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7033 Julian Ave
B+ Composite 76.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$88,000

7033 Julian Ave · University City, MO 63130
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1904 5,161 sqft lot Est $144k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is an ideal addition to any rental portfolio. Already inspected, rented, and professionally managed, this property offers a seamless and hassle-free investment experience. The home boasts a comfortable layout with inviting living spaces, perfect for tenants seeking a cozy and functional place to live. With everything in place and well-maintained, this income-generating rental is ready for you to take over. Don’t miss out on this fantastic opportunity to add a solid asset to your investment portfolio!

Key facts

  • Private driveway
  • Front entrance
  • Rear entry exit

Tags

PRIVATE DRIVEWAYFRONT ENTRANCEREAR ENTRY EXITSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGENEROUSLY SIZED LOTEASY ACCESS TO AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Natural gas available; Electricity available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $88k).
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 4.9% in University City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#84 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D-, commute D-, health & safety F.
  • University City (suburban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #297 of 324 in MO (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pershing Elem. (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,037 of 1,115 statewide, top 94%, 265 students, 100% FRL); University City Sr. High (math 5% / reading 52%, grade F, #409 of 521 statewide, top 79%, 726 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 6940% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
14.80%
Cash-on-cash
30.38%
DSCR
2.35
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$143,640
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6934 Julian Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 1,158 (+7%) 1mo $130,000 $112 80
7033 Camden Ct 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,151 (+7%) 2mo $164,900 $143 67
6736 Julian Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,055 (-2%) 3mo $139,900 $133 62
6534 Whitney Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 1,126 (+4%) 0mo $65,000 $58 61
7048 Arcadia Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,232 (+14%) 3mo $219,000 $178 60
7155 Willow Tree Ln 0.33mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,200 (+11%) 3mo $210,000 $175 56
1600 Bradford Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (-7%) 2mo $75,000 $74 52
1509 Bradford Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,208 (+12%) 0mo $45,000 $37 52
1140 E Parkedge Ln 0.50mi 2/1.5 1,230 (+14%) 1mo $269,900 $219 51
6745 Vernon Ave 0.69mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,005 (-7%) 3mo $99,000 $99 49
7331 Wayne Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 950 (-12%) 1mo $159,900 $168 45
6526 Avalon Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 930 (-14%) 0mo $104,900 $113 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$26,444
Equity at exit
$13,121
10-year hold
IRR
33.8%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$78,216
Equity at exit
$7,609

Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63130

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,544 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$461
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,173/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$624

Break-even live

Break-even rent $754
Max offer price $88,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,000
Closing costs
$2,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7034 Corbitt Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 870 $1,450 $1.67 24d 1 0.15mi
6913 Etzel Ave Unit 1496954P University City, MO 3.0 2.0 1399 $5,767 $4.12 7d 1 0.27mi
1115 Backer St Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 984 $1,495 $1.52 24d 1 0.28mi
6827 Melrose Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 7d 1 0.32mi
1195 Belrue Ave Unit 2S St. Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 800 $795 $0.99 24d 1 0.47mi
7055 Dartmouth Ave Unit 1 University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1320 $2,100 $1.59 44d 1 0.58mi
7055 Dartmouth Ave Unit 2 University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1320 $2,100 $1.59 44d 1 0.58mi
7125 Dartmouth Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1242 $1,550 $1.25 44d 1 0.59mi
6704 Etzel Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 825 $1,325 $1.61 44d 1 0.61mi
7120 Dartmouth Ave Unit A University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,345 $1.12 3d 1 0.62mi
7361 Melrose Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1278 $2,095 $1.64 44d 1 0.63mi
6636 Etzel Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1019 $1,350 $1.32 7d 1 0.65mi
6636 Etzel Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1019 $1,350 $1.32 20d 1 0.65mi
1535 N Jackson Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 988 $1,450 $1.47 44d 1 0.65mi
7104 Tulane Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,745 $1.25 44d 1 0.66mi
7104 Tulane Ave Unit 1 University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 24d 1 0.66mi
7156 Tulane Ave Unit 56A University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 22d 1 0.68mi
7204 Tulane Ave Unit 7204-B Tulane University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.68mi
7254 Tulane Ave #1 University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1144 $1,600 $1.40 18d 1 0.72mi
6543 Etzel Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 967 $1,600 $1.65 18d 1 0.73mi
7430 Canton Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,450 $1.35 24d 1 0.81mi
6614 Chamberlain Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,820 $1.82 24d 1 0.83mi
7350 Amherst Ave Unit 1E University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,795 $1.63 18d 1 0.83mi
7386 Milan Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 4d 1 0.84mi
1351 N Hanley Rd Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 911 $1,575 $1.73 44d 1 0.85mi
7261 Delmar Blvd University City, MO 3.0 1.0 1416 $1,950 $1.38 2d 1 0.96mi
1086 Wilshire Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,306 $1.21 4d 1 1.07mi
6318 Cabanne Ave Apt 1w University City, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 4d 1 1.08mi
7720 Ahern Ave University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,350 $1.25 44d 1 1.09mi
1245 North and South Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 860 $1,200 $1.40 15d 1 1.10mi
6312 Cates Ave Unit 2E University City, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 44d 1 1.14mi
6650 Delmar Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–3.0 760 $1,756 $2.31 2d 1 1.16mi
716 Westgate Ave Unit 3 University City, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,995 $2.00 44d 1 1.16mi
7737 Wild Plum Ln University City, MO 3.0 1.5 900 $1,200 $1.33 12d 1 1.17mi
978 Warder Ave University City, MO 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,145 $1.04 24d 1 1.19mi
908 Eastgate Ave Unit 2N University City, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 4d 1 1.20mi
6409 Enright Ave University City, MO 3.0 1.5 1320 $2,420 $1.83 2d 2 1.20mi
6274 Cates Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,295 $1.64 44d 1 1.21mi
900 Eastgate Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,095 $1.22 44d 1 1.21mi
6261 Clemens Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 44d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $88,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,173 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,173 · $98/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,528
− Mortgage interest
−$4,929
− Property taxes
−$1,173
− Insurance
−$440
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,482
− Management
−$1,482
− Depreciation
−$2,560
Taxable income
$6,461
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,551
After-tax cash flow
$5,936/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
University City
NCES district ID
2930660
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,927
Composite
18.57/100
National rank
#8910
State rank
#297 of 324 in MO

Livability — University City

Score
73/100
State rank
#84
US rank
#5618

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute D- Cost of living B Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
University City, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
28,910
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
28,910
Household income
$85,823
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
893.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 31% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Chinese 4% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -436.88%
Current HPI
185.599
Rent YoY
▲ 3.61%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+486.7% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Coming Soon $88,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-21 Rental Removed $1,250 MARIS
  • 2025-07-26 Listed for Rent $1,250 MARIS
  • 2024-11-15 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-02 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-21 Price Changed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-04 Listed $109,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-02 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-18 Price Changed $129,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-13 Listed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-22 Listed $57,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-22 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $233,000 Public Records
  • 2016-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
  • 2016-12-08 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-16 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-09 Price Changed $24,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-09 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-26 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-31 Price Changed $34,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-29 Listed $39,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,600 Public Records
  • 2013-04-01 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-13 Listed $14,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1998-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,173 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…