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327 N 1st St
C Composite 58.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.8/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

327 N 1st St · Belleville, IL 62220
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 832 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1906 3,920 sqft lot Est $125k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming Remodeled 4-BR Home in Downtown Belleville! Enjoy the perfect blend of modern updates and historic charm in this beautifully remodeled 4-bedroom home, located just steps from vibrant downtown restaurants and shops. Key Features: Layout: Convenient main-floor primary bedroom, plus 3 additional bedrooms on the upper level. Outdoor Living: Relax on your choice of covered front or rear porches. Kitchen: Updated with a brand-new refrigerator, stove, and stove hood. Major Upgrades: Peace of mind with a new roof (2024), brand-new HVAC heat pump (2026), new water heater (2026), and fresh luxury vinyl plank (LVP) and vinyl flooring throughout. Property is being sold “AS-IS. ”

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • New hvac heat pump
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

MAIN-FLOOR PRIMARY BEDROOMCOVERED FRONT PORCHCOVERED REAR PORCHUPDATED KITCHENNEW ROOFNEW HVAC HEAT PUMP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Updated/remodeled condition; House structure; One and one-half levels; Estimated above-grade finished area 1,200
  • Construction: Metal siding; Architectural shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Porch; City lot; Corner lot; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range; Range hood; Appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the main level; 3 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main/upper levels)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Insulated windows
  • Laundry & utility: Basement with sump pump; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $135k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.15%
Cash-on-cash
10.21%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$124,800
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1007 Western Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 (-1) 884 (+6%) 9mo $132,500 $150 42
619 N Church St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 955 (+15%) 23mo $99,900 $105 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$6,791
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$69,512
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62220

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Rents YoY
14.5%
Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,547 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,632/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$322

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,139
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $398 -5% $360 +0% $322 +5% $283 +10% $245
Rent -10% $200 -5% $261 +0% $322 +5% $383 +10% $444
Rate -1.0pp $390 -0.5pp $356 base $322 +0.5pp $287 +1.0pp $251

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1717 La Salle St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,350 $1.22 24d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 687-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $135,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,632 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,348 · $196/mo
Expected delta
+$716/yr (+$60/mo · 43.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,560
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,632
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,485
− Management
−$1,485
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$1,795
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$431
After-tax cash flow
$3,430/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belleville, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
19,152
Household income
$65,952
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
923.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.27%
Current HPI
145.9237
Rent YoY
▲ 14.47%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+650.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,632 · +44.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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