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230 Main St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$11,250

230 Main St · Vista, CA 92084
None bd · None ba · — sqft · MultiFamily

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Heart of Historic Vista Village, Nightlife, Numerous Annual events, Large floor plan, Parking in front, large public parking  lot directly across. Rentable space: 4500 SqftTerms: $2.50 sq ft + NNN apox $ 0.13 sq ft (property tax only) can change annually  Min 5 years lease with 1 or 2 options to renew (terms TBD), Deposit equal to month and a half rent.   Personal guarantee. Tenant to carry 1 million dollar insurance policy, pay all utilities. Any build out plans must be approved by Landlord prior to submitting to/or pulling permits from the City of Vista. Call or text Listing Agent for appt to show, Listing Agent needs to be on property during preview. Mary Reynolds-Rojas, H

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $11,250 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a multifamily listed at $11k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $11k).
  • Cap rate 236.8% vs local median 2.4% in Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#584 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Vista Unified (suburban): math 32% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #175 of 517 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $78 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $338 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $11,250

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
25.19%
Cap rate
236.79%
Cash-on-cash
823.22%
DSCR
37.63
GRM
0.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
327-31 E Orange St 0.17mi 5/4.0 10mo $1,050,000 71
627-629 N Citrus Ave 0.36mi 4/2.0 1,808 2mo $869,000 $481 69
221-23 Ardys Pl 0.35mi 6/4.0 1,936 2mo $852,000 $440 69
702-704 E Vista Way 0.43mi 5/4.0 3mo $1,075,000 65
631-633 Hillside Ter 0.45mi 8/3.5 2,382 3mo $1,200,000 $504 64
785 Lemon Ave Unit 1-4 0.49mi 9/5.0 3,654 1mo $2,225,000 $609 64
785 Lemon Ave 0.49mi 9/5.0 3,654 1mo $2,225,000 $609 64
117-19 Plymouth Dr 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,380 15mo $875,000 $634 55
714 Franklin Ln 0.51mi —/— 20,252 11mo $5,000,000 $247 54
764 Eucalyptus Ave 0.63mi 6/6.0 3,712 13mo $1,575,000 $424 47
475-477 E Indian Rock Rd 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,704 11mo $910,000 $534 44
850 Eucalyptus Ave 0.73mi 8/7.0 14mo $1,330,000 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
42.87×
Total profit
$131,886
Equity at exit
$1,677
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
88.75×
Total profit
$276,426
Equity at exit
$973

Cash invested: $3,150 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92084

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
0.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,834 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$59
Tax est. 1.5%
$14 /mo · $169/yr
Insurance
$5
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$595
Net cashflow
$2,161

Break-even live

Break-even rent $98
Max offer price $11,250
Occupancy floor 19%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,169 -5% $2,165 +0% $2,161 +5% $2,157 +10% $2,153
Rent -10% $1,937 -5% $2,049 +0% $2,161 +5% $2,273 +10% $2,385
Rate -1.0pp $2,167 -0.5pp $2,164 base $2,161 +0.5pp $2,158 +1.0pp $2,155

