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159 Dwight St
C- Composite 54.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$119,900

159 Dwight St · River Rouge, MI 48218
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Other public records · 213 Days on market
Built 1917 5,663 sqft lot ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Built 1917
  • Listed 212 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is level and may be split; paved road; lot dimensions approximately 31 x 94 x 31 x 94 (0.13 acres)

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Owned security system; Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electrical panel; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Basement: full, unfinished
  • Exterior features: Outdoor lighting; Enclosed porch; Porch; Fenced yard; Shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Free‑standing electric oven; Free‑standing refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Smart thermostat; Walk-out, daylight, unfinished full basement with interior entry and sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($646/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (8.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#454 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • River Rouge School District (suburban): math 3% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #535 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.91%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$68,732
Equity at exit
$108,015
10-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
6.95×
Total profit
$199,718
Equity at exit
$232,939

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48218

Home prices YoY
28.4%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,092 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $896/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$54

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,024
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $122 -5% $88 +0% $54 +5% $20 +10% $-14
Rent -10% $-32 -5% $11 +0% $54 +5% $97 +10% $140
Rate -1.0pp $114 -0.5pp $84 base $54 +0.5pp $23 +1.0pp $-9

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,120 $1.21 45d 1 0.27mi
1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,050 $1.13 25d 1 0.27mi
3801 18th St Ecorse, MI 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,150 $0.96 18d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Active 213 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 210 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 209 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 208 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 207 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 205 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 201 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 200 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 199 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 196 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 195 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 194 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 193 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 192 DOM
  15. 2026-05-18
    price $119,900 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!

  16. 2026-05-17
    price $119,900
  17. 2026-04-20
    price $129,900 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!

  18. 2026-04-20
    price $129,900
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!

  19. 2026-03-20
    price $139,900 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!

  20. 2026-03-19
    price $139,900
  21. 2025-12-28
    price $149,900 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!

  22. 2025-12-27
    price $149,900
  23. 2025-11-21
    listed $160,500 Active 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!

  24. 2025-11-21
    listed $160,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!

  25. 2025-11-19
    historical $160,500 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Welcome to this updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home set on an impressive double lot - offering endless possibilities! This home features an updated kitchen with modern finishes, perfect for everyday meals or entertaining. There is also ample storage, including a basement and attached storage room. Outside, the fully fenced yard provides privacy and plenty of room to enjoy. The double lot is a standout feature - ideal for building a garage, creating additional outdoor living space, or even splitting for future investment potential. With a brand-new AC and furnace, this home combines charm, comfort, and worry-free living. Don't miss the opportunity to make this versatile property yours!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$896 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$475/yr (+$40/mo · 53.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,105
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$896
− Insurance
−$1,266
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,048
− Management
−$1,048
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$1,358
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$326
After-tax cash flow
$972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
River Rouge School District
NCES district ID
2629760
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$26,664
Composite
5.29/100
National rank
#10033
State rank
#535 of 540 in MI

Livability — River Rouge

Score
65/100
State rank
#454
US rank
#12700

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
River Rouge, MI
City population
7,096
Population (ZIP)
7,096

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 34% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 77.93%
Current HPI
352.3551
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-28 Price Changed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-27 Price Changed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $160,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $160,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-19 Coming Soon $160,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-5.6%/yr

Latest (2020): $896 · +61.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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