Multi-family
1504 10th St · Berkeley, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 82°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,525,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
The offering presents 1504 10th Street, Berkeley, CA, a well-maintained 6-unit multifamily property comprising 6 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom units. The 3,194 sq. ft. building sits on a 0.20-acre lot and is currently 67% occupied. Built in 1926, the property offers a prime location near UC Berkeley and is within walking distance of restaurants, shops, and public transit. With below-market rents, there is a significant value-add opportunity to increase rents to market rates and improve occupancy. The current rent roll totals $11,627/month, with a pro forma rent roll of $14,400/month, representing a 19% upside. The current cap rate is 5.90%, with a proforma cap rate of 7.90%, indicating strong potential for future returns.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1926
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/6.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.52M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $1.52M).
- Recommended offer: $1.43M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.0% in Berkeley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#74 in CA, #2,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Berkeley Unified (urban): math 61% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #175 of 1,400 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Malcolm X Elementary (459 students, 29% FRL); Martin Luther King Middle (871 students, 20% FRL); Berkeley High (math 74% / reading 98%, grade A, #25 of 1,170 statewide, top 2%, 3,204 students, 23% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 86% at this address vs 64% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Berkeley Unified average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 30 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $15,264/mo this rent would consume 179% of the median local household income ($102k/yr) (locally 764% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $46k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.43M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.08%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,213,060
- List price
- $1,525,000
- Delta
- 25.72%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1337 University Ave | 0.67mi | 6/4.0 | 2,832 (-11%) | 15mo | $825,000 | $291 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-188,406
- Equity at exit
- $227,382
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-118,998
- Equity at exit
- $131,854
Cash invested: $427,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Berkeley
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+78
ZIP-level market 94710
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 50.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $15,264 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,997
- Tax from tax record
- −$2,330 /mo · $27,959/yr
- Insurance
- −$635
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,205
- Net cashflow
- $1,096
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,959 | -5% $1,528 | +0% $1,096 | +5% $664 | +10% $233 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-110 | -5% $493 | +0% $1,096 | +5% $1,699 | +10% $2,302 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,864 | -0.5pp $1,484 | base $1,096 | +0.5pp $701 | +1.0pp $299 |
6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6× units | 1 | 1 | $15,264 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $2,544 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $2,544 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $2,544 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $2,544 |
| #5 | 1 | 1 | $2,544 |
| #6 | 1 | 1 | $2,544 |
| Total (6 units) | $15,264 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $381,250
- Closing costs
- $45,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1730 Francisco St Berkeley, CA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2250 | $8,000 | $3.56 | 26d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,525,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,525,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,525,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,525,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,525,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,525,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,525,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,525,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $1,525,000 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
The offering presents 1504 10th Street, Berkeley, CA, a well-maintained 6-unit multifamily property comprising 6 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom units. The 3,194 sq. ft. building sits on a 0.20-acre lot and is currently 67% occupied. Built in 1926, the property offers a prime location near UC Berkeley and is within walking distance of restaurants, shops, and public transit. With below-market rents, there is a significant value-add opportunity to increase rents to market rates and improve occupancy. The current rent roll totals $11,627/month, with a pro forma rent roll of $14,400/month, representing a 19% upside. The current cap rate is 5.90%, with a proforma cap rate of 7.90%, indicating strong potential for future returns.
-
2026-03-30$1,600,000 Active 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
The offering presents 1504 10th Street, Berkeley, CA, a well-maintained 6-unit multifamily property comprising 6 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom units. The 3,194 sq. ft. building sits on a 0.20-acre lot and is currently 67% occupied. Built in 1926, the property offers a prime location near UC Berkeley and is within walking distance of restaurants, shops, and public transit. With below-market rents, there is a significant value-add opportunity to increase rents to market rates and improve occupancy. The current rent roll totals $11,627/month, with a pro forma rent roll of $14,400/month, representing a 19% upside. The current cap rate is 5.90%, with a proforma cap rate of 7.90%, indicating strong potential for future returns.
-
2026-02-12price $1,895,000
-
2026-01-29$1,950,000 Active
-
2022-08-10soldstatus $1,467,200
-
2022-08-10soldstatus $1,467,200
-
2022-08-10soldstatus $1,467,500
-
2022-06-09$1,450,000
-
2022-06-09$1,450,000
-
2004-09-01soldstatus $900,000
-
2004-09-01soldstatus $900,000
-
2004-07-01$828,000
-
2002-07-18soldstatus $795,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $27,959 · $2,330/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $27,959 · $2,330/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥82°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $183,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$85,424
- − Property taxes
- −$27,959
- − Insurance
- −$7,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$14,653
- − Management
- −$14,653
- − Depreciation
- −$44,364
- Taxable loss
- −$11,510
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,762
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,914/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berkeley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0604740
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,202
- Composite
- 57.37/100
- National rank
- #2288
- State rank
- #175 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Berkeley
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #2860
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berkeley, CA
- County
- Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
- City population
- 121,632
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,380
- Household income
- $102,227
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 764.0
Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,928,884 people
- By 2030
- 2,069,146 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 2,338,405 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 2,586,608 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 3,061,911 · +58.7%
- By 2100
- 3,234,133 · +67.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 20% Asian 13% Two or more races 13% Black 9% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 15% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Alameda
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -444.39%
- Current HPI
- 283.2007
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.24%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+91.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $1,525,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-03-30 Listed $1,600,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $1,895,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $1,950,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2022-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $1,467,500 Public Records
- 2022-08-10 Sold (MLS) $1,467,200 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2022-08-10 Sold (MLS) $1,467,200 San Francisco MLS
- 2022-06-09 Listed $1,450,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2022-06-09 Listed $1,450,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2004-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $900,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-01 Sold (MLS) $900,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2004-07-01 Listed $828,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2002-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $795,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $27,959 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…