2021 E 22nd St · Des Moines, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- New furnace
- New water heater
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Resale property
- Construction: Metal siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Poured foundation; Has unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Open patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-195/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (1.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (14.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in Des Moines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in IA, #1,432 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Des Moines Independent Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #289 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 357 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.42%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $217,664
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1905 Searle St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,209 (-1%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $136 | 90 |
| 2124 E 23rd St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,214 (-0%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $140 | 84 |
| 2324 E 23rd St | 0.27mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,222 (+0%) | 4mo | $189,000 | $155 | 78 |
| 2113 Boyd St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (+3%) | 1mo | $223,045 | $179 | 66 |
| 1520 E 26th St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-1%) | 0mo | $206,000 | $172 | 65 |
| 2419 E 23rd St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-10%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $224 | 57 |
| 2520 E 25th St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,380 (+14%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $207 | 51 |
| 1460 E 22nd St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,037 (-15%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $183 | 50 |
| 2560 E Sheridan Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+9%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $186 | 45 |
| 1520 Stewart St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,106 (-9%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $113 | 42 |
| 1531 Stewart St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,062 (-13%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $165 | 42 |
| 1312 E 25th Ct | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-11%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $245 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-28,758
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-30,365
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50317
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 357
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,419 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$203 /mo · $2,434/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $-16
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2121 E 23rd St Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,395 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1726 E 24th St Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,295 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1364 Idaho St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1530 E 14th St Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,900 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1713 Lyon St Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $1,045 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2120 Capitol Ave Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $1,395 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2726 Des Moines St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,295 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2925 Maple St Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $1,500 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 410 E 17th St Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3947 E 23rd St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $872 | $1.09 | 14d | 2 | 1.43mi |
| 915 E Washington Ave Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1457 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19status $165,000 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17$165,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,434 · $203/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,512 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- +$78/yr (+$7/mo · 3.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,434
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,362
- − Management
- −$1,362
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$3,003
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$721
- After-tax cash flow
- $526/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Des Moines Independent Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908970
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,905
- Composite
- 37.83/100
- National rank
- #4331
- State rank
- #289 of 289 in IA
Livability — Des Moines
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #1432
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Des Moines, IA
- County
- Polk County · 453,298 people
- City population
- 203,612
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,548
- Household income
- $65,617
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 716.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 548,042 people
- By 2030
- 588,557 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 670,629 · +22.4%
- By 2050
- 752,830 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 955,069 · +74.3%
- By 2100
- 1,115,436 · +103.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Iranian 2% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.00%
- Current HPI
- 281.7409
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.29%
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $165,000 DMMLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,434 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…