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3412 Union Ave Unit C4
D Composite 42.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

3412 Union Ave Unit C4 · Cherry Hill Mall, NJ 08109
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 994 sqft · Condo public records · 329 Days on market
Built 1991 $340/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

All hardwood flooring 2 bedroom 1 full bath condo. It was renovated 7 years ago. It comes with storage space. Nice to have small family to own your home in NJ

Key facts

  • $340 HOA
  • Built 1991
  • Listed 329 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-187/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (1.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Cherry Hill Mall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#87 in NJ, #2,267 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
  • Pennsauken Township Board Of Education School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #410 of 472 in NJ (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: George B. Fine Elementary School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,225 of 1,303 statewide, top 95%, 282 students, 34% FRL); Howard M. Phifer Middle School (math 14% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 431 statewide, top 84%, 1,045 students, 43% FRL); Pennsauken High School (math 8% / reading 45%, grade F, #319 of 399 statewide, top 80%, 1,530 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 56% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 329 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $160k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 41% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 329 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.42%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-26,619
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-23,230
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08109

Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,943 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$305 /mo · $3,658/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$340
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$-16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,963
Max offer price $157,242
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $75 -5% $30 +0% $-16 +5% $-61 +10% $-106
Rent -10% $-169 -5% $-92 +0% $-16 +5% $61 +10% $138
Rate -1.0pp $65 -0.5pp $25 base $-16 +0.5pp $-57 +1.0pp $-99

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8534 Orchard Ave Pennsauken, NJ 2.0 1.0 875 $2,000 $2.29 26d 1 0.60mi
200 E Maple Ave Apt 13 Merchantville, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 4d 1 0.86mi
200 E Maple Ave Unit 10 Merchantville, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 6d 1 0.86mi
200 E Maple Ave Unit 08 Merchantville, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 20d 1 0.86mi
6366 Rogers Ave Unit 3 Pennsauken Township, NJ 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 26d 1 0.93mi
300 Monroe Ave Unit B Cherry Hill Township, NJ 3.0 1.0 900 $2,250 $2.50 26d 1 0.96mi
42 W Maple Ave Merchantville, NJ 1.0 1.0 654 $1,675 $2.56 26d 1 1.23mi
1 Burroughs Mill Cir Cherry Hill, NJ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1142 $2,812 $2.46 0d 23 1.28mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$340 · $4,080/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $160,000 Active 329 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 326 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 325 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 324 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 323 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 321 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 320 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 317 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 316 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 315 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Active 312 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 311 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 310 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 309 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 308 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    status Active 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    All hardwood flooring 2 bedroom 1 full bath condo. It was renovated 7 years ago. It comes with storage space. Nice to have small family to own your home in NJ

  17. 2026-01-18
    historical 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    All hardwood flooring 2 bedroom 1 full bath condo. It was renovated 7 years ago. It comes with storage space. Nice to have small family to own your home in NJ

  18. 2025-09-19
    price $160,000 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    All hardwood flooring 2 bedroom 1 full bath condo. It was renovated 7 years ago. It comes with storage space. Nice to have small family to own your home in NJ

  19. 2025-04-15
    listed $176,000 Active 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    All hardwood flooring 2 bedroom 1 full bath condo. It was renovated 7 years ago. It comes with storage space. Nice to have small family to own your home in NJ

  20. 2024-09-15
    historical
  21. 2024-04-07
    listed $176,000 Active
  22. 1994-04-19
    soldstatus $62,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,658 · $305/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,821 · $318/mo
Expected delta
+$163/yr (+$14/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 41% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,316
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$3,658
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,865
− Management
−$1,865
− HOA
−$4,080
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$2,570
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$617
After-tax cash flow
$429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pennsauken Township Board Of Education School District
NCES district ID
3412870
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$60,336
Composite
20.48/100
National rank
#8573
State rank
#410 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Cherry Hill Mall

Score
79/100
State rank
#87
US rank
#2267

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
23,574
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
24,022
Household income
$90,242
Rent vs Own
28.7% rent · 71.3% own
Severe rent burden
874.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 39% Hispanic / Latino 31% Black 18% Two or more races 11% Asian 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 20% Vietnamese 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -197.50%
Current HPI
331.3072
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+154.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-15 Listed $176,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-09-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-04-07 Listed $176,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1994-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $62,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,658 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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