116 Pacific Mill Pl #6 · Lyman, SC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-In Ready! Price Improvement! The Aspen offers a beautifully designed living space that maximizes space while keeping everyday living comfortable. From the front entry, the foyer opens into an open kitchen, dining area, and great room, creating a main living space that feels open but connected. The kitchen includes an island and pantry storage, with clear sightlines into the dining and living areas. A rear patio extends the living space outdoors, while a conveniently placed powder room and storage closet completes the main level. This floor plan features 1,305 square feet, 3 bedrooms, and 2.
Key facts
- Dining area
- Storage closet
- Powder room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $190k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($549/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (9.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.8% in Lyman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#83 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Spartanburg 05 (suburban): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #13 of 80 in SC (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Duncan Elementary School of The Arts (math 30% / reading 37%, grade F, #362 of 597 statewide, top 61%, 689 students, 100% FRL); D. R. Hill Middle (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #116 of 229 statewide, top 51%, 702 students, 80% FRL); James F. Byrnes High (math 31% / reading 75%, grade C-, #140 of 196 statewide, top 72%, 2,217 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 39% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 261 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,129 units permitted in Spartanburg County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Spartanburg County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.03%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $219,200
- List price
- $189,990
- Delta
- -13.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Pacific Mill Pl | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,305 (0%) | 0mo | $189,990 | $146 | 72 |
| 845 Ernest Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 1,276 (-2%) | 4mo | $189,900 | $149 | 68 |
| 857 Ernest Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 1,276 (-2%) | 3mo | $187,900 | $147 | 68 |
| 865 Ernest Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,276 (-2%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $157 | 67 |
| 819 Ernest Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,480 (+13%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $135 | 51 |
| 855 Ernest Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,480 (+13%) | 3mo | $214,900 | $145 | 49 |
| 847 Ernest Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,480 (+13%) | 4mo | $224,900 | $152 | 49 |
| 827 Ernest Ln | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,480 (+13%) | 5mo | $227,900 | $154 | 49 |
| 867 Ernest Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,480 (+13%) | 3mo | $214,900 | $145 | 49 |
| 863 Ernest Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,480 (+13%) | 3mo | $224,900 | $152 | 48 |
| 851 Ernest Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,480 (+13%) | 4mo | $203,500 | $138 | 48 |
| 859 Ernest Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 1,480 (+13%) | 4mo | $222,400 | $150 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-27,847
- Equity at exit
- $28,328
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-20,391
- Equity at exit
- $16,427
Cash invested: $53,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.8 mo (21%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $192,990 ($148/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 53 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +13.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 29365
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,720 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $177 | -5% $111 | +0% $46 | +5% $-20 | +10% $-86 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-90 | -5% $-22 | +0% $46 | +5% $114 | +10% $182 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $141 | -0.5pp $94 | base $46 | +0.5pp $-3 | +1.0pp $-54 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,498
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 855 Ernest Ln Lyman, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 70d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 867 Ernest Ln Lyman, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 63d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 867 Ernest Ln Lyman, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 70d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 527 Nova Ln Duncan, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,645 | $1.17 | 70d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 610 Universal Dr Lyman, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1060 | $1,799 | $1.70 | 63d | 11 | 1.11mi |
| Paradise Pl Wellford, SC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1135 | $1,595 | $1.41 | 70d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| Halo Dr Wellford, SC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 995 | $1,295 | $1.30 | 63d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 244 Halo Dr Wellford, SC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1137 | $1,595 | $1.40 | 70d | 4 | 1.31mi |
| Angelic Pl Wellford, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $1,520 | $1.19 | 70d | 2 | 1.33mi |
| 266 Christopher Street Ext Duncan, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1606 | $1,825 | $1.14 | 70d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-07-07days on market $189,990 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $189,990 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $189,990 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $189,990 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $189,990 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $189,990 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $189,990 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $189,990 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $189,990 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $189,990 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $189,990 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $189,990 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-25pricedays on market $189,990 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $199,990 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $199,990 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,990 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$199,990 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,639
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,642
- − Property taxes
- −$2,850
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,651
- − Management
- −$1,651
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$2,632
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$632
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,181/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This townhouse is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a great opportunity for both buyers and renters with minimal updates needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to both buyers and tenants. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, