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118 William St
A- Composite 83.88
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$43,999

118 William St · Gouverneur, NY 13642
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,386 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 387 Days on market
Built 1900 0.25 ac lot $32/sqft · 45% below area Est $80k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Public sewer
  • Detached garage
  • Public water

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEPUBLIC WATERPUBLIC SEWERFORCED-AIR NATURAL GAS FURNACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $44k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 7.5% in Gouverneur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#605 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gouverneur Central School District (town): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #582 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($304 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 387 days — a 12% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $44k implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $38,719 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 387 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.53%
Cap rate
18.97%
Cash-on-cash
45.28%
DSCR
3.01
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$80,428
List price
$43,999
Delta
-45.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
126 William St 0.03mi 2/1.5 1,534 (+11%) 6mo $74,200 $48 76
13 Smith St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,360 (-2%) 6mo $79,500 $58 61
24 Dorwin St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,430 (+3%) 7mo $79,900 $56 59
183 189 Main Street Hailesboro Rd 0.35mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,288 (-7%) 10mo $205,700 $160 58
133 Main St Hailesboro Rd 0.36mi 2/1.0 1,205 (-13%) 5mo $28,500 $24 55
85 Depot St 0.55mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,386 (0%) 23mo $21,500 $16 50
326 Ush 11 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,508 (+9%) 8mo $220,000 $146 47
68 W Barney St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,310 (-6%) 15mo $68,000 $52 40
332 W Main St 0.53mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,254 (-10%) 17mo $45,000 $36 40
52 Smith St 0.54mi 2/1.0 1,576 (+14%) 17mo $125,000 $79 36
51 Johnstown St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,222 (-12%) 21mo $156,000 $128 35
60 Mckean St & 71 Johnstown St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,236 (-11%) 21mo $115,000 $93 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.9%
Equity multiple
4.49×
Total profit
$43,057
Equity at exit
$28,360
10-year hold
IRR
51.6%
Equity multiple
9.40×
Total profit
$103,470
Equity at exit
$52,046

Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13642

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$231
Tax from tax record
$166 /mo · $1,993/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$465

Break-even live

Break-even rent $526
Max offer price $43,999
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $606 -5% $477 +0% $465 +5% $452 +10% $440
Rent -10% $377 -5% $421 +0% $465 +5% $509 +10% $553
Rate -1.0pp $487 -0.5pp $476 base $465 +0.5pp $453 +1.0pp $442

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,000
Closing costs
$1,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 Sleepy Hollow Rd Gouverneur, NY 3.0 2.0 1499 $1,114 $0.74 44d 3 0.68mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $43,999 Active 387 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $43,999 Active 385 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $43,999 Active 384 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $43,999 Active 383 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $43,999 Active 382 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $43,999 Active 380 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $43,999 Active 379 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $43,999 Active 376 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $43,999 Active 375 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $43,999 Active 374 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $43,999 Active 373 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $43,999 Active 370 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $43,999 Active 369 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $43,999 Active 368 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $43,999 Active 367 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    status Active 637-char remark
    Show marketing remark (637 chars)

    Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!

  17. 2026-03-10
    historical Active Under Contract 637-char remark
    Show marketing remark (637 chars)

    Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!

  18. 2025-11-18
    price $44,000 637-char remark
    Show marketing remark (637 chars)

    Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!

  19. 2025-07-13
    price $49,900 637-char remark
    Show marketing remark (637 chars)

    Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!

  20. 2025-06-17
    price $53,900 637-char remark
    Show marketing remark (637 chars)

    Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!

  21. 2025-05-29
    listed $58,900 Active 637-char remark
    Show marketing remark (637 chars)

    Investor Special in the Village of Gouverneur! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a great opportunity to add value with your finishing touches. Featuring a spacious living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a den that could be used as an office or additional living space. The property includes a detached garage and is connected to public water and sewer. Recent upgrades include a brand new forced-air natural gas furnace. The home has good bones and has been partially gutted, providing a head start for your renovation plans. Ideal for investors or handy homeowners looking to build equity. Don't miss out—schedule a showing today!

  22. 2006-10-24
    soldstatus $12,000
  23. 1999-10-25
    soldstatus $26,000
  24. 1996-12-18
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,993 · $166/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,993 · $166/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,368
− Mortgage interest
−$2,465
− Property taxes
−$1,993
− Insurance
−$220
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,069
− Management
−$1,069
− Depreciation
−$1,280
Taxable income
$5,271
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,265
After-tax cash flow
$4,314/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gouverneur Central School District
NCES district ID
3612360
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$41,217
Composite
24.08/100
National rank
#7757
State rank
#582 of 590 in NY

Livability — Gouverneur

Score
67/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#10956

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gouverneur, NY
Population (ZIP)
9,018

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,027 people
By 2030
107,455 · -2.3%
By 2040
100,492 · -8.7%
By 2050
94,254 · -14.3%
By 2075
80,175 · -27.1%
By 2100
63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.25%
Current HPI
349.6603
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+266.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2026-03-10 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $44,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-07-13 Price Changed $49,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-06-17 Price Changed $53,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-05-29 Listed $58,900 CNYIS
  • 2006-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
  • 1999-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
  • 1996-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,993 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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