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5552 Timberleaf Trl
C- Composite 53.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,000

5552 Timberleaf Trl · McCalla, AL 35022
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,281 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 2014 $179/sqft · 7% below area Est $259k · 11% under $25/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Granite counter tops, tile & glass backsplash, stainless steel appliances & pantry in kitchen, garden tub with separate shower, huge walk-in closets, tile flooring in both baths & kitchen, hardwoods in great room & crown moulding. This Craftsman style home is amazing. Schedule a tour today!

Key facts

  • Huge walk-in closets
  • Pantry in kitchen
  • Granite counter tops

Tags

GRANITE COUNTER TOPSTILE AND GLASS BACKSPLASHSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESPANTRY IN KITCHENHUGE WALK-IN CLOSETSTILE FLOORING IN BOTH BATHS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (9.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $208k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.5% in McCalla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($215k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $170k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 45% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $207,906 (9.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.39%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$258,540
List price
$229,000
Delta
-11.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7705 Timber Leaf Ln 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,343 (+5%) 2mo $259,900 $194 83
5517 Timber Leaf Trl 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+5%) 5mo $253,400 $189 79
5546 Timber Leaf Way 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,343 (+5%) 16mo $225,900 $168 71
5538 Timber Leaf Way 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,346 (+5%) 22mo $261,000 $194 66
5519 Timber Leaf Way 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,405 (+10%) 16mo $245,000 $174 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-11,248
Equity at exit
$34,145
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$59,153
Equity at exit
$19,800

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35022

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
14.8%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,079 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,037/yr
Insurance
$95
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$437
Net cashflow
$235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,782
Max offer price $229,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7701 Timber Leaf Ln Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,721 $1.27 3d 1 0.06mi
5573 Timber Leaf Trl Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1405 $1,776 $1.26 23d 1 0.08mi
5685 Timber Leaf Loop Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1306 $2,057 $1.58 1d 1 0.23mi
5680 Timber Leaf Loop Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1306 $2,057 $1.58 1d 1 0.23mi
5740 Timber Leaf Loop Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1810 $2,337 $1.29 43d 1 0.24mi
5688 Timber Leaf Loop Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1306 $2,057 $1.58 1d 1 0.25mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$25 · $300/yr

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $229,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $240,000 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 338-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,000 Active 51 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 50 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 49 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 48 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $240,000 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    Granite counter tops, tile & glass backsplash, stainless steel appliances & pantry in kitchen, garden tub with separate shower, huge walk-in closets, tile flooring in both baths & kitchen, hardwoods in great room & crown moulding. This Craftsman style home is amazing. Schedule a tour today!

  17. 2026-04-13
    listed $249,900 Active 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    Granite counter tops, tile & glass backsplash, stainless steel appliances & pantry in kitchen, garden tub with separate shower, huge walk-in closets, tile flooring in both baths & kitchen, hardwoods in great room & crown moulding. This Craftsman style home is amazing. Schedule a tour today!

  18. 2019-05-06
    soldstatus $170,460
  19. 2019-05-06
    soldstatus $170,460
  20. 2019-04-26
    soldstatus $170,000 Sold 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Best buy in McCalla! This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is ready for it's new owners. All the extras including granite counter tops, tile and glass backsplash, stainless steel appliances and pantry in kitchen, garden tub with separate shower, huge walk-in closets, tile flooring in both baths and kitchen, hardwoods in great room and crown moulding. This one wont last long!!!

  21. 2019-03-26
    historical Contingent 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Best buy in McCalla! This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is ready for it's new owners. All the extras including granite counter tops, tile and glass backsplash, stainless steel appliances and pantry in kitchen, garden tub with separate shower, huge walk-in closets, tile flooring in both baths and kitchen, hardwoods in great room and crown moulding. This one wont last long!!!

  22. 2019-03-22
    listed $171,900 Active 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Best buy in McCalla! This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is ready for it's new owners. All the extras including granite counter tops, tile and glass backsplash, stainless steel appliances and pantry in kitchen, garden tub with separate shower, huge walk-in closets, tile flooring in both baths and kitchen, hardwoods in great room and crown moulding. This one wont last long!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,037 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,037 · $86/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 45% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,949
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$1,037
− Insurance
−$1,145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,996
− Management
−$1,996
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable loss
−$1,015
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$244
After-tax cash flow
$3,060/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — McCalla

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
McCalla, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,126
Household income
$81,846
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
554.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.40%
Current HPI
219.3839
Rent YoY
▲ 14.80%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+39.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $240,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $249,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $170,460 Public Records
  • 2019-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $170,460 Public Records
  • 2019-04-26 Sold (MLS) $170,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-03-26 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-03-22 Listed $171,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+13.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,037 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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