5817 Brookside Dr · Denton, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Meticulously maintained property in Country Lakes of Argyle is move-in ready! Located in award-winning Denton ISD, you have access to two community pools, dog park, playgrounds, walking trails, and more. Open kitchen with tons of storage overlooks breakfast counter, eat-in kitchen, and living room with gas fireplace. Large, fenced lot with custom covered patio, faux wood blinds throughout, laminate counter-tops, NEW water heater, NEW garbage disposal. Roof replaced March 2019 due to hail storm, new kitchen faucet and new kitchen sink! Master bedroom flows into en-suite which features double sinks, soaking tub, separate shower, and custom blinds in master bedroom. NEW window in master bathroom. Come see!
Key facts
- Spacious pantry
- Lots of cabinets
- Open floorplan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-136 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (7.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (10.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $296k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.4% in Denton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#2 in TX, #210 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Denton ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #383 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ep Rayzor El (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #110 of 4,322 statewide, top 3%, 322 students, 7% FRL) — zoned schools average 7% FRL vs 38% district-wide (31 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Denton ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 1110 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.77%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $329,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5801 Greenmeadow Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (0%) | 4mo | $335,000 | $220 | 93 |
| 5920 Greenmeadow Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,559 (+3%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $208 | 92 |
| 5804 Brookside Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,519 (-0%) | 13mo | $330,000 | $217 | 87 |
| 6016 Brookside Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,559 (+3%) | 14mo | $350,000 | $225 | 79 |
| 5921 Meadowglen Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,455 (-4%) | 13mo | $325,000 | $223 | 76 |
| 5921 Brookside Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 19mo | $345,000 | $237 | 74 |
| 6036 Brookside Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-7%) | 15mo | $309,900 | $219 | 70 |
| 5813 Greenmeadow Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (+12%) | 13mo | $369,000 | $216 | 66 |
| 5509 Brookside Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (+12%) | 7mo | $344,900 | $202 | 64 |
| 5724 Brookside Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,747 (+15%) | 9mo | $359,900 | $206 | 63 |
| 9705 Creekmere Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (+11%) | 2mo | $354,000 | $209 | 52 |
| 6709 Woodmere Ct | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,691 (+11%) | 6mo | $359,000 | $212 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-65,950
- Equity at exit
- $49,130
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-84,163
- Equity at exit
- $28,489
Cash invested: $92,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76226
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 1110
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,955 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,728
- Tax from tax record
- −$526 /mo · $6,315/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$79
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $-136
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,375
- Closing costs
- $9,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6012 Parkplace Dr Argyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2003 | $2,700 | $1.35 | 1d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 9117 Amistad Ln Argyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1842 | $2,595 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5208 Brookside Dr Argyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2007 | $2,495 | $1.24 | 7d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 8508 White Rock Ln Argyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2041 | $3,000 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5405 Bardwell Dr Argyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1767 | $2,750 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 134 Crawford Rd Argyle, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1847 | $2,600 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 304 Oak Dr Argyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1947 | $2,900 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $79 · $948/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashgaslandscapingpool
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-05soldstatus
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-03-27historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-03-09$329,500 Active
-
2020-05-19soldstatus
-
2020-05-15soldstatus Sold 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
Meticulously maintained property in Country Lakes of Argyle is move-in ready! Located in award-winning Denton ISD, you have access to two community pools, dog park, playgrounds, walking trails, and more. Open kitchen with tons of storage overlooks breakfast counter, eat-in kitchen, and living room with gas fireplace. Large, fenced lot with custom covered patio, faux wood blinds throughout, laminate counter-tops, NEW water heater, NEW garbage disposal. Roof replaced March 2019 due to hail storm, new kitchen faucet and new kitchen sink! Master bedroom flows into en-suite which features double sinks, soaking tub, separate shower, and custom blinds in master bedroom. NEW window in master bathroom. Come see!