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,812
Closing costs
$338
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Main St Vista, CA 2.0 1.0–2.5 1288 $4,166 $3.23 2d 13 0.08mi
226 N Citrus Ave Unit A Vista, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,500 $3.50 24d 1 0.10mi
318 Washington St Unit 318 Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $2,095 $2.99 15d 1 0.13mi
322 Hillside Ter Vista, CA 2.0 2.0 $2,350 24d 1 0.22mi
210 Goetting Way Vista, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,800 $3.50 24d 1 0.26mi
210 Goetting Way Vista, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,690 $3.36 15d 1 0.26mi
523 N Citrus Ave Vista, CA 3.0 2.0 $3,545 2d 1 0.27mi
523 N Citrus Ave Unit 523 (Main House) Vista, CA 3.0 2.0 $3,545 24d 1 0.27mi
528 N Citrus Ave Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 400 $1,550 $3.88 24d 1 0.28mi
298 Eddie Dr Vista, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 789 $2,500 $3.17 44d 2 0.29mi
227 Hillside Ter Unit 2 Vista, CA 3.0 2.0 $4,350 44d 1 0.31mi
222 E California Ave Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 450 $1,795 $3.99 5d 1 0.32mi
318 Hillside Ct Vista, CA 2.0 1.5 925 $2,595 $2.81 3d 1 0.40mi
516 S Santa Fe Ave Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 823 $2,668 $3.24 2d 4 0.43mi
240 Nevada Ave Vista, CA 2.0 1.0 835 $2,350 $2.81 5d 2 0.44mi
219 Plymouth Dr Unit B Vista, CA 2.0 2.0 1250 $2,750 $2.20 5d 1 0.46mi
219 Plymouth Dr Unit A Vista, CA 2.0 2.0 1050 $2,500 $2.38 5d 1 0.46mi
722 Franklin Ln Unit B Vista, CA 2.0 2.0 $2,495 24d 1 0.48mi
415 Plymouth Dr Vista, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,550 $2.55 5d 2 0.48mi
723 Eucalyptus Ave Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 408 $1,800 $4.41 5d 1 0.54mi
401 W California Ave Unit 16 Vista, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,340 $2.13 44d 1 0.56mi
740 Paseo Buena Vis Vista, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1038 $3,342 $3.22 2d 7 0.56mi
801 Hillside Ter Vista, CA 2.0 2.0 1150 $2,550 $2.22 24d 1 0.59mi
264 Avalon Dr Apt 3 Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 695 $2,095 $3.01 24d 1 0.64mi
264 Avalon Dr Unit 13 Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 695 $1,915 $2.76 5d 1 0.64mi
487 Lado De Loma Dr Unit 1 Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $2,000 $4.00 44d 1 0.65mi
344 Rancho Vista Pl Vista, CA 3.0 2.0 1141 $4,000 $3.51 44d 1 0.65mi
825 Normark Ter Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,875 $2.50 12d 1 0.71mi
825 Normark Ter Unit 2 Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,875 $2.50 44d 1 0.71mi
345 N Melrose Dr Unit F Vista, CA 2.0 2.0 1152 $2,995 $2.60 44d 1 0.72mi
333 N Melrose Dr Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 892 $2,200 $2.47 17d 1 0.72mi
510 Townsite Dr Vista, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 775 $2,195 $2.83 2d 3 0.73mi
371 N Melrose Dr Unit G Vista, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $3,400 $3.09 24d 1 0.74mi
560 Copper Dr Vista, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 925 $2,495 $2.70 2d 2 0.75mi
300 W Los Angeles Dr Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,938 $2.58 5d 2 0.75mi
173 Pala Vista Dr Unit 12 Vista, CA 2.0 1.0 990 $2,695 $2.72 20d 1 0.76mi
1024 Bonnie Brae Pl Vista, CA 3.0 2.0 1684 $3,800 $2.26 24d 1 0.78mi
901 Eucalyptus Ave Vista, CA 2.0 1.0 1033 $3,250 $3.15 24d 1 0.78mi
1122 Geronimo Pl Vista, CA 3.0–4.0 2.5–3.0 1354 $3,579 $2.64 2d 1 0.82mi
1255 Rhea Pl Unit A Vista, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $2,350 $3.36 2d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2023-06-29
    historical
  2. 2023-02-19
    listed $11,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,005
− Mortgage interest
−$630
− Property taxes
−$169
− Insurance
−$56
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,720
− Management
−$2,720
− Depreciation
−$327
Taxable income
$27,382
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,572
After-tax cash flow
$19,360/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vista Unified
NCES district ID
0641190
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$60,067
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3850
State rank
#175 of 517 in CA

Livability — Vista

Score
60/100
State rank
#584
US rank
#18990

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vista, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
117,104
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
49,727
Household income
$98,577
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1904.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% White 38% Two or more races 26% Asian 4% Black 2% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 46%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 34% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -649.36%
Current HPI
366.7772
Rent YoY
▲ 1.59%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2023-06-29 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2023-02-19 Listed $11,250 SDMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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