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3129 Adrienne Dr
B+ Composite 75.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

3129 Adrienne Dr · Jackson, MS 39212
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,744 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1957 0.30 ac lot $34/sqft · 16% below area Est $72k · 16% under ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 3129 Adrienne Drive! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a separate dining room and a spacious den--perfect for entertaining or creating a cozy second living area. The huge backyard provides endless possibilities for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. With plenty of room to grow, this property is ideal for a homeowner looking to personalize their space or an investor seeking strong rental potential. Don't miss this opportunity to add value and make it your own!

Key facts

  • Separate dining room
  • Huge backyard
  • Spacious den

Tags

SEPARATE DINING ROOMSPACIOUS DENHUGE BACKYARDOUTDOOR LIVINGSTRONG RENTAL POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,509 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.14%
Cap rate
16.79%
Cash-on-cash
37.48%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$71,717
List price
$59,900
Delta
-16.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3143 Revere St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,528 (-12%) 5mo $37,250 $24 67
267 W Leavell Woods Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,747 (+0%) 3mo $80,000 $46 65
2938 Oak Forest Dr 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,726 (-1%) 9mo $93,500 $54 65
697 Woody Dr 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,572 (-10%) 10mo $44,400 $28 59
953 Woody Dr 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,595 (-8%) 3mo $5,900 $4 55
3122 Shirley Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-14%) 8mo $59,900 $40 54
1136 Killarney St 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,608 (-8%) 2mo $45,500 $28 52
2813 Marydale Dr 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,500 (-14%) 2mo $34,999 $23 52
249 Woody Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,604 (-8%) 8mo $37,000 $23 47
3007 Oak Forest Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (-13%) 6mo $99,700 $66 42
3218 Meadow Forest Dr 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,898 (+9%) 3mo $59,000 $31 41
1108 Wooddell Dr 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,584 (-9%) 9mo $62,500 $39 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$25,330
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
42.5%
Equity multiple
5.30×
Total profit
$72,038
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39212

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,281 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$149 /mo · $1,787/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $618
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $558 -5% $541 +0% $524 +5% $507 +10% $490
Rent -10% $423 -5% $473 +0% $524 +5% $574 +10% $625
Rate -1.0pp $554 -0.5pp $539 base $524 +0.5pp $508 +1.0pp $493

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3147 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,306 $0.71 44d 1 0.09mi
3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 14d 1 0.13mi
1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1300 $950 $0.73 44d 1 0.22mi
2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.30mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2137 $1,425 $0.67 44d 1 0.34mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2137 $1,425 $0.67 14d 1 0.34mi
3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1474 $1,306 $0.89 14d 1 0.35mi
3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1421 $1,100 $0.77 44d 1 0.45mi
2729 Carleton St Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1666 $1,575 $0.95 14d 1 0.45mi
3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1280 $1,236 $0.97 44d 1 0.46mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 44d 1 0.47mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 14d 1 0.47mi
360 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1624 $1,575 $0.97 14d 1 0.53mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,250 $1.05 44d 1 0.56mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,250 $1.05 14d 1 0.56mi
3511 Sykes Park Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1225 $1,426 $1.16 14d 1 0.60mi
3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,150 $0.72 24d 1 0.62mi
267 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1165 $1,100 $0.94 44d 1 0.64mi
3049 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1200 $975 $0.81 44d 1 0.64mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 14d 1 0.65mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 44d 1 0.65mi
1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,150 $1.09 24d 1 0.68mi
103 Sykes Park Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 44d 1 0.75mi
843 Reaves St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,084 $0.77 44d 1 0.79mi
2904 Marwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1554 $1,250 $0.80 24d 1 0.81mi
201 W Santa Clair St Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 1182 $950 $0.80 24d 1 0.82mi
201 W Santa Clair St Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 1182 $950 $0.80 14d 1 0.82mi
2732 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1566 $1,050 $0.67 24d 1 0.82mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1509 $1,075 $0.71 14d 1 0.89mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1509 $1,075 $0.71 24d 1 0.89mi
3308 Ramona St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,150 $1.04 22d 1 0.90mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 14d 1 0.96mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 24d 1 0.96mi
427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1308 $1,200 $0.92 14d 1 0.96mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 14d 1 1.04mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 24d 1 1.04mi
270 Wildwood Ct Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 22d 1 1.06mi
2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,400 $0.78 24d 1 1.09mi
1010 Deryll St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1143 $1,050 $0.92 14d 1 1.14mi
1018 Deryll St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1056 $900 $0.85 24d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $59,900 Pending 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,900 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 85 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 84 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 83 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    status Active 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Welcome to 3129 Adrienne Drive! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a separate dining room and a spacious den--perfect for entertaining or creating a cozy second living area. The huge backyard provides endless possibilities for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. With plenty of room to grow, this property is ideal for a homeowner looking to personalize their space or an investor seeking strong rental potential. Don't miss this opportunity to add value and make it your own!

  17. 2026-04-24
    status Pending 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Welcome to 3129 Adrienne Drive! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a separate dining room and a spacious den--perfect for entertaining or creating a cozy second living area. The huge backyard provides endless possibilities for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. With plenty of room to grow, this property is ideal for a homeowner looking to personalize their space or an investor seeking strong rental potential. Don't miss this opportunity to add value and make it your own!

  18. 2026-04-06
    price $59,900 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Welcome to 3129 Adrienne Drive! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a separate dining room and a spacious den--perfect for entertaining or creating a cozy second living area. The huge backyard provides endless possibilities for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. With plenty of room to grow, this property is ideal for a homeowner looking to personalize their space or an investor seeking strong rental potential. Don't miss this opportunity to add value and make it your own!

  19. 2026-03-17
    price $65,000 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Welcome to 3129 Adrienne Drive! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a separate dining room and a spacious den--perfect for entertaining or creating a cozy second living area. The huge backyard provides endless possibilities for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. With plenty of room to grow, this property is ideal for a homeowner looking to personalize their space or an investor seeking strong rental potential. Don't miss this opportunity to add value and make it your own!

  20. 2026-02-26
    listed $71,500 Active 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Welcome to 3129 Adrienne Drive! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a functional layout with a separate dining room and a spacious den--perfect for entertaining or creating a cozy second living area. The huge backyard provides endless possibilities for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. With plenty of room to grow, this property is ideal for a homeowner looking to personalize their space or an investor seeking strong rental potential. Don't miss this opportunity to add value and make it your own!

  21. 2024-07-03
    historical
  22. 2024-01-04
    listed $74,000 Active
  23. 2023-11-14
    historical
  24. 2023-11-09
    status Active
  25. 2023-10-25
    status Pending
  26. 2023-09-27
    price $59,900
  27. 2023-09-06
    price $65,000
  28. 2023-08-22
    price $69,000
  29. 2023-08-08
    status Active
  30. 2023-07-10
    status Pending
  31. 2023-06-20
    price $74,000
  32. 2023-05-26
    price $77,000
  33. 2023-05-05
    listed $78,000 Active
  34. 2018-03-13
    soldstatus
  35. 2017-12-04
    soldstatus
  36. 1998-09-04
    soldstatus
  37. 1957-05-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,787 · $149/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,787 · $149/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,371
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$1,787
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,230
− Management
−$1,230
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$5,727
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,374
After-tax cash flow
$4,912/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,659
Household income
$50,722
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.01%
Current HPI
174.4025
Rent YoY
▲ 4.23%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-23.2% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-04-24 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $59,900 MLSU
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $65,000 MLSU
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $71,500 MLSU
  • 2024-07-03 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-01-04 Listed $74,000 MLSU
  • 2023-11-14 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2023-11-09 Relisted MLSU
  • 2023-10-25 Pending MLSU
  • 2023-09-27 Price Changed $59,900 MLSU
  • 2023-09-06 Price Changed $65,000 MLSU
  • 2023-08-22 Price Changed $69,000 MLSU
  • 2023-08-08 Relisted MLSU
  • 2023-07-10 Pending MLSU
  • 2023-06-20 Price Changed $74,000 MLSU
  • 2023-05-26 Price Changed $77,000 MLSU
  • 2023-05-05 Listed $78,000 MLSU
  • 2018-03-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-12-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-09-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1957-05-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,787 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…