-
2020-04-24status Pending 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
Meticulously maintained property in Country Lakes of Argyle is move-in ready! Located in award-winning Denton ISD, you have access to two community pools, dog park, playgrounds, walking trails, and more. Open kitchen with tons of storage overlooks breakfast counter, eat-in kitchen, and living room with gas fireplace. Large, fenced lot with custom covered patio, faux wood blinds throughout, laminate counter-tops, NEW water heater, NEW garbage disposal. Roof replaced March 2019 due to hail storm, new kitchen faucet and new kitchen sink! Master bedroom flows into en-suite which features double sinks, soaking tub, separate shower, and custom blinds in master bedroom. NEW window in master bathroom. Come see!
-
2020-03-09historical Active Option Contract 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
Meticulously maintained property in Country Lakes of Argyle is move-in ready! Located in award-winning Denton ISD, you have access to two community pools, dog park, playgrounds, walking trails, and more. Open kitchen with tons of storage overlooks breakfast counter, eat-in kitchen, and living room with gas fireplace. Large, fenced lot with custom covered patio, faux wood blinds throughout, laminate counter-tops, NEW water heater, NEW garbage disposal. Roof replaced March 2019 due to hail storm, new kitchen faucet and new kitchen sink! Master bedroom flows into en-suite which features double sinks, soaking tub, separate shower, and custom blinds in master bedroom. NEW window in master bathroom. Come see!
-
2020-02-14$239,000 Active 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
Meticulously maintained property in Country Lakes of Argyle is move-in ready! Located in award-winning Denton ISD, you have access to two community pools, dog park, playgrounds, walking trails, and more. Open kitchen with tons of storage overlooks breakfast counter, eat-in kitchen, and living room with gas fireplace. Large, fenced lot with custom covered patio, faux wood blinds throughout, laminate counter-tops, NEW water heater, NEW garbage disposal. Roof replaced March 2019 due to hail storm, new kitchen faucet and new kitchen sink! Master bedroom flows into en-suite which features double sinks, soaking tub, separate shower, and custom blinds in master bedroom. NEW window in master bathroom. Come see!
-
2007-04-27soldstatus 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Cute Property in quant Country Lakes near I-35 & Hwy. 377 with easy access to both. Nice open kitchen area with plenty of cabinets and living room with fireplace. Split bedrooms. Decorative painting. This home is being sold as-is with no warranties expressed or implied by Properitor or LA. Buyer is responsible for verifying all information contained herein.
-
2007-04-12historical 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Cute Property in quant Country Lakes near I-35 & Hwy. 377 with easy access to both. Nice open kitchen area with plenty of cabinets and living room with fireplace. Split bedrooms. Decorative painting. This home is being sold as-is with no warranties expressed or implied by Properitor or LA. Buyer is responsible for verifying all information contained herein.
-
2007-02-02$134,900 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Cute Property in quant Country Lakes near I-35 & Hwy. 377 with easy access to both. Nice open kitchen area with plenty of cabinets and living room with fireplace. Split bedrooms. Decorative painting. This home is being sold as-is with no warranties expressed or implied by Properitor or LA. Buyer is responsible for verifying all information contained herein.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,315 · $526/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,315 · $526/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,465
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,457
- − Property taxes
- −$6,315
- − Insurance
- −$1,648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,837
- − Management
- −$2,837
- − HOA
- −$948
- − Depreciation
- −$9,585
- Taxable loss
- −$7,163
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,719
- After-tax cash flow
- $91/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Denton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816740
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,913
- Composite
- 34.91/100
- National rank
- #5075
- State rank
- #383 of 826 in TX
Livability — Denton
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #210
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Denton, TX
- County
- Denton County · 901,654 people
- City population
- 127,990
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,587
- Household income
- $180,982
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 40.0
Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,053,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,192,269 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 1,472,920 · +39.9%
- By 2050
- 1,746,506 · +65.9%
- By 2075
- 2,358,497 · +124.0%
- By 2100
- 2,779,183 · +163.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Denton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.81%
- Current HPI
- 253.1948
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.61%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+144.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-03-30 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-03-27 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $329,500 NTREIS
- 2020-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-05-15 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2020-04-24 Pending — NTREIS
- 2020-03-09 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2020-02-14 Listed $239,000 NTREIS
- 2007-04-27 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2007-04-12 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2007-02-02 Listed $134,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,315 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…