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19 Walnut St Triplex
B Composite 71.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

19 Walnut St · Attica, NY 14011
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,408 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1865 8,910 sqft lot $83/sqft · 27% below area Est $275k · 27% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Long term owner has taken excellent care of this three unit. Very spacious apartments in the front and upper with the smaller apartment lower back. Full basement w/ exterior entrance. Mechanics are all regularly maintained or updated as needed. Worry free metal roof and ample parking for at least six vehicles. Nice shaded back yard. All units have washer/dryer hookups, two apartments have dedicated laundry rooms within the unit. Third apartment has washer/dryer within the unit in the corner of the kitchen. 1st floor front has covered front porch and large open floor plan. 2nd floor has charming covered porch as well! Back lower is a cozy one bedroom w/ lots of windows for natural light. All utilities separate except water/sewer. A must see for investors or a great owner occupy and let the rental income help with that mortgage payment. Great buy, take a look!

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Ample parking
  • Shaded back yard

Tags

FULL BASEMENTEXTERIOR ENTRANCEMETAL ROOFAMPLE PARKINGSHADED BACK YARDWASHER DRYER HOOKUPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $179/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#598 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Attica Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #326 of 590 in NY (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Wyoming County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wyoming County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1865 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $181,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1865 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
9.52%
Cash-on-cash
11.51%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$275,154
List price
$199,900
Delta
-27.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,919
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$46,151
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14011

Home prices YoY
-12.2%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
19.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,570 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$362 /mo · $4,340/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$540
Net cashflow
$537

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,890
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $650 -5% $594 +0% $537 +5% $480 +10% $424
Rent -10% $334 -5% $436 +0% $537 +5% $639 +10% $740
Rate -1.0pp $638 -0.5pp $588 base $537 +0.5pp $485 +1.0pp $433

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $2,570

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,900 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    price $199,900 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,900 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $219,900 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,900 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,900 Active 80 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,900 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $219,900 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,900 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,900 Active 74 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,900 Active 73 DOM
  17. 2026-04-15
    price $219,900 871-char remark
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    Long term owner has taken excellent care of this three unit. Very spacious apartments in the front and upper with the smaller apartment lower back. Full basement w/ exterior entrance. Mechanics are all regularly maintained or updated as needed. Worry free metal roof and ample parking for at least six vehicles. Nice shaded back yard. All units have washer/dryer hookups, two apartments have dedicated laundry rooms within the unit. Third apartment has washer/dryer within the unit in the corner of the kitchen. 1st floor front has covered front porch and large open floor plan. 2nd floor has charming covered porch as well! Back lower is a cozy one bedroom w/ lots of windows for natural light. All utilities separate except water/sewer. A must see for investors or a great owner occupy and let the rental income help with that mortgage payment. Great buy, take a look!

  18. 2026-03-19
    listed $229,900 Active 871-char remark
    Show marketing remark (871 chars)

    Long term owner has taken excellent care of this three unit. Very spacious apartments in the front and upper with the smaller apartment lower back. Full basement w/ exterior entrance. Mechanics are all regularly maintained or updated as needed. Worry free metal roof and ample parking for at least six vehicles. Nice shaded back yard. All units have washer/dryer hookups, two apartments have dedicated laundry rooms within the unit. Third apartment has washer/dryer within the unit in the corner of the kitchen. 1st floor front has covered front porch and large open floor plan. 2nd floor has charming covered porch as well! Back lower is a cozy one bedroom w/ lots of windows for natural light. All utilities separate except water/sewer. A must see for investors or a great owner occupy and let the rental income help with that mortgage payment. Great buy, take a look!

  19. 2026-03-15
    historical
  20. 2025-11-05
    price $234,900
  21. 2025-09-15
    listed $249,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,340 · $362/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,340 · $362/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,840
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$4,340
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,467
− Management
−$2,467
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$3,553
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$853
After-tax cash flow
$5,592/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Attica Central School District
NCES district ID
3603420
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$58,189
Composite
46.05/100
National rank
#2522
State rank
#326 of 590 in NY

Livability — Attica

Score
67/100
State rank
#598
US rank
#10877

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Attica, NY
Population (ZIP)
7,382

Population outlook (Wyoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,976 people
By 2030
37,826 · -3.0%
By 2040
35,585 · -8.7%
By 2050
32,841 · -15.7%
By 2075
25,920 · -33.5%
By 2100
19,082 · -51.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wyoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.2) · D 25.9% · R 74.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -48.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.2 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+51.0 2012: R+29.6 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.83%
Current HPI
279.5552
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $219,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $229,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-15 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed $234,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $249,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,340 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…