159 Dwight St · River Rouge, MI
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1917
- Listed 212 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is level and may be split; paved road; lot dimensions approximately 31 x 94 x 31 x 94 (0.13 acres)
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Security: Owned security system; Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electrical panel; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Basement: full, unfinished
- Exterior features: Outdoor lighting; Enclosed porch; Porch; Fenced yard; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Free‑standing electric oven; Free‑standing refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Smart thermostat; Walk-out, daylight, unfinished full basement with interior entry and sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($646/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (8.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#454 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- River Rouge School District (suburban): math 3% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #535 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.91%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $68,732
- Equity at exit
- $108,015
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.95×
- Total profit
- $199,718
- Equity at exit
- $232,939
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48218
- Home prices YoY
- 28.4%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,092 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $896/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $54
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $122 | -5% $88 | +0% $54 | +5% $20 | +10% $-14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-32 | -5% $11 | +0% $54 | +5% $97 | +10% $140 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $114 | -0.5pp $84 | base $54 | +0.5pp $23 | +1.0pp $-9 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,120 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3801 18th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,900 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $119,900 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!
-
2026-05-17price $119,900
-
2026-04-20price $129,900 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!
-
2026-04-20price $129,900
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!
-
2026-03-20price $139,900 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!
-
2026-03-19price $139,900
-
2025-12-28price $149,900 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!
-
2025-12-27price $149,900
-
2025-11-21$160,500 Active 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!
-
2025-11-21$160,500 Active
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!
-
2025-11-19historical $160,500 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $896 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,371 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$475/yr (+$40/mo · 53.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,105
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$896
- − Insurance
- −$1,266
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,048
- − Management
- −$1,048
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$1,358
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$326
- After-tax cash flow
- $972/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- River Rouge School District
- NCES district ID
- 2629760
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $26,664
- Composite
- 5.29/100
- National rank
- #10033
- State rank
- #535 of 540 in MI
Livability — River Rouge
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #454
- US rank
- #12700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- River Rouge, MI
- City population
- 7,096
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,096
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 34% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 77.93%
- Current HPI
- 352.3551
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-25.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-28 Price Changed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-27 Price Changed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-21 Listed $160,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-21 Listed $160,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-19 Coming Soon $160,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-5.6%/yrLatest (2020): $896 · +61.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…