3412 Union Ave Unit C4 · Cherry Hill Mall, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 41.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
All hardwood flooring 2 bedroom 1 full bath condo. It was renovated 7 years ago. It comes with storage space. Nice to have small family to own your home in NJ
Key facts
- $340 HOA
- Built 1991
- Listed 329 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-187/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (1.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Cherry Hill Mall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#87 in NJ, #2,267 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
- Pennsauken Township Board Of Education School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #410 of 472 in NJ (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: George B. Fine Elementary School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,225 of 1,303 statewide, top 95%, 282 students, 34% FRL); Howard M. Phifer Middle School (math 14% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 431 statewide, top 84%, 1,045 students, 43% FRL); Pennsauken High School (math 8% / reading 45%, grade F, #319 of 399 statewide, top 80%, 1,530 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 56% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 329 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $160k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 41% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 329 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.42%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-26,619
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-23,230
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08109
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,943 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$305 /mo · $3,658/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$340
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $-16
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $75 | -5% $30 | +0% $-16 | +5% $-61 | +10% $-106 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-169 | -5% $-92 | +0% $-16 | +5% $61 | +10% $138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $65 | -0.5pp $25 | base $-16 | +0.5pp $-57 | +1.0pp $-99 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8534 Orchard Ave Pennsauken, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,000 | $2.29 | 26d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 200 E Maple Ave Apt 13 Merchantville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 200 E Maple Ave Unit 10 Merchantville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 6d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 200 E Maple Ave Unit 08 Merchantville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 20d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6366 Rogers Ave Unit 3 Pennsauken Township, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 26d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 300 Monroe Ave Unit B Cherry Hill Township, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,250 | $2.50 | 26d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 42 W Maple Ave Merchantville, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 654 | $1,675 | $2.56 | 26d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1 Burroughs Mill Cir Cherry Hill, NJ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1142 | $2,812 | $2.46 | 0d | 23 | 1.28mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $340 · $4,080/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $160,000 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 326 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 325 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 324 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 323 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 317 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $160,000 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 311 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 310 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 309 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 308 DOM
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2026-05-01status Active 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
All hardwood flooring 2 bedroom 1 full bath condo. It was renovated 7 years ago. It comes with storage space. Nice to have small family to own your home in NJ
-
2026-01-18historical 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
All hardwood flooring 2 bedroom 1 full bath condo. It was renovated 7 years ago. It comes with storage space. Nice to have small family to own your home in NJ
-
2025-09-19price $160,000 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
All hardwood flooring 2 bedroom 1 full bath condo. It was renovated 7 years ago. It comes with storage space. Nice to have small family to own your home in NJ
-
2025-04-15$176,000 Active 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
All hardwood flooring 2 bedroom 1 full bath condo. It was renovated 7 years ago. It comes with storage space. Nice to have small family to own your home in NJ
-
2024-09-15historical
-
2024-04-07$176,000 Active
-
1994-04-19soldstatus $62,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,658 · $305/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,821 · $318/mo
- Expected delta
- +$163/yr (+$14/mo · 4.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 41% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$3,658
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,865
- − Management
- −$1,865
- − HOA
- −$4,080
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$2,570
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$617
- After-tax cash flow
- $429/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pennsauken Township Board Of Education School District
- NCES district ID
- 3412870
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,336
- Composite
- 20.48/100
- National rank
- #8573
- State rank
- #410 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Cherry Hill Mall
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #87
- US rank
- #2267
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 23,574
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,022
- Household income
- $90,242
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 874.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 31% Black 18% Two or more races 11% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 20% Vietnamese 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.50%
- Current HPI
- 331.3072
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+154.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-04-15 Listed $176,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-04-07 Listed $176,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $62,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,658 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…