14640 Memorial Dr · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully maintained 5 bedroom all-brick raised ranch offering the perfect blend of space, comfort, and future potential in a quiet Dolton neighborhood where pride of ownership is evident throughout the block. This spacious 5-bedroom, 2-bath home has been lovingly cared for and provides a flexible layout ideal for a variety of lifestyles. Natural light pours through the large living room picture window, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere while showcasing the beautiful hardwood floors and fresh paint throughout the main level. The thoughtfully designed floor plan features 3 main-level bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, while the additional basement bedrooms offer excellent flexibility for
Key facts
- Cedar closets
- Finished basement
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property not currently leased; Close/Immediate possession available; Accessible to commuter bus and train and interstate
- HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community features include park, curbs, sidewalks, street lights, and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces; Concrete driveway with side driveway; Garage door opener; Garage is owned
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan and public supply; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story design; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; Mature trees on lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area / breakfast bar; Range; Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on main level (including a 12 x 11 primary with hardwood floors); 2 additional bedrooms in the basement (both approx. 11 x 11, vinyl flooring) — property can accommodate up to 5 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in main living areas and some bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen, dining, and some basement bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 9 total rooms; Screens on windows; Wood-burning fireplace in the family room
- Laundry & utility: Basement laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $206k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $206k).
- Recommended offer: $203k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime D-.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Thornridge High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #589 of 693 statewide, top 86%, 1,057 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,377/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $58k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $206k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.79%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $174,788
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14619 Martin Luther King Jr Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,153 (-2%) | 2mo | $163,000 | $141 | 81 |
| 14813 Evers St | 0.24mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,127 (-5%) | 3mo | $82,000 | $73 | 74 |
| 14927 Cottage Grove Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,095 (-7%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $228 | 64 |
| 14819 Evers St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (+10%) | 0mo | $227,000 | $174 | 62 |
| 619 E 152nd St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,146 (-3%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $134 | 60 |
| 14714 Beachview Ter | 0.38mi | 3/3.0 | 1,100 (-7%) | 6mo | $163,000 | $148 | 58 |
| 14315 Dobson Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+2%) | 1mo | $194,888 | $162 | 55 |
| 14814 Woodlawn Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,234 (+4%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $142 | 54 |
| 15223 Cottage Grove Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,099 (-7%) | 3mo | $172,000 | $157 | 51 |
| 506 E 144th St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-14%) | 2mo | $48,500 | $48 | 50 |
| 15037 Irving Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,357 (+15%) | 5mo | $204,900 | $151 | 46 |
| 14447 University Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+10%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $58 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $74
- Equity at exit
- $30,715
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $84,460
- Equity at exit
- $17,811
Cash invested: $57,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,377 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,080
- Tax from tax record
- −$385 /mo · $4,626/yr
- Insurance
- −$86
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$499
- Net cashflow
- $326
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,500
- Closing costs
- $6,180
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,430 | $2.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 10d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,390 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 7d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 6d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 10d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 13841 Forest Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,895 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 409 Madison Ave Unit 2 Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $205,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $205,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $205,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $205,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $219,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$219,000 Active
-
2026-04-23historical
-
2026-01-06price
-
2025-10-23Active
-
1979-08-14soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,626 · $385/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,651 · $388/mo
- Expected delta
- +$25/yr (+$2/mo · 0.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,524
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,539
- − Property taxes
- −$4,626
- − Insurance
- −$1,030
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,282
- − Management
- −$2,282
- − Depreciation
- −$5,993
- Taxable income
- $773
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$185
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,729/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+298.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $219,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-23 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1979-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2023): $4,626 · +50.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…