2812 Jenny Lind St · McKeesport, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
EASY TO SHOW VACANT LB GREAT BUY LEGAL DUPLEX SEPARATE UTILITIES $750. SELLING BONUS
Key facts
- 2,874 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1906
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking; Total of 3 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 3 stories; Resale property
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 26 x 117
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Basement present; Carpet flooring; Hardwood flooring; Tile flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 10.3% in McKeesport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,089 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, crime F.
- Mckeesport Area SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #499 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.54%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $20,583
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- 312.97%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2810 Jenny Lind St | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 | 1,852 (-3%) | 6mo | $19,900 | $11 | 90 |
| 1410 Craig St | 0.37mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 2,006 (+5%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $32 | 67 |
| 1312 Ross St | 0.38mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,800 (-6%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $69 | 66 |
| 1300 Pirl St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-6%) | 7mo | $13,250 | $7 | 63 |
| 323 24th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,764 (-8%) | 8mo | $134,900 | $76 | 62 |
| 2302-2304 Walnut St #2302 | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,846 (-3%) | 4mo | $133,790 | $72 | 61 |
| 1315 Packer St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,653 (-13%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $9 | 55 |
| 1316 Craig St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,653 (-13%) | 4mo | $127,500 | $77 | 54 |
| 1517 Beaver St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,815 (-5%) | 6mo | $38,000 | $21 | 51 |
| 1208 Meadow St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (-10%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $64 | 51 |
| 2622 Harrison St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,628 (-15%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $58 | 43 |
| 2623 Grandview Ave | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,660 (-13%) | 3mo | $147,000 | $89 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $15,964
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $52,196
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15132
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,297 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $919/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $467
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2807 Beaver St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1506 Freemont St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,295 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2408 McCarrell St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,195 | $0.84 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1217 Scott St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,165 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2311 Grandview Ave McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2550 | $1,250 | $0.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3710 Mayfair St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1314 | $1,095 | $0.83 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3211 Walnut St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 7d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1451 Jenny Lind St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1507 Carnegie Ave McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,699 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2212 Cronemeyer St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1720 | $1,375 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2618 Poinsettia Dr White Oak, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,599 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$100,000 Active 468-char remark
-
2026-04-23historical $1,395
-
2026-04-07price $1,395
-
2026-03-19$1,450
-
2026-03-19historical $1,450
-
2026-02-20$1,450
-
2026-01-08historical $1,450
-
2025-12-20$1,450
-
2025-12-15historical $1,450
-
2025-11-27price $1,450
-
2025-11-01$1,500
-
2025-11-01historical $1,500
-
2025-10-21$1,500
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2025-09-24price $105,000
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2025-09-08price $119,900
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2025-07-29price $129,900
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2025-07-10$135,000 Active
-
2024-01-04soldstatus $81,383
-
2023-07-25soldstatus $37,588
-
2012-11-07soldstatus $26,442
-
2009-08-25soldstatus $25,764
-
2009-04-09soldstatus $25,000
-
1995-03-02soldstatus $7,000
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
EASY TO SHOW VACANT LB GREAT BUY LEGAL DUPLEX SEPARATE UTILITIES $750. SELLING BONUS
-
1994-11-10$13,000
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
EASY TO SHOW VACANT LB GREAT BUY LEGAL DUPLEX SEPARATE UTILITIES $750. SELLING BONUS
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $919 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,131 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$212/yr (+$18/mo · 23.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,565
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$919
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,245
- − Management
- −$1,245
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $4,496
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,524/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mckeesport Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214940
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,779
- Composite
- 15.88/100
- National rank
- #9257
- State rank
- #499 of 539 in PA
Livability — McKeesport
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1089
- US rank
- #12321
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McKeesport, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 25,010
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,898
- Household income
- $35,397
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1239.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 35% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.01%
- Current HPI
- 145.195
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+553.8% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $85,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $95,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $100,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-23 Rental Removed $1,395 WPMLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $1,395 WPMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed for Rent $1,450 WPMLS
- 2026-03-19 Rental Removed $1,450 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-02-20 Listed for Rent $1,450 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-01-08 Rental Removed $1,450 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-12-20 Listed for Rent $1,450 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-12-15 Rental Removed $1,450 WPMLS
- 2025-11-27 Price Changed $1,450 WPMLS
- 2025-11-01 Listed for Rent $1,500 WPMLS
- 2025-11-01 Rental Removed $1,500 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-10-21 Listed for Rent $1,500 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $105,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $119,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-07-29 Price Changed $129,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-07-10 Listed $135,000 West Penn MLS
- 2024-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $81,383 Public Records
- 2023-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $37,588 Public Records
- 2012-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $26,442 Public Records
- 2009-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $25,764 Public Records
- 2009-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1995-03-02 Sold (MLS) $7,000 West Penn MLS
- 1994-11-10 Listed $13,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2026): $919 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…