601 3rd St N · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Look at this cute, completely remolded home. Beautifully stained original hardwood floors, and includes new heating and air system as well.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 234 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Tuggle Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #591 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 470 students, 87% FRL); Parker High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 826 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $653 of equity ($339 loan paydown + $314 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.77%
- DSCR
- 2.95
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,620
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 446 1st St N | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 1,034 (-12%) | 13mo | $75,000 | $73 | 52 |
| 310 S Center St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,107 (-5%) | 20mo | $97,000 | $88 | 42 |
| 855 5th St W | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,016 (-13%) | 24mo | $87,000 | $86 | 14 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $31,936
- Equity at exit
- $15,819
- IRR
- 48.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.61×
- Total profit
- $77,021
- Equity at exit
- $20,336
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35204
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,033 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $462/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $500
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 963 3rd St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,295 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1153 2nd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 410 8th Ter W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 16d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1400 7th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $961 | $1.32 | 23d | 3 | 0.80mi |
| 413 Fulton Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $525 | $0.56 | 2d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 915 6th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1332 | $1,075 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 112 Kappa Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1113 15th St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $880 | $1.26 | 43d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 617 7th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 905 7th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1317 11th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 624 4th Ct W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,250 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 517 11th Ct W Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $795 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 310 Gamma St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1001 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1305 16th St N Unit 1305 D Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $595 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 608 Fulton Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1271 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 724 4th Ct W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $930 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 506 Alpha St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,373 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 827 6th Ave W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1214 | $1,075 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 313 Beta St S Unit 317A Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $799 | $0.94 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 757 10th Ave W Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,000 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 644 Alabama Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,125 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1500 12th St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 600 19th St N Unit 601 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $2,544 | $2.54 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 600 19th St N Apt 202 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $3,050 | $2.44 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 600 19th St N Unit 604 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $2,895 | $2.89 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 600 19th St N Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $2,725 | $2.43 | 16d | 30 | 1.20mi |
| 600 19th St N Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1398 | $3,008 | $2.15 | 19d | 83 | 1.20mi |
| 353 16th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $995 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 719 Washington Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $950 | $0.89 | 11d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 908 4th Ave W Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $745 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 12 4th Ave SW Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1336 | $1,100 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1816 3rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1305 | $2,865 | $2.20 | 3d | 15 | 1.28mi |
| 1802 14th Ct N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 19d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 120 19th St N Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $2,190 | $2.47 | 1d | 14 | 1.32mi |
| 1000 4th Ave W Unit 4 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $823 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 120 19th St N Unit 312 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $3,495 | $3.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1101 7th Ave W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1508 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $2,222 | $1.95 | 3d | 3 | 1.37mi |
| 1701 1st Ave S Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $2,506 | $2.82 | 2d | 21 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2023-06-06status Pending
-
2023-05-05price $49,000
-
2023-04-12status Active
-
2023-02-06status Pending
-
2022-12-27price $51,000
-
2022-08-11$75,000 Active
-
2021-10-08soldstatus $427,453
-
2019-07-16soldstatus $46,000
-
2019-07-08soldstatus $46,000 Sold 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
Look at this cute, completely remolded home. Beautifully stained original hardwood floors, and includes new heating and air system as well.
-
2019-05-28historical Contingent 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
Look at this cute, completely remolded home. Beautifully stained original hardwood floors, and includes new heating and air system as well.
-
2019-05-01$55,000 Active 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
Look at this cute, completely remolded home. Beautifully stained original hardwood floors, and includes new heating and air system as well.
-
2013-10-23soldstatus $2,500 86-char remark
Show marketing remark (86 chars)
2 Bedroom, 2 Baths located in the Smithfield community. Right of Redemption may apply.
-
2013-07-18$2,500 86-char remark
Show marketing remark (86 chars)
2 Bedroom, 2 Baths located in the Smithfield community. Right of Redemption may apply.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $462 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $462 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,399
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$462
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$992
- − Management
- −$992
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $5,538
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,329
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,676/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,953
- Household income
- $35,420
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 422.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.64%
- Current HPI
- 201.0777
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+1860.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2023-06-06 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-05-05 Price Changed $49,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-04-12 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-02-06 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-12-27 Price Changed $51,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-08-11 Listed $75,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $427,453 Public Records
- 2019-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 2019-07-08 Sold (MLS) $46,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-05-28 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-05-01 Listed $55,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2013-10-23 Sold (MLS) $2,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2013-07-18 Listed $2,500 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $462 · -13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…