2950 SE Ocean Blvd Unit 7-5 · Stuart, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$123,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Kingswood! This 55+ condo community enjoys the best location around. Close to beaches (5 mins), shopping (2 mins), Medical facilities (5 mins), downtown Stuart (7 mins), downtown Jensen Beach (7 mins). Walk to shopping with ease. Kingswood is a vibrant community with tons of activities to choose from. The pool and clubhouse are steps away, as well as the shuffleboard courts. Unit 7-5 has new laminate flooring and a brand new A/C system. The glass enclosed patio has been opened up to the main living area and is perfect for sipping your morning coffee. This unit comes fully and tastefully furnished. Phase 1 does not allow trucks or pets and a new owner can lease the unit after 2 years. These buildings have recently been re-roofed and there is NO ASSESSMENT!
Key facts
- Walk to shopping
- Close to shopping
- Close to beaches
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $124k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $124k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.2% in Stuart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in FL, #790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: J. D. Parker School of Technology (math 39% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 519 students, 72% FRL); Stuart Middle School (math 55% / reading 55%, grade B-, #180 of 571 statewide, top 32%, 867 students, 49% FRL); Jensen Beach High School (math 53% / reading 71%, grade B-, #98 of 667 statewide, top 15%, 1,584 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: 286 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($857 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.30%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $169,309
- List price
- $123,900
- Delta
- -26.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2929 SE Ocean Blvd Unit 103-9 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,005 (-7%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $124 | 86 |
| 2929 SE Ocean Blvd Unit 134-3 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,005 (-7%) | 1mo | $111,500 | $111 | 86 |
| 2600 SE Ocean Blvd Unit Bb2 | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,089 (+1%) | 0mo | $152,000 | $140 | 85 |
| 2950 SE Ocean Blvd Unit 6-3 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,134 (+5%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $146 | 80 |
| 2929 SE Ocean Blvd Unit 131-10 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 992 (-8%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $146 | 77 |
| 2929 SE Ocean Blvd Unit O4 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 837 (-22%) | 1mo | $129,500 | $155 | 72 |
| 1800 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Unit 5-101 | 0.87mi | 2/2.0 | 1,051 (-2%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $195 | 60 |
| 1800 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Unit 7-205 | 0.85mi | 2/2.0 | 1,044 (-3%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $172 | 59 |
| 2600 SE Ocean Blvd Unit F12 | 0.29mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 814 (-24%) | 1mo | $109,900 | $135 | 53 |
| 282 SE Edgewood Dr | 0.86mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+11%) | 1mo | $545,000 | $454 | 46 |
| 175 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Unit E130 | 0.83mi | 2/2.0 | 1,300 (+21%) | 1mo | $355,000 | $273 | 39 |
| 351 SE Flamingo Ave | 0.83mi | 2/2.5 | 1,302 (+21%) | 0mo | $490,000 | $376 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $88,237
- Equity at exit
- $111,619
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.06×
- Total profit
- $244,930
- Equity at exit
- $240,710
Cash invested: $34,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 6 under contract
- Median asking
- $275,000 ($230/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 137 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -31.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34996
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 286
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,457 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$650
- Tax from tax record
- −$218 /mo · $2,620/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$637
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $318
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $388 | -5% $353 | +0% $318 | +5% $283 | +10% $248 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $124 | -5% $221 | +0% $318 | +5% $415 | +10% $512 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $380 | -0.5pp $349 | base $318 | +0.5pp $286 | +1.0pp $253 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,975
- Closing costs
- $3,717
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2950 SE Ocean Blvd Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1035 | $2,000 | $1.93 | 15d | 6 | 0.07mi |
| 2950 SE Ocean Blvd Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 63d | 3 | 0.07mi |
| 2929 SE Ocean Blvd Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 812 | $2,400 | $2.96 | 72d | 6 | 0.22mi |
| 2929 SE Ocean Blvd Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 850 | $2,400 | $2.82 | 15d | 6 | 0.22mi |
| 2600 SE Ocean Blvd Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,725 | $1.58 | 15d | 2 | 0.27mi |
| 2600 SE Ocean Blvd Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 951 | $1,900 | $2.00 | 63d | 3 | 0.27mi |
| 2929 SE Ocean Blvd Unit 130 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,800 | $1.79 | 72d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1196 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1309 | $4,300 | $3.28 | 72d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 300 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Stuart, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $2,214 | $2.50 | 15d | 14 | 0.59mi |
| 262 SE Monterey Ave Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1001 | $3,500 | $3.50 | 72d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 175 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1300 | $2,800 | $2.15 | 15d | 5 | 0.78mi |
| 150 SE Four Winds Dr Unit B303 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1359 | $2,500 | $1.84 | 72d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1800 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Unit 10-207 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,900 | $1.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 333 SE Martin Ave Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $1,625 | $2.09 | 15d | 2 | 0.88mi |
| 333 SE Martin Ave Unit 1F Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $1,800 | $2.31 | 72d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1800 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $2,600 | $2.49 | 72d | 3 | 0.88mi |
| 217 SE Coconut Ave Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1197 | $4,750 | $3.97 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail $637/mo · $7,644/yr condo
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $123,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $123,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $123,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $123,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $123,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $123,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $123,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $123,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $123,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $123,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $123,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $123,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $123,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $123,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $123,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $123,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $123,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $123,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $123,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $123,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $123,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $123,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $123,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $123,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $123,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $123,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $123,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $123,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $123,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $123,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $123,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $123,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $123,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $123,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $123,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $123,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $123,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $123,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $123,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $123,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $123,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $123,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $123,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $123,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $123,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $123,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $123,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $123,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $123,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $123,900 Active 82 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,620 · $218/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,620 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,485
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,940
- − Property taxes
- −$2,620
- − Insurance
- −$1,417
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,359
- − Management
- −$2,359
- − HOA
- −$7,644
- − Depreciation
- −$3,604
- Taxable income
- $2,542
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$610
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,205/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This 55+ condo unit requires moderate repairs, including a new roof and exterior painting, to improve its condition and value.
Components & finishes AI
Repairs flagged
- Major Roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition with visible damage.
- Moderate Exterior walls — The siding appears to be in fair condition, but there is some wear and tear.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Replace roof — A new roof will significantly increase the home's value and make it more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Paint exterior walls — Painting the exterior walls will improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Stuart
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stuart, FL
- County
- Martin County · 172,383 people
- City population
- 65,812
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,653
- Household income
- $83,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 24% of renters
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.71%
- Current HPI
- 658.96
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+178.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $123,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $128,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $139,900 Beaches MLS
- 2023-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2000-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
- 2000-07-14 Sold (MLS) $41,500 MCRTC
- 2000-04-05 Listed $44,500 MCRTC
Property tax history
+25.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,620 · -7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…