4222 King Krest · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$123,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home will be sold As-Is. Needs some work. Short sale buyer offer requires approval by lender and can take months for approval, no financing, no creative deal structuring, no sight unseen offers. Must send proof of funds prior to asking for a showing with a minimum of 48 hours notice.
Key facts
- 7,056 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 164 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $123k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($850 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.76%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $137,466
- List price
- $123,000
- Delta
- -10.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4306 Silver Lk | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (+3%) | 2mo | $94,900 | $94 | 85 |
| 373 Kenmar Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 984 (0%) | 2mo | $189,500 | $193 | 67 |
| 4350 Silver Lake Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-5%) | 14mo | $99,900 | $107 | 65 |
| 4338 Kilrea | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-7%) | 6mo | $139,900 | $153 | 64 |
| 4243 Kilrea Dr | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-5%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $150 | 62 |
| 4342 Silver Lk | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (+6%) | 16mo | $159,999 | $153 | 62 |
| 127 Zerrcliff Ln | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 984 (0%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $162 | 62 |
| 4258 Skelton Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,004 (+2%) | 17mo | $169,000 | $168 | 57 |
| 4247 Roark | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 875 (-11%) | 4mo | $95,500 | $109 | 56 |
| 348 Tomrob | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+6%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $115 | 54 |
| 1105 Upland | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+14%) | 1mo | $169,999 | $152 | 44 |
| 343 Tomrob Dr | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,112 (+13%) | 15mo | $110,000 | $99 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.73% appreciation · 7.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $32,426
- Equity at exit
- $53,440
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.29×
- Total profit
- $113,155
- Equity at exit
- $80,935
Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78219
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,396 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax from tax record
- −$212 /mo · $2,546/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,750
- Closing costs
- $3,690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 Gembler Rd San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $1,795 | $1.86 | 1d | 21 | 0.27mi |
| 4251 Wild Oak Dr San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 915 Creekview San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,230 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 334 Tomrob Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3815 E Commerce St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $1,530 | $1.75 | 3d | 60 | 0.65mi |
| 302 Kenmar Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,375 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 535 Gembler Rd Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,081 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 231 Noblewood Dr San Antonio, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $1,387 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 368 Readwell Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1067 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4606 Hollyspring Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4619 Dietrich Rd San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 775 | $999 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4319 Algruth Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4835 Lord Rd Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 949 | $874 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4426 N Hein Rd Apt 2204 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $1,250 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4438 N Hein Rd Unit 104 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 632 | $1,150 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 738 Sterling St San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,095 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 547 Dorie St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,135 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1311 W Hein Rd Unit 4 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1311 W Hein Rd Unit 18 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3327 Martin Luther King Dr Unit a San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $915 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $123,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $123,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $123,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $123,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $123,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $123,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $123,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $123,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $123,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $123,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $123,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $123,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $123,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-02-12price $123,000 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
This home will be sold As-Is. Needs some work. Short sale buyer offer requires approval by lender and can take months for approval, no financing, no creative deal structuring, no sight unseen offers. Must send proof of funds prior to asking for a showing with a minimum of 48 hours notice.
-
2026-02-11status Back on Market 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
This home will be sold As-Is. Needs some work. Short sale buyer offer requires approval by lender and can take months for approval, no financing, no creative deal structuring, no sight unseen offers. Must send proof of funds prior to asking for a showing with a minimum of 48 hours notice.
-
2025-11-06status Pending 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
This home will be sold As-Is. Needs some work. Short sale buyer offer requires approval by lender and can take months for approval, no financing, no creative deal structuring, no sight unseen offers. Must send proof of funds prior to asking for a showing with a minimum of 48 hours notice.
-
2025-09-30$120,000 New 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
This home will be sold As-Is. Needs some work. Short sale buyer offer requires approval by lender and can take months for approval, no financing, no creative deal structuring, no sight unseen offers. Must send proof of funds prior to asking for a showing with a minimum of 48 hours notice.
-
2024-04-15historical $1,800
-
2024-03-15$1,800
-
2023-03-14historical
-
2022-11-07soldstatus
-
2022-10-21$185,000 New
-
2022-08-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,546 · $212/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,546 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,890
- − Property taxes
- −$2,546
- − Insurance
- −$615
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,340
- − Management
- −$1,340
- − Depreciation
- −$3,578
- Taxable income
- $439
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$105
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,224/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,924
- Household income
- $52,094
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 852.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% Two or more races 27% Black 26% White 16% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 31% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.73%
- Current HPI
- 328.5107
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.72%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-33.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $123,000 LERA
- 2026-02-11 Relisted — LERA
- 2025-11-06 Pending — LERA
- 2025-09-30 Listed $120,000 LERA
- 2024-04-15 Rental Removed $1,800 SABOR
- 2024-03-15 Listed for Rent $1,800 SABOR
- 2023-03-14 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2022-11-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-10-21 Listed $185,000 LERA
- 2022-08-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,546 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…