118 William St · Gouverneur, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$43,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Public sewer
- Detached garage
- Public water
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $44k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 7.5% in Gouverneur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#605 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Gouverneur Central School District (town): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #582 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($304 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 387 days — a 12% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $44k implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 387 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.28%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,428
- List price
- $43,999
- Delta
- -45.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 William St | 0.03mi | 2/1.5 | 1,534 (+11%) | 6mo | $74,200 | $48 | 76 |
| 13 Smith St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,360 (-2%) | 6mo | $79,500 | $58 | 61 |
| 24 Dorwin St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,430 (+3%) | 7mo | $79,900 | $56 | 59 |
| 183 189 Main Street Hailesboro Rd | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,288 (-7%) | 10mo | $205,700 | $160 | 58 |
| 133 Main St Hailesboro Rd | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,205 (-13%) | 5mo | $28,500 | $24 | 55 |
| 85 Depot St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,386 (0%) | 23mo | $21,500 | $16 | 50 |
| 326 Ush 11 | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,508 (+9%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $146 | 47 |
| 68 W Barney St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,310 (-6%) | 15mo | $68,000 | $52 | 40 |
| 332 W Main St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,254 (-10%) | 17mo | $45,000 | $36 | 40 |
| 52 Smith St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,576 (+14%) | 17mo | $125,000 | $79 | 36 |
| 51 Johnstown St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,222 (-12%) | 21mo | $156,000 | $128 | 35 |
| 60 Mckean St & 71 Johnstown St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,236 (-11%) | 21mo | $115,000 | $93 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.49×
- Total profit
- $43,057
- Equity at exit
- $28,360
- IRR
- 51.6%
- Equity multiple
- 9.40×
- Total profit
- $103,470
- Equity at exit
- $52,046
Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13642
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$231
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,993/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $606 | -5% $477 | +0% $465 | +5% $452 | +10% $440 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $377 | -5% $421 | +0% $465 | +5% $509 | +10% $553 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $487 | -0.5pp $476 | base $465 | +0.5pp $453 | +1.0pp $442 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,000
- Closing costs
- $1,320
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Sleepy Hollow Rd Gouverneur, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $1,114 | $0.74 | 44d | 3 | 0.68mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $43,999 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $43,999 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $43,999 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $43,999 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $43,999 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $43,999 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $43,999 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $43,999 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $43,999 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $43,999 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $43,999 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $43,999 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $43,999 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $43,999 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $43,999 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-04-16status Active 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!
-
2026-03-10historical Active Under Contract 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!
-
2025-11-18price $44,000 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!
-
2025-07-13price $49,900 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!
-
2025-06-17price $53,900 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!
-
2025-05-29$58,900 Active 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!
-
2006-10-24soldstatus $12,000
-
1999-10-25soldstatus $26,000
-
1996-12-18soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,993 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,993 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,465
- − Property taxes
- −$1,993
- − Insurance
- −$220
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,069
- − Management
- −$1,069
- − Depreciation
- −$1,280
- Taxable income
- $5,271
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,265
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gouverneur Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612360
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,217
- Composite
- 24.08/100
- National rank
- #7757
- State rank
- #582 of 590 in NY
Livability — Gouverneur
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #605
- US rank
- #10956
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gouverneur, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,018
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Slovak 4% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.25%
- Current HPI
- 349.6603
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+266.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2026-03-10 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $44,000 CNYIS
- 2025-07-13 Price Changed $49,900 CNYIS
- 2025-06-17 Price Changed $53,900 CNYIS
- 2025-05-29 Listed $58,900 CNYIS
- 2006-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 1999-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 1996-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,993 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…