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1711 13th St
B Composite 74.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

1711 13th St · Wilson, TX 79381
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,494 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1913 0.52 ac lot ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1711 13th St in Wilson, TX — a spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home situated on an oversized corner lot offering endless possibilities both inside and out. This property features a large living area highlighted by a stunning floor-to-ceiling stone fireplace, a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinet storage, and functional living spaces full of character and charm. Mature shade trees provide excellent curb appeal and create a peaceful outdoor setting. Outside, you'll find a detached 2-car garage with workshop space, a large covered carport, and an additional bonus building that offers incredible flexibility for a mother-in-law suite, she shed, salon, office, hobby room, or ad

Key facts

  • Oversized corner lot
  • Bonus building
  • Mature shade trees

Tags

DETACHED 2 CAR GARAGELARGE COVERED CARPORTBONUS BUILDINGOVERSIZED CORNER LOTMATURE SHADE TREES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Additional structures on site include a second garage, shed(s), and a workshop
  • Financial info: Tax amount provided but excluded from features
  • HOA & community: HOA information not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2-car carport; Parking includes attached garage and carport
  • Security: Security details not specified
  • Utilities: Utilities details not specified
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Corner lot; City street frontage; Paved public-maintained road
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Storage; Shed(s); Workshop; Second garage; Fenced yard; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen appliances not specified
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms not specified
  • Flooring: Flooring details not specified
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,132 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Wilson ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #1,024 of 1,141 in TX (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Lynn County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
15.02%
Cash-on-cash
31.18%
DSCR
2.39
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.3%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$88,996
Equity at exit
$68,868
10-year hold
IRR
37.2%
Equity multiple
6.19×
Total profit
$217,904
Equity at exit
$107,253

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79381

Home prices YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,783 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$258 /mo · $3,098/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$584
Net cashflow
$1,091

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,402
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $150,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 22 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $160,000 Active 1060-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,098 · $258/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,098 · $258/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,396
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$3,098
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,672
− Management
−$2,672
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$11,439
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,745
After-tax cash flow
$10,350/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilson ISD
NCES district ID
4845990
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 20.00%
Median HH income
$37,801
Composite
27.85/100
National rank
#12290
State rank
#1024 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Wilson

Score
59/100
State rank
#1132
US rank
#20012

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wilson, TX
Population (ZIP)
1,457

Population outlook (Lynn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,360 people
By 2030
5,162 · -3.7%
By 2040
4,811 · -10.2%
By 2050
4,422 · -17.5%
By 2075
3,362 · -37.3%
By 2100
2,177 · -59.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (51%)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 48% Two or more races 20%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 22% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lynn

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.3) · D 14.4% · R 84.7%
2008→2024 swing
-30.3pp toward R · 2008: -40.0pp · 2024: -70.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.3 2020: R+62.1 2016: R+57.2 2012: R+49.3 2008: R+40.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.17%
Current HPI
125.9221
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $150,000 LARMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $160,000 LARMLS

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,098 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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