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1231 N Linwood Ave
A- Composite 80.84
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$75,000

1231 N Linwood Ave · Baltimore, MD 21213
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,090 sqft · Townhouse public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1926 2,178 sqft lot $69/sqft · 33% below area Est $111k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Alert! Makes a great addition to your rental portfolio, or potential flip opportunity!

Key facts

  • Built 1926
  • Listed 45 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Total actual rent reported: $16,200

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Natural gas heating fuel; Natural gas for hot water; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; Bedroom 1; Bedroom 2
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (all upper levels); One half bathroom (lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Basement present (other type); Living Room; Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $658 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $93 of equity ($519 loan paydown + $-426 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.16%
Cap rate
16.82%
Cash-on-cash
37.61%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$111,249
List price
$75,000
Delta
-32.58%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2811 E Biddle St 0.09mi 2/1.0 1,148 (+5%) 2mo $75,000 $65 85
2736 Mura St 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (+3%) 0mo $81,000 $72 81
629 N Kenwood Ave 0.50mi 2/1.5 1,100 (+1%) 1mo $76,500 $70 73
2712 Ashland Ave 0.33mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,164 (+7%) 1mo $175,000 $150 65
415 N Glover St 0.67mi 2/2.5 1,092 (+0%) 2mo $179,000 $164 61
2615 E Chase St 0.25mi 3/1.5 (+1) 952 (-13%) 2mo $149,000 $157 58
735 N Lakewood Ave 0.44mi 3/1.5 (+1) 970 (-11%) 2mo $80,000 $82 53
2703 Jefferson St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,170 (+7%) 2mo $102,500 $88 52
3238 Ravenwood Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,158 (+6%) 0mo $70,000 $60 51
530 N Curley St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-12%) 2mo $85,000 $89 48
441 N East Ave 0.66mi 3/1.5 (+1) 976 (-10%) 2mo $175,000 $179 44
3135 Mcelderry St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (+12%) 1mo $234,000 $191 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.57% appreciation · 5.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$41,579
Equity at exit
$19,672
10-year hold
IRR
45.0%
Equity multiple
6.44×
Total profit
$114,281
Equity at exit
$22,025

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21213

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,617 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,335/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$658

Break-even live

Break-even rent $784
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1323 N Kenwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1060 $1,350 $1.27 23d 1 0.09mi
1401 N Potomac St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 700 $1,099 $1.57 17d 1 0.12mi
1310 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 12d 1 0.16mi
1310 N Ellwood Ave #1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 21d 1 0.16mi
1215 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1128 $1,795 $1.59 23d 1 0.16mi
2626 E Preston St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,800 $1.58 43d 1 0.18mi
2430 E Biddle St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 43d 1 0.34mi
2729 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 2d 1 0.36mi
724 N Curley St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1500 $2,200 $1.47 4d 1 0.43mi
718 N Curley St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 4d 1 0.44mi
2934 E Monument St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,499 $1.25 43d 1 0.47mi
2215 E Biddle St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1350 $1,800 $1.33 43d 1 0.52mi
627 N Lakewood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1175 $1,900 $1.62 21d 1 0.54mi
2311 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.55mi
2202 Prentiss Pl Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,400 $1.71 43d 1 0.56mi
720 N Port St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 43d 1 0.56mi
531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,700 $1.55 23d 1 0.58mi
2608 McElderry St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,550 $1.35 23d 1 0.58mi
520 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 43d 1 0.60mi
3304 McElderry St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1413 $1,900 $1.34 43d 1 0.61mi
502 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 827 $1,250 $1.51 20d 1 0.63mi
3343 Ravenwood Ave Unit 3343 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 948 $1,855 $1.96 17d 1 0.64mi
517 N Rose St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 845 $1,400 $1.66 4d 1 0.64mi
618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,468 $1.40 43d 1 0.65mi
618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,468 $1.40 14d 1 0.65mi
821 N Collington Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,950 $1.70 43d 1 0.65mi
3322 Ravenwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 932 $1,800 $1.93 23d 1 0.65mi
1600 N Chester St Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 715 $636 $0.89 23d 1 0.66mi
415 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,300 $1.29 23d 1 0.67mi
3339 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 896 $1,600 $1.79 43d 1 0.68mi
415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1092 $1,600 $1.47 23d 1 0.69mi
2800 Orleans St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1404 $1,600 $1.14 17d 1 0.69mi
2800 Orleans St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1404 $1,600 $1.14 14d 1 0.69mi
3326 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 23d 1 0.69mi
2212 E Monument St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 17d 1 0.70mi
404 N Robinson St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1320 $2,100 $1.59 16d 1 0.71mi
404 N Robinson St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1320 $2,200 $1.67 23d 1 0.71mi
2815 Orleans St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1204 $1,600 $1.33 1d 1 0.71mi
3315 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 896 $1,650 $1.84 17d 1 0.71mi
3221 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,700 $1.67 23d 1 0.71mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-05
    listed $75,000 Active 946-char remark
  15. 2026-05-04
    historical $75,000 946-char remark
  16. 2019-05-08
    soldstatus $69,900
  17. 2019-04-08
    soldstatus $15,000 Closed 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    Investor Alert! Makes a great addition to your rental portfolio, or potential flip opportunity!

  18. 2019-03-20
    status Pending 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    Investor Alert! Makes a great addition to your rental portfolio, or potential flip opportunity!

  19. 2019-03-15
    listed $15,000 Active 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    Investor Alert! Makes a great addition to your rental portfolio, or potential flip opportunity!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,335 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,335 · $195/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,403
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$2,335
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,552
− Management
−$1,552
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$7,206
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,729
After-tax cash flow
$6,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
28,058
Household income
$51,344
Rent vs Own
48.0% rent · 52.0% own
Severe rent burden
1868.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.57%
Current HPI
427.4453
Rent YoY
▲ 5.25%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Coming Soon $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
  • 2019-04-08 Sold (MLS) $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-03-20 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-03-15 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,335 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…