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539 Sherman St Duplex
B+ Composite 75.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$84,999

539 Sherman St · Buffalo, NY 14211
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,061 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1910 3,300 sqft lot $41/sqft · 56% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity in the heart of Buffalo! This spacious multi-family property at 539 Sherman St offers over 2,000 sq ft of living space with strong income potential. Built in 1910, the property features 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths across two units, making it ideal for owner-occupants or savvy investors looking to expand their portfolio. Conveniently located near schools, public transportation, shopping, and downtown Buffalo amenities. With solid bones and plenty of upside, this property is ready for your vision and value-add improvements. Don’t miss the chance to bring this classic Buffalo property back to life!

Key facts

  • Conveniently located
  • 3,300 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

MULTI-FAMILY PROPERTYSTRONG INCOME POTENTIALCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDVALUE-ADD IMPROVEMENTSCLASSIC BUFFALO PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Operating expenses include electric, fuel, and water/sewer; Owner pays: other (see remarks)

Exterior

  • Parking: Two or more parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story building; Residential 2-unit zoning; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick, frame, and vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing (not new) construction
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Near public transit; Rectangular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit 1: Oven/Range, dining area with kitchen, eat-in kitchen; Unit 2: Dining area with kitchen, formal dining room
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Hot water heating
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Has heating
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater; Separate gas and electric meters for each unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 36.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,390/mo this rent would consume 112% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $85k implies a 467% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,449 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.99%
Cap rate
36.89%
Cash-on-cash
109.29%
DSCR
5.86
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$194,332
List price
$84,999
Delta
-56.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
236 Grey St 0.17mi 4/2.0 2,106 (+2%) 12mo $175,000 $83 78
352 Guilford St 0.29mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,088 (+1%) 14mo $120,000 $57 67
324 Carlton St 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,947 (-6%) 4mo $66,100 $34 64
41 Pershing Ave 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,938 (-6%) 17mo $145,000 $75 61
553 E North St 0.24mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,272 (+10%) 16mo $83,800 $37 53
443 Madison St 0.50mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,892 (-8%) 8mo $75,000 $40 51
53 Pershing Ave 0.32mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,360 (+14%) 11mo $149,000 $63 47
316 Dodge St 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,760 (-15%) 4mo $107,000 $61 40
65 Kingsley St 0.71mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,884 (-9%) 11mo $230,000 $122 39
143 Sobieski St 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,860 (-10%) 19mo $35,000 $19 34
131 Locust St 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,772 (-14%) 23mo $195,000 $110 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.05×
Total profit
$144,093
Equity at exit
$33,752
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.65×
Total profit
$324,939
Equity at exit
$48,778

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,390 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $353/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$712
Net cashflow
$2,167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $646
Max offer price $84,999
Occupancy floor 31%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,390

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 1848 $1,500 $0.81 23d 1 0.35mi
491 Emslie St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2488 $1,200 $0.48 14d 1 0.57mi
79 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2528 $1,250 $0.49 43d 1 0.79mi
73 Inter Park Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2080 $1,300 $0.62 14d 1 1.24mi
28 Lonsdale Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2735 $1,725 $0.63 43d 1 1.25mi
184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1496 $3,226 $2.16 14d 1 1.27mi
82 Butler Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2752 $1,300 $0.47 43d 1 1.28mi
563 Humboldt Pkwy Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2004 $1,200 $0.60 23d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,999 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,999 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,999 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,999 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,999 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,999 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,999 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,999 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,999 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,999 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,999 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,999 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,999 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,999 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-11
    listed $84,999 Active 629-char remark
  16. 2020-01-06
    soldstatus $15,000
  17. 2018-01-11
    soldstatus $14,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$353 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$895 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$542/yr (+$45/mo · 153.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,680
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$353
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,254
− Management
−$3,254
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$26,159
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,278
After-tax cash flow
$19,732/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+507.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $84,999 WNYREIS
  • 2020-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
  • 2018-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+38.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $353 · +231.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…