32179 Hidden Acre Dr · Millville, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath mobile home, with over 1,650 sq. ft of living space. This property is need of renovations and upgrades. The kitchen is a nice size, with plenty of space to make upgrades and add wanted features. There are hardwoods throughout the house that need some TLC and patching. The main bedroom has a full bath and there's one full bath in the main hallway. The exterior features an above ground swimming pool, extended deck, and a hot tub in a Gazebo. The property will need a clean out/trash out. Property values in the neighborhood are increasing with new builds, modulars, and trailers being added with the right upgrades this could make a sound investment.
Key facts
- Hot tub in a gazebo
- Extended deck
- 9,583 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $854 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 2.4% in Millville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#49 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $180k implies a 375% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.36%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $329,347
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -45.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $152,334
- Equity at exit
- $162,068
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 9.05×
- Total profit
- $405,672
- Equity at exit
- $349,506
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19945
- Home prices YoY
- 16.9%
- Active inventory
- 281
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,444 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $695/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$513
- Net cashflow
- $854
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35205 Tupelo Cir Frankford, DE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1046 | $2,444 | $2.34 | 13d | 21 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-14$189,900 Active 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath mobile home, with over 1,650 sq. ft of living space. This property is need of renovations and upgrades. The kitchen is a nice size, with plenty of space to make upgrades and add wanted features. There are hardwoods throughout the house that need some TLC and patching. The main bedroom has a full bath and there's one full bath in the main hallway. The exterior features an above ground swimming pool, extended deck, and a hot tub in a Gazebo. The property will need a clean out/trash out. Property values in the neighborhood are increasing with new builds, modulars, and trailers being added with the right upgrades this could make a sound investment.
-
1992-04-17soldstatus $37,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $695 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $869 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$174/yr (+$15/mo · 25.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,328
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$695
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,346
- − Management
- −$2,346
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $7,730
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,855
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,398/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Millville
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #13839
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,093
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,917
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 46.51%
- Current HPI
- 322.2407
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+401.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed $189,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1992-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $37,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $695 · -25.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…