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B Composite 71.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$38,013

1804 N 2nd Ave · Denison, IA 51442
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1948 10,010 sqft lot ↓ 31% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ranch house in great neighborhood in Denison. Small town living affordably! Property needs TLC. Large corner lot, detached garage, great potential! Chek it out today, priced to sell! Sold As-Is.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1948

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($859 rent vs $38k).
  • Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 3.5% in Denison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#103 in IA, #2,053 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Denison Community School District (town): math 61% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #224 of 289 in IA (top 78%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Denison Elementary School (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #579 of 616 statewide, top 95%, 676 students, 60% FRL); Denison Middle School (math 63% / reading 70%, grade A-, #148 of 246 statewide, top 61%, 502 students, 66% FRL); Denison High School (math 59% / reading 69%, grade B-, #235 of 336 statewide, top 71%, 786 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crawford County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $38,013

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.26%
Cap rate
16.52%
Cash-on-cash
36.54%
DSCR
2.63
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$120,120
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 16th St N 0.16mi 2/1.0 858 (+2%) 17mo $124,500 $145 75
1615 4th Ave N 0.17mi 2/1.0 780 (-7%) 14mo $71,500 $92 69
616 N 18th St 0.37mi 2/1.0 960 (+14%) 8mo $155,000 $161 52
20 S 17th St 0.22mi 1/1.0 (-1) 736 (-12%) 15mo $105,000 $143 52
62 A Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 920 (+10%) 5mo $85,000 $92 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.4%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$14,549
Equity at exit
$5,668
10-year hold
IRR
39.5%
Equity multiple
4.71×
Total profit
$39,528
Equity at exit
$3,287

Cash invested: $10,644 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 51442

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$859 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$199
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,670/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$180
Net cashflow
$324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $449
Max offer price $38,013
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,503
Closing costs
$1,140
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2023-08-25
    status Pending
  2. 2023-08-18
    historical
  3. 2017-07-10
    soldstatus $38,100 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Ranch house in great neighborhood in Denison. Small town living affordably! Property needs TLC. Large corner lot, detached garage, great potential! Chek it out today, priced to sell! Sold As-Is.

  4. 2017-05-11
    historical
  5. 2017-04-25
    listed $38,013
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Ranch house in great neighborhood in Denison. Small town living affordably! Property needs TLC. Large corner lot, detached garage, great potential! Chek it out today, priced to sell! Sold As-Is.

  6. 2017-04-25
    listed $38,013 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Ranch house in great neighborhood in Denison. Small town living affordably! Property needs TLC. Large corner lot, detached garage, great potential! Chek it out today, priced to sell! Sold As-Is.

  7. 2008-11-12
    soldstatus $63,600
  8. 2007-05-15
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,670 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,670 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,305
− Mortgage interest
−$2,129
− Property taxes
−$1,670
− Insurance
−$190
− Repairs & maintenance
−$824
− Management
−$824
− Depreciation
−$1,106
Taxable income
$3,561
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$855
After-tax cash flow
$3,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Denison Community School District
NCES district ID
1908910
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$45,505
Composite
52.71/100
National rank
#1550
State rank
#224 of 289 in IA

Livability — Denison

Score
79/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#2053

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Denison, IA
City population
9,586
Population (ZIP)
9,586

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,186 people
By 2030
17,322 · +0.8%
By 2040
17,948 · +4.4%
By 2050
18,955 · +10.3%
By 2075
22,130 · +28.8%
By 2100
25,483 · +48.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 21% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Ukrainian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.8% · R 71.3%
2008→2024 swing
-48.6pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -43.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.5 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.48%
Current HPI
185.0169
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2023-08-25 Pending SWIAR
  • 2023-08-18 Delisted SWIAR
  • 2017-07-10 Sold (MLS) $38,100 GPRMLS
  • 2017-05-11 Delisted SWIAR
  • 2017-04-25 Listed $38,013 GPRMLS
  • 2017-04-25 Listed $38,013 SWIAR
  • 2008-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $63,600 Public Records
  • 2007-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,670 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…