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520 Willow Dr #111
B- Composite 69.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

520 Willow Dr #111 · Enumclaw, WA 98022
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured · 1269 Days on market
Built 1994 Fair condition $116/sqft · 7% above area Est $135k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious 3 Bedroom or 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Home in an All Age Community in Enumclaw. Sit on the Large front porch and Enjoy the Mountain View. Open Bright Kitchen With Light Wood Cabinets, and All Appliances will Stay. Huge Living Room and Dining Room With Cathedral Ceilings and a Free Standing Wood Burning Stove that heats the Whole House. Large Master Bedroom With Double Wall Closets. Master Bathroom with Shower. Second and Third Bedrooms are good Sized and One Could be used as an Office as well. Separate Utility room with Storage Cabinets. Nice Dry Storage Shed. Private Pet Friendly Fenced Back Yard with apple trees. Good size Full Length 3 Vehicle Driveway and Car Carport. Priced to Sell. T

Key facts

  • Built 1994
  • Listed 1269 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Taxes and specific assessed values excluded
  • Financial info: Land lease: $1,075; Listing terms: Cash, Conventional
  • HOA & community: Located in Mountain Meadows Community LLC (approx. 190 homes); Park amenities include clubhouse, common area, playground, trails, high-speed internet availability

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; RV parking available in community
  • Utilities: Public water (City of Enumclaw); City of Enumclaw sewer; PSE power; Cable connected (Xfinity); Internet connected (Xfinity)
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home (Fuqua); One story; Very good condition; Mobile home remains; Style: Manufactured - Double Wide
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Skirted with wood; Pillar/post/pier foundation with tie downs; Manufactured after 6/15/1976
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior/wood products; Paved lot; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl plank; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Wood heating (see remarks); Electric energy source (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Water heater (electric, located in closet); Skylights; Vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fan(s); Walk-in closet(s); Awnings; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 2.4% in Enumclaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#12 in WA, #222 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
  • Enumclaw School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #46 of 291 in WA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Southwood Elementary School (345 students, 38% FRL); Enumclaw Sr High School (1,339 students, 28% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 1269 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $145k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 1269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.78%
Cash-on-cash
19.60%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$134,893
List price
$145,000
Delta
7.49%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1106 Mountian Villa Loop 0.21mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (0%) 10mo $90,000 $72 78
206 Noble Fir Cir 0.21mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (0%) 11mo $70,000 $56 76
209 Noble Fir Cir #60 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 3mo $150,000 $112 76
1144 Douglas Fir 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 11mo $180,000 $134 74
926 Pine Dr 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (0%) 9mo $119,500 $96 74
201 Grand Fir Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,188 (-5%) 14mo $144,000 $121 73
943 Pine Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,244 (-0%) 16mo $210,000 $169 72
207 Noble Fir Cir 0.20mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (+8%) 3mo $140,000 $104 71
252 Grand Fir Dr #25 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,352 (+8%) 12mo $185,000 $137 67
1321 Spruce Dr 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-4%) 20mo $124,900 $104 66
300 Grand Fir Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-10%) 20mo $189,999 $170 61
2150 Oak Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,064 (-15%) 9mo $150,000 $141 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$17,426
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$76,374
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98022

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,108 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$443
Net cashflow
$597

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,353
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
141 Leos Pl Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,850 $2.18 43d 1 0.08mi
141 Leos Pl Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,825 $2.15 24d 1 0.08mi
653 Myrtine St Unit A Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,895 $2.23 22d 1 0.15mi
312 Charwila Ln Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 894 $1,750 $1.96 12d 1 0.41mi
250 Charwila Ln Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 894 $1,750 $1.96 2d 1 0.41mi
2630 Warner Ave Enumclaw, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 762 $2,000 $2.62 1d 1 0.49mi
847 Blake St Enumclaw, WA 3.0 1.0 1064 $2,000 $1.88 1d 1 0.52mi
750 Watson St N Enumclaw, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 771 $1,842 $2.39 1d 6 0.66mi
615 Watson St N Unit 617B Enumclaw, WA 2.0 1.0 960 $1,999 $2.08 1d 1 0.73mi
556 Bondgard Ave E Enumclaw, WA 3.0 2.0 1480 $2,995 $2.02 10d 1 1.01mi
1571 Kibler Ave Enumclaw, WA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,600 $2.17 20d 1 1.09mi
1571 Kibler Ave Enumclaw, WA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,600 $2.17 15d 1 1.09mi
320 Chinook Ave Enumclaw, WA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 923 $2,283 $2.47 1d 7 1.21mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 1269 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 1268 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 1267 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 1266 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 1264 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 1260 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 1259 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 1258 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 1255 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 1254 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 1253 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 1252 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 1251 DOM
  14. 2024-10-02
    status Active
  15. 2024-04-02
    status Active
  16. 2024-02-04
    status Active
  17. 2024-02-01
    historical
  18. 2023-12-06
    price $149,950
  19. 2023-11-25
    status Active
  20. 2023-11-15
    status Pending - Backup Offer Requested
  21. 2023-10-30
    price $154,950
  22. 2023-07-26
    status Active
  23. 2023-07-04
    status Pending
  24. 2022-12-15
    price $159,950
  25. 2022-11-18
    listed $169,000 Active
  26. 2000-06-01
    soldstatus $62,500
  27. 2000-04-06
    listed $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,297
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$1,522
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,024
− Management
−$2,024
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$5,211
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,251
After-tax cash flow
$5,911/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The property is in fair condition with moderate rehabilitation needed. The kitchen and bathroom require updates, and the exterior siding shows minor wear. Landscaping and curb appeal improvements would significantly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — Light wear on the wood
  • Major bathroom tiles — Outdated and cluttered with items
  • Minor exterior siding — Visible wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint and update kitchen cabinets — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace bathroom tiles — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances overall property value and appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · Light wear on the wood Minor $500–3,000
bathroom tiles · Outdated and cluttered with items Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Visible wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $16,000–56,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint and update kitchen cabinets — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace bathroom tiles — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances overall property value and appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Enumclaw School District
NCES district ID
5300001
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,441
Composite
55.21/100
National rank
#2736
State rank
#46 of 291 in WA

Livability — Enumclaw

Score
88/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#222

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute B+ Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Enumclaw, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
22,418
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
22,418
Household income
$120,406
Rent vs Own
18.8% rent · 81.2% own
Severe rent burden
382.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -605.16%
Current HPI
297.9161
Rent YoY
▲ 4.32%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+123.1% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $145,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-02 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-02 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-04 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-01 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-06 Price Changed $149,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-25 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-15 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-30 Price Changed $154,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-26 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-04 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-15 Price Changed $159,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-18 Listed $169,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-06-01 Sold (MLS) $62,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-04-06 Listed $65,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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