725 W Cherry Blossom Way · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious End-Row Townhome in Poppleton | Seller will be adding all new appliances before closing! Welcome to 725 W Cherry Blossom Way, a spacious end-of-row brick townhouse offering 4 bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms, and flexible multi-level living in Baltimore’s Poppleton neighborhood. With a finished lower level, generous bedroom layout, and a fully fenced rear yard, this home offers the space and versatility today’s buyers want—whether for everyday living, working from home, hosting guests, or creating additional recreation space. Step inside to find a bright, functional layout with room to spread out across three levels. The main living areas offer an easy flow for relaxin
Key facts
- Built 1999
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service; Natural gas
- Home design: End of row townhouse
- Construction: Brick exterior; Brick/mortar foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Assessor-provided year built
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Rear yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank flooring
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (two on the first upper level, one on the lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Fully finished basement; Estimated living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (4.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $263k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 61 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,626/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 2648% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $275k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.09%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $372,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1064 W Fayette St | 0.35mi | 4/3.5 | 2,900 (-6%) | 3mo | $425,000 | $147 | 68 |
| 828 Edmondson Ave | 0.24mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,760 (-11%) | 8mo | $373,590 | $135 | 59 |
| 721 W Lafayette Ave | 0.47mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,857 (-8%) | 0mo | $196,000 | $69 | 56 |
| 715 N Carrollton Ave | 0.46mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 3,077 (-1%) | 16mo | $430,000 | $140 | 53 |
| 708 N Gilmor St | 0.73mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 3,135 (+1%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $88 | 51 |
| 1007 W Lafayette Ave W | 0.48mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 3,500 (+13%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $23 | 50 |
| 1322 W Lombard St | 0.62mi | 4/3.5 | 2,752 (-11%) | 9mo | $330,000 | $120 | 43 |
| 845 N Howard St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 3,234 (+4%) | 13mo | $211,050 | $65 | 39 |
| 528 S Paca St | 0.73mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 2,850 (-8%) | 7mo | $542,528 | $190 | 36 |
| 1612 Edmondson Ave | 0.73mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 3,030 (-2%) | 19mo | $289,900 | $96 | 35 |
| 1407 Druid Hill Ave | 0.70mi | 4/4.5 | 2,849 (-8%) | 16mo | $375,000 | $132 | 34 |
| 1608 Edmondson Ave | 0.72mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,646 (-15%) | 22mo | $304,000 | $115 | 15 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-26,750
- Equity at exit
- $40,988
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-18,816
- Equity at exit
- $23,768
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21201
- Home prices YoY
- -3.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,626 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,529/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$551
- Net cashflow
- $391
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 853 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2824 | $2,650 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 922 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2364 | $2,300 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 217 S Fremont Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3338 | $3,000 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1138 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $1,795 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1328 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2312 | $3,600 | $1.56 | 12d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 549 Mosher St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2200 | $1,350 | $0.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 782 W Hamburg St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3734 | $3,500 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1614 McCulloh St #1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2885 | $2,400 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1227 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2664 | $2,950 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1725 Druid Hill Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2195 | $2,100 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1927 Druid Hill Ave #2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3312 | $2,350 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 147 W Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2400 | $3,250 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 10 E Chase St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2626 | $3,499 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1929 McCulloh St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3293 | $2,595 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 32 E Preston St Unit B Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2500 | $2,890 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1643 Guilford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2273 | $3,200 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 301 Warren Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1533 | $3,865 | $2.52 | 1d | 9 | 1.46mi |
| 111 E Cross St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 4.5 | 2496 | $3,300 | $1.32 | 12d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $274,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $274,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $274,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $274,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $274,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 681-char remark
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $274,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31$274,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,529 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,263 · $189/mo
- Expected delta
- +$734/yr (+$61/mo · 48.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$1,529
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,521
- − Management
- −$2,521
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable income
- $167
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$40
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,648/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,307
- Household income
- $45,640
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2648.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 61% White 23% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.03%
- Current HPI
- 257.3988
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.28%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+121.7% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Coming Soon $274,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-01 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-26 Listed $259,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-04-23 Rental Removed $1,850 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-03-22 Listed for Rent $1,850 TURBOTENANT
- 2020-08-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-07-16 Listed $148,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-06-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-05-06 Price Changed $148,950 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-05-03 Price Changed $149,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-22 Price Changed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-22 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-03-17 Price Changed $154,992 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-02-16 Listed $164,970 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2009-09-02 Sold (MLS) $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-09-02 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MRIS
- 2009-08-03 Delisted — MRIS
- 2009-08-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-07-31 Price Changed $124,000 MRIS
- 2009-04-18 Listed $149,900 MRIS
- 2009-04-17 Listed $124,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,529 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…