1231 N Linwood Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Alert! Makes a great addition to your rental portfolio, or potential flip opportunity!
Key facts
- Built 1926
- Listed 45 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Total actual rent reported: $16,200
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Natural gas heating fuel; Natural gas for hot water; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; Bedroom 1; Bedroom 2
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (all upper levels); One half bathroom (lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Basement present (other type); Living Room; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $658 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $93 of equity ($519 loan paydown + $-426 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.61%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $111,249
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -32.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2811 E Biddle St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 1,148 (+5%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $65 | 85 |
| 2736 Mura St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+3%) | 0mo | $81,000 | $72 | 81 |
| 629 N Kenwood Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.5 | 1,100 (+1%) | 1mo | $76,500 | $70 | 73 |
| 2712 Ashland Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,164 (+7%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $150 | 65 |
| 415 N Glover St | 0.67mi | 2/2.5 | 1,092 (+0%) | 2mo | $179,000 | $164 | 61 |
| 2615 E Chase St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 952 (-13%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $157 | 58 |
| 735 N Lakewood Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 970 (-11%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $82 | 53 |
| 2703 Jefferson St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+7%) | 2mo | $102,500 | $88 | 52 |
| 3238 Ravenwood Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,158 (+6%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $60 | 51 |
| 530 N Curley St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-12%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $89 | 48 |
| 441 N East Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 976 (-10%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $179 | 44 |
| 3135 Mcelderry St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+12%) | 1mo | $234,000 | $191 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.57% appreciation · 5.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $41,579
- Equity at exit
- $19,672
- IRR
- 45.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.44×
- Total profit
- $114,281
- Equity at exit
- $22,025
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21213
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,617 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $658
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1323 N Kenwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1401 N Potomac St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,099 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1310 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 12d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1310 N Ellwood Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1215 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,795 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2626 E Preston St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,800 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2430 E Biddle St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2729 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 724 N Curley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 718 N Curley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2934 E Monument St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,499 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2215 E Biddle St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 627 N Lakewood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1175 | $1,900 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2311 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2202 Prentiss Pl Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 720 N Port St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2608 McElderry St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 520 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3304 McElderry St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 502 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 827 | $1,250 | $1.51 | 20d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3343 Ravenwood Ave Unit 3343 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 948 | $1,855 | $1.96 | 17d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 517 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,400 | $1.66 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 821 N Collington Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,950 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3322 Ravenwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 932 | $1,800 | $1.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1600 N Chester St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $636 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 415 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3339 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,600 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2800 Orleans St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2800 Orleans St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3326 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2212 E Monument St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 404 N Robinson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1320 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 404 N Robinson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1320 | $2,200 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2815 Orleans St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3315 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 896 | $1,650 | $1.84 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3221 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,700 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-05$75,000 Active 946-char remark
-
2026-05-04historical $75,000 946-char remark
-
2019-05-08soldstatus $69,900
-
2019-04-08soldstatus $15,000 Closed 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Investor Alert! Makes a great addition to your rental portfolio, or potential flip opportunity!
-
2019-03-20status Pending 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Investor Alert! Makes a great addition to your rental portfolio, or potential flip opportunity!
-
2019-03-15$15,000 Active 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Investor Alert! Makes a great addition to your rental portfolio, or potential flip opportunity!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,335 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,335 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,403
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$2,335
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,552
- − Management
- −$1,552
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $7,206
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,729
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,169/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,058
- Household income
- $51,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1868.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Current HPI
- 427.4453
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.25%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-04 Coming Soon $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
- 2019-04-08 Sold (MLS) $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-20 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-15 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,335 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…