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218 French St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 83.19
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$114,900

218 French St · Buffalo, NY 14211
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,842 sqft · MultiFamily · 82 Days on market
Built 1930 4,140 sqft lot Est $196k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained two family home. 3/3 Double. Tenant occupied. Long term tenants that want to stay.

Key facts

  • Updated throughout
  • Newer kitchens
  • Convenient area

Tags

UPDATED THROUGHOUTNEW LAMINATE FLOORINGNEWER KITCHENSUPDATED MECHANICSSOLID ROOFCONVENIENT AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $114,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$196,098) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,929/mo this rent would consume 97% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $59k; list at $115k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $108,006 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.55%
Cap rate
22.17%
Cash-on-cash
56.69%
DSCR
3.52
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$196,098
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
218 French St 0.00mi 6/2.0 2,842 (0%) 2mo $105,000 $37 98
715 Woodlawn Ave 0.44mi 6/2.0 2,784 (-2%) 12mo $270,000 $97 66
1002 Humboldt Pkwy 0.64mi 6/2.0 2,684 (-6%) 8mo $185,750 $69 55
400 Winslow Ave 0.41mi 6/2.0 2,504 (-12%) 13mo $144,000 $58 50
25 Spiess St 0.36mi 6/3.0 2,607 (-8%) 22mo $275,000 $105 47
354 Koons Ave 0.58mi 6/2.0 2,579 (-9%) 13mo $100,000 $39 47
76 Girard Pl 0.50mi 6/2.0 2,492 (-12%) 22mo $155,000 $62 38
213 Winslow Ave 0.73mi 6/2.0 2,484 (-13%) 8mo $242,000 $97 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.6%
Equity multiple
4.26×
Total profit
$105,010
Equity at exit
$45,625
10-year hold
IRR
61.0%
Equity multiple
8.63×
Total profit
$245,587
Equity at exit
$65,937

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,929 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$615
Net cashflow
$1,520

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,005
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,599 -5% $1,560 +0% $1,520 +5% $1,480 +10% $1,440
Rent -10% $1,288 -5% $1,404 +0% $1,520 +5% $1,636 +10% $1,751
Rate -1.0pp $1,578 -0.5pp $1,549 base $1,520 +0.5pp $1,490 +1.0pp $1,460

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,929

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-01-15
    status Pending
  2. 2025-11-18
    status Active
  3. 2025-10-16
    listed $114,900 Active
  4. 2025-10-07
    historical
  5. 2025-08-19
    price $119,900
  6. 2025-07-17
    price $126,900
  7. 2025-05-19
    listed $132,900 Active
  8. 2019-04-12
    soldstatus $59,000 Closed Sale or Rented 98-char remark
    Show marketing remark (98 chars)

    Well maintained two family home. 3/3 Double. Tenant occupied. Long term tenants that want to stay.

  9. 2019-03-25
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 98-char remark
    Show marketing remark (98 chars)

    Well maintained two family home. 3/3 Double. Tenant occupied. Long term tenants that want to stay.

  10. 2019-03-08
    listed $64,900 Active 98-char remark
    Show marketing remark (98 chars)

    Well maintained two family home. 3/3 Double. Tenant occupied. Long term tenants that want to stay.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,148
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$1,724
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,812
− Management
−$2,812
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$17,448
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,187
After-tax cash flow
$14,051/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-15 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-18 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $114,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-07 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-19 Price Changed $119,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-07-17 Price Changed $126,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-05-19 Listed $132,900 WNYREIS
  • 2019-04-12 Sold (MLS) $59,000 WNYREIS
  • 2019-03-25 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2019-03-08 Listed $64,900 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…