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118 Todd Trail Dr
B Composite 71.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,995

118 Todd Trail Dr · Fort Worth, TX 76036
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,475 sqft · Manufactured · 9 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 4,913 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The Spruce offers 1,475 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy a spacious living room, large kitchen with center island, dedicated dining area, private primary suite, and modern finishes throughout. With abundant natural light, generous storage, and functional design, The Spruce delivers comfort, style, and value for today's homeowner.

Key facts

  • 4,913 sq ft lot
  • Built 2026
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: 118 Todd Trail Dr, Crowley, TX 76036; Listing status: Active; Listing provided by Zillow
  • Financial info: List price $99,995

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family property; Spruce plan
  • Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,475

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms; 3 total bathrooms
  • Interior features: Spec new construction (Spruce plan)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
  • Crowley ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #643 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 1018 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $99,995

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.21%
Cap rate
18.99%
Cash-on-cash
45.35%
DSCR
3.02
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.7%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$49,634
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
47.5%
Equity multiple
5.42×
Total profit
$123,699
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $27,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76036

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
1018
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,214 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$465
Net cashflow
$1,058

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $99,995
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,999
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,995 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,995 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,995 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,995 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,995 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 462-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $99,995 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,571
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,126
− Management
−$2,126
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$11,809
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,834
After-tax cash flow
$9,864/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

The Spruce is a well-maintained, modern manufactured home with good condition and minimal repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value
  • Resale Trim and paint windows — Well-maintained windows improve home's appearance and energy efficiency
  • Both Replace countertops — Modern countertops can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value
  • Resale Trim and paint windows — Well-maintained windows improve home's appearance and energy efficiency
  • Both Replace countertops — Modern countertops can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crowley ISD
NCES district ID
4815910
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,810
Composite
25.04/100
National rank
#7549
State rank
#643 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,044
Household income
$97,973
Rent vs Own
23.7% rent · 76.3% own
Severe rent burden
584.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.45%
Current HPI
238.6365
Rent YoY
▲ 2.28%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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