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3102 E Fairmount Ave
C+ Composite 61.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

3102 E Fairmount Ave · Baltimore, MD 21224
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,720 sqft · Townhouse public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1920 $125/sqft · 27% below area Est $297k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedrooms in neeed of updates, bring all offers. Strictly As-Is.

Key facts

  • Built 1920
  • Listed 96 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,650 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.49%
Cash-on-cash
7.85%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$296,547
List price
$215,000
Delta
-27.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
38 S Curley St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,729 (+0%) 0mo $181,100 $105 83
2534 E Baltimore St 0.43mi 3/3.0 1,685 (-2%) 0mo $495,000 $294 74
263 S East Ave 0.34mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,767 (+3%) 0mo $375,000 $212 72
21 S Linwood Ave 0.22mi 3/2.5 1,912 (+11%) 0mo $490,000 $256 71
234 S Highland Ave 0.34mi 3/3.5 1,848 (+7%) 0mo $417,500 $226 67
118 S Eaton St 0.43mi 3/3.5 1,569 (-9%) 1mo $330,000 $210 61
802 S Potomac St 0.74mi 3/3.0 1,755 (+2%) 0mo $435,000 $248 60
730 S Decker Ave 0.68mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,740 (+1%) 0mo $564,900 $325 57
616 S Belnord Ave 0.67mi 3/3.0 1,608 (-6%) 1mo $370,000 $230 55
3702 Foster Ave 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,632 (-5%) 1mo $339,000 $208 50
633 S Linwood Ave S 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,935 (+12%) 0mo $351,000 $181 49
731 S Conkling St 0.75mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,836 (+7%) 0mo $480,000 $261 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-17,116
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-2,300
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21224

Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
391
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,299 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$206 /mo · $2,466/yr
Insurance
$90
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$483
Net cashflow
$338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,871
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
113 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.5 1800 $2,850 $1.58 23d 1 0.05mi
29 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,395 $2.18 23d 1 0.06mi
17 N East Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1326 $2,550 $1.92 23d 1 0.07mi
10 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1768 $2,500 $1.41 43d 1 0.09mi
3212 E Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 2.0 3.0 1931 $2,350 $1.22 23d 1 0.11mi
113 N Clinton St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,995 $1.53 43d 1 0.12mi
1 N Clinton St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1200 $1,700 $1.42 20d 1 0.15mi
404 N Robinson St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1320 $2,200 $1.67 23d 1 0.15mi
404 N Robinson St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1320 $2,100 $1.59 16d 1 0.15mi
150 N Curley St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1266 $1,850 $1.46 17d 1 0.15mi
3304 E Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1514 $1,875 $1.24 43d 1 0.16mi
34 N Linwood Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1288 $2,400 $1.86 23d 1 0.19mi
11 N Streeper St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.5 1800 $2,600 $1.44 43d 1 0.22mi
106 S Bouldin St Baltimore, MD 2.0 3.0 1134 $2,100 $1.85 20d 1 0.22mi
127 S Robinson St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1400 $2,000 $1.43 43d 1 0.23mi
10 N Streeper St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1440 $2,500 $1.74 23d 1 0.24mi
2815 Orleans St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1204 $1,600 $1.33 2d 1 0.24mi
102 S Curley St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,800 $1.50 4d 1 0.25mi
2903 Jefferson St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1609 $1,850 $1.15 43d 1 0.25mi
3430 E Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1316 $2,250 $1.71 23d 1 0.26mi
2800 Orleans St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1404 $1,600 $1.14 14d 1 0.27mi
2800 Orleans St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1404 $1,600 $1.14 17d 1 0.27mi
3436 Leverton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.5 1500 $2,350 $1.57 23d 1 0.30mi
3304 McElderry St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1413 $1,900 $1.34 43d 1 0.31mi
3502 E Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1522 $1,870 $1.23 43d 1 0.32mi
139 N Lakewood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1370 $2,500 $1.82 43d 1 0.32mi
139 N Lakewood Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1370 $2,500 $1.82 43d 1 0.32mi
249 S East Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1680 $2,250 $1.34 23d 1 0.35mi
2619 E Fayette St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,900 $1.19 43d 1 0.36mi
127 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1110 $2,100 $1.89 2d 1 0.36mi
2934 E Monument St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,499 $1.25 43d 1 0.39mi
218 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1360 $1,750 $1.29 43d 1 0.39mi
531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,700 $1.55 23d 1 0.39mi
235 S Highland Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1222 $2,000 $1.64 23d 1 0.39mi
9 N Luzerne Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1380 $2,450 $1.78 4d 1 0.40mi
415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1092 $1,600 $1.47 23d 1 0.40mi
225 N Luzerne Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1198 $1,350 $1.13 19d 1 0.41mi
233 N Luzerne Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1700 $2,250 $1.32 21d 1 0.41mi
533 N Lakewood Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 1758 $4,500 $2.56 43d 1 0.41mi
537 N Lakewood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.5 1755 $2,050 $1.17 43d 1 0.42mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 96 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $215,000 Active 95 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $215,000 Active 94 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $215,000 Active 93 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $215,000 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $215,000 Active 87 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $215,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 80 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 78 DOM
  14. 2026-05-13
    status Active
  15. 2026-05-03
    historical
  16. 2026-04-02
    status Active
  17. 2026-03-06
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-02-04
    listed $230,000 Active
  19. 2023-03-09
    soldstatus $3,580,000
  20. 2009-03-26
    soldstatus $49,000 Sold 65-char remark
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    3 bedrooms in neeed of updates, bring all offers. Strictly As-Is.

  21. 2009-03-12
    historical 65-char remark
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    3 bedrooms in neeed of updates, bring all offers. Strictly As-Is.

  22. 2009-02-26
    price $54,000 65-char remark
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    3 bedrooms in neeed of updates, bring all offers. Strictly As-Is.

  23. 2009-02-10
    status 65-char remark
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    3 bedrooms in neeed of updates, bring all offers. Strictly As-Is.

  24. 2008-12-09
    historical 65-char remark
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    3 bedrooms in neeed of updates, bring all offers. Strictly As-Is.

  25. 2008-11-14
    price $69,900 65-char remark
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    3 bedrooms in neeed of updates, bring all offers. Strictly As-Is.

  26. 2008-10-14
    price $78,000 65-char remark
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    3 bedrooms in neeed of updates, bring all offers. Strictly As-Is.

  27. 2008-09-11
    price $88,900 65-char remark
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    3 bedrooms in neeed of updates, bring all offers. Strictly As-Is.

  28. 2008-08-13
    listed $120,000 65-char remark
    Show marketing remark (65 chars)

    3 bedrooms in neeed of updates, bring all offers. Strictly As-Is.

  29. 2007-05-14
    soldstatus $270,000
  30. 2003-09-29
    soldstatus $60,000
  31. 2003-05-27
    soldstatus $60,000
  32. 2003-04-10
    historical
  33. 2003-03-19
    listed $64,900
  34. 1997-09-29
    historical
  35. 1997-08-05
    listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,466 · $206/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,466 · $206/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,589
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$2,466
− Insurance
−$1,742
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,207
− Management
−$2,207
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable income
$669
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$161
After-tax cash flow
$3,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
47,465
Household income
$89,017
Rent vs Own
41.5% rent · 58.5% own
Severe rent burden
1786.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -332.23%
Current HPI
241.284
Rent YoY
▲ 1.31%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+254.4% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $230,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $3,580,000 Public Records
  • 2009-03-26 Sold (MLS) $49,000 MRIS
  • 2009-03-12 Delisted MRIS
  • 2009-02-26 Price Changed $54,000 MRIS
  • 2009-02-10 Relisted MRIS
  • 2008-12-09 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-11-14 Price Changed $69,900 MRIS
  • 2008-10-14 Price Changed $78,000 MRIS
  • 2008-09-11 Price Changed $88,900 MRIS
  • 2008-08-13 Listed $120,000 MRIS
  • 2007-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
  • 2003-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2003-05-27 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MRIS
  • 2003-04-10 Delisted MRIS
  • 2003-03-19 Listed $64,900 MRIS
  • 1997-09-29 Delisted MRIS
  • 1997-08-05 Listed MRIS

Property tax history

-3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,466 · -18.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…