +5% $445 | +10% $492 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $418 | -0.5pp $408 | base $397 | +0.5pp $387 | +1.0pp $377 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 1200 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $39,900 Active 1197 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 1196 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 1195 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 1194 DOM
-
2025-01-20status Active
-
2025-01-10historical
-
2024-02-10price $39,900
-
2024-02-10status Active
-
2024-02-07historical
-
2023-11-17status Active
-
2023-11-15historical
-
2023-03-17price $24,900
-
2021-12-10$29,900 Active
-
2021-11-24historical
-
2021-11-24historical
-
2021-05-24$39,000
-
2021-05-23$39,000
-
2020-07-01historical
-
2019-11-25$15,900
-
2019-11-01historical
-
2019-03-07$15,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $87 · $7/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $359 · $30/mo
- Expected delta
- +$272/yr (+$23/mo · 312.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,344
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$87
- − Insurance
- −$3,964
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,148
- − Management
- −$1,148
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $4,602
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,105
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,665/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219020
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,645
- Composite
- 39.37/100
- National rank
- #3977
- State rank
- #258 of 539 in PA
Livability — Rush
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,774
Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 177,113 people
- By 2030
- 185,138 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 196,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 205,070 · +15.8%
- By 2075
- 217,575 · +22.8%
- By 2100
- 230,649 · +30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Centre
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.67%
- Current HPI
- 125.5277
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+150.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-20 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-10 Price Changed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-10 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-17 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-03-17 Price Changed $24,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-12-10 Listed $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-11-24 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-24 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-05-24 Listed $39,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-23 Listed $39,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-07-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-11-25 Listed $15,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-11-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-07 Listed $15,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-24.1%/yrLatest (2026): $87 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…