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1421 Prescott St S
D+ Composite 49.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$258,350

1421 Prescott St S · St. Petersburg, FL 33712
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,204 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 156 Days on market
Built 1957 4,796 sqft lot Est $289k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all handyman and investors, here is the opportunity of a lifetime. Does need some work, however you just cannot beat the potential. This one comes complete with a large open floor plan. And the location is fantastic, close to shopping, schools, everything. However you will need to phone today, for it's NOT a short sale; it's just priced right and ready for you today. So get to the phone and phone today before it's too late.

Key facts

  • Not in a flood zone
  • No cdd
  • Tenant occupied

Tags

NOT IN A FLOOD ZONENO HOANO CDDTENANT OCCUPIEDBLOCK CONSTRUCTIONNEWER ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential, Single Family Residence
  • Financial info: No additional financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; North-facing
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a lot of about 0.11 acres (0 to less than 1/4 acre)
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 45 x 105

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $258k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $227k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Melrose Elementary School (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 322 students, 93% FRL); John Hopkins Middle School (math 25% / reading 27%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 723 students, 66% FRL); Gibbs High School (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,160 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $258k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,348 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.11%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$288,960
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1675 13th Ave S 0.14mi 4/2.0 1,154 (-4%) 8mo $303,000 $263 80
1425 11th Ave S 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,137 (-6%) 6mo $182,500 $161 73
1962 15th Ave S 0.24mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,245 (+3%) 3mo $122,000 $98 72
1000 13th Ave S 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-0%) 2mo $215,000 $179 72
1126 Melrose Ave S 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,293 (+7%) 1mo $375,000 $290 66
1333 Melrose Ave S 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,320 (+10%) 5mo $300,000 $227 66
1307 12th Ave S 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,349 (+12%) 4mo $240,000 $178 64
1005 15th Ave S 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,160 (-4%) 4mo $345,300 $298 62
2487 15th Ave S 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,125 (-7%) 6mo $285,000 $253 47
1618 20th Ave S 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,378 (+14%) 3mo $120,000 $87 44
809 17th Ave S 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,104 (-8%) 6mo $265,000 $240 43
834 18th Ave S 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,294 (+8%) 3mo $330,000 $255 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-40,738
Equity at exit
$38,521
10-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-51,991
Equity at exit
$22,337

Cash invested: $72,338 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33712

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,386 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,355
Tax from tax record
$295 /mo · $3,545/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$501
Net cashflow
$127

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,225
Max offer price $258,350
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $273 -5% $200 +0% $127 +5% $54 +10% $-19
Rent -10% $-61 -5% $33 +0% $127 +5% $221 +10% $316
Rate -1.0pp $257 -0.5pp $193 base $127 +0.5pp $60 +1.0pp $-8

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,588
Closing costs
$7,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1427 15th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1030 $2,095 $2.03 6d 1 0.11mi
1465 15th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.5 1405 $2,400 $1.71 6d 1 0.11mi
1311 Prescott St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1048 $2,000 $1.91 0d 1 0.12mi
1650 Prescott St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 960 $2,100 $2.19 6d 1 0.14mi
1317 14th St S St Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1236 $2,150 $1.74 26d 1 0.19mi
1920 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,865 $1.74 26d 1 0.21mi
1763 Preston St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1158 $2,350 $2.03 26d 1 0.23mi
1760 Queen St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1004 $2,000 $1.99 6d 1 0.23mi
1400 21st St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1487 $2,970 $2.00 9d 1 0.29mi
1218 13th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1356 $2,594 $1.91 6d 1 0.32mi
1847 19th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1203 $2,295 $1.91 6d 1 0.39mi
1828 20th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1015 $1,650 $1.63 26d 1 0.44mi
2245 17th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1058 $2,400 $2.27 6d 1 0.50mi
1911 22nd Ave S St Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1424 $3,000 $2.11 4d 1 0.54mi
2010 22nd St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,695 $1.64 6d 1 0.57mi
944 18th Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1013 $2,100 $2.07 19d 1 0.59mi
1121 Dr Martin Luther King Jr St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,275 $1.90 6d 1 0.59mi
1013 20th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1124 $1,775 $1.58 0d 1 0.60mi
985 8th Ave S Unit S St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1061 $2,575 $2.43 0d 1 0.64mi
1137 Highland St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,600 $1.86 4d 1 0.66mi
2410 18th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 1.0 927 $1,895 $2.04 6d 1 0.67mi
930 20th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,950 $1.64 0d 1 0.67mi
2244 21st Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1229 $2,250 $1.83 6d 1 0.67mi
1919 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior St S Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 892 $2,200 $2.47 4d 1 0.67mi
1919 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior St S Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 892 $2,580 $2.89 22d 1 0.67mi
2310 21st St S Saint Petersburg, FL 5.0 3.0 1500 $3,460 $2.31 6d 1 0.69mi
2505 18th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1198 $2,350 $1.96 6d 1 0.72mi
1735 25th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 5.0 2.0 1453 $3,250 $2.24 26d 1 0.72mi
771 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1184 $2,850 $2.41 6d 1 0.73mi
1930 Walton St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 814 $2,000 $2.46 6d 1 0.73mi
2435 20th St S Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1230 $2,650 $2.15 26d 1 0.74mi
2524 19th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1230 $2,495 $2.03 26d 1 0.75mi
725 14th Ave S Apt D St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 818 $1,395 $1.71 5d 1 0.80mi
720 Newton Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1320 $2,500 $1.89 9d 1 0.80mi
2621 18th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1114 $2,200 $1.97 26d 1 0.82mi
1700 3rd Ave S St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1371 $4,375 $3.19 0d 1 0.85mi
1700 3rd Ave S Unit 2 St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $4,068 $2.91 26d 1 0.85mi
201 17th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1073 $4,325 $4.03 0d 18 0.89mi
2728 14th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1257 $2,100 $1.67 9d 1 0.90mi
1827 Auburn St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,855 $1.76 6d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $258,350 Active 156 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $258,350 Active 153 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $258,350 Active 152 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $258,350 Active 151 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $258,350 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $258,350 Active 148 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $258,350 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $258,350 Active 143 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $258,350 Active 142 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $258,350 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $258,350 Active 138 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $258,350 Active 136 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $258,350 Active 135 DOM
  14. 2026-03-11
    price $258,350
  15. 2026-02-16
    price $259,250
  16. 2026-02-10
    status Active
  17. 2026-02-03
    status Pending
  18. 2026-01-13
    price $265,000
  19. 2026-01-09
    listed $275,000 Active
  20. 2023-05-24
    status Active
  21. 2023-05-24
    historical
  22. 2023-05-04
    status Pending
  23. 2023-04-25
    listed $229,000 Active
  24. 2020-03-20
    soldstatus $75,000
  25. 2009-08-07
    soldstatus $32,000 435-char remark
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    Calling all handyman and investors, here is the opportunity of a lifetime. Does need some work, however you just cannot beat the potential. This one comes complete with a large open floor plan. And the location is fantastic, close to shopping, schools, everything. However you will need to phone today, for it's NOT a short sale; it's just priced right and ready for you today. So get to the phone and phone today before it's too late.

  26. 2009-06-09
    listed $45,000 435-char remark
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    Calling all handyman and investors, here is the opportunity of a lifetime. Does need some work, however you just cannot beat the potential. This one comes complete with a large open floor plan. And the location is fantastic, close to shopping, schools, everything. However you will need to phone today, for it's NOT a short sale; it's just priced right and ready for you today. So get to the phone and phone today before it's too late.

  27. 2005-07-13
    soldstatus $86,000
  28. 2005-07-07
    soldstatus $86,000
  29. 2005-04-28
    listed $85,900
  30. 2005-04-15
    soldstatus $61,500
  31. 2005-03-24
    soldstatus $61,500
  32. 2005-03-14
    listed $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,545 · $295/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,545 · $295/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,634
− Mortgage interest
−$14,472
− Property taxes
−$3,545
− Insurance
−$1,292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,291
− Management
−$2,291
− Depreciation
−$7,516
Taxable loss
−$2,772
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$665
After-tax cash flow
$2,191/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Petersburg

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Petersburg, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
249,151
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,142
Household income
$60,450
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1928.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% White 23% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Estonian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -275.45%
Current HPI
412.7251
Rent YoY
▼ -0.77%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+222.9% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $258,350 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $259,250 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-03 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $265,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-24 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-24 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-04 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-25 Listed $229,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2009-08-07 Sold (MLS) $32,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-06-09 Listed $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
  • 2005-07-07 Sold (MLS) $86,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-04-28 Listed $85,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
  • 2005-03-24 Sold (MLS) $61,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-03-14 Listed $80,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,545 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…