11308 Stratton Rd · Congress, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this affordable country living dream! If you've been searching for a little acreage without breaking the bank, this property is a must-see! Inside, this home offers 3 beds, 1 and bathrooms as well as an extra room that can be used for an office, library, or an additional living room space. In the front, there is a 30x10 enclosed area, perfect for storage, a mudroom, or flexible use. Outside, you'll find a spacious 24x24 garage for vehicles, tools, or hobbies. You'll also find a chicken coop and a shipping container for additional storage. Key updates include, a new roof in 2021, hot water tank in 2025, and new fridge and stove in 2025. Make it your own! Come enjoy 2 acres in the countryside of Wayne County! Sellers are only entertaining cash offers at this time due to the ongoing process of converting the title to a deed.
Key facts
- 2 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1994
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Poultry coop on the property; Approximately 2 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Water softener
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms, living room, family room and other main living areas; Linoleum in kitchen and bathroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom and one half bathroom (two main-level bathrooms total)
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Window air-conditioning units
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Main-level laundry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($970/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (13.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 48/100 on livability (#1,178 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Northwestern Local (rural): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #206 of 656 in OH (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 284 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (42 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $130k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.67%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $75,857
- Equity at exit
- $117,024
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.03×
- Total profit
- $219,266
- Equity at exit
- $252,367
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44287
- Home prices YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,128 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $81
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-17status $129,900 Pending 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 692-char remark
-
2026-05-31$129,900 Active 23 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $898 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,462 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$564/yr (+$47/mo · 62.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,534
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,083
- − Management
- −$1,083
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$1,234
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$296
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,266/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwestern Local
- NCES district ID
- 3910033
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,164
- Composite
- 55.58/100
- National rank
- #1236
- State rank
- #206 of 656 in OH
Livability — Congress
- Score
- 48/100
- State rank
- #1178
- US rank
- #26117
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne · 117,095 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,892
- Household income
- $71,146
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6.1
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 116,616 people
- By 2030
- 116,214 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 113,891 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 109,009 · -6.5%
- By 2075
- 94,622 · -18.9%
- By 2100
- 70,577 · -39.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Romanian 5% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · German/W. Germanic 9% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.3) · D 29.9% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -39.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.3 2020: R+37.0 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 25.98%
- Current HPI
- 426.21
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+1137.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — ABOR
- 2026-04-15 Pending — ABOR
- 2026-04-15 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-10 Listed $129,900 ABOR
- 2026-04-10 Listed $129,900 MLSNOW
- 2000-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 1994-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $898 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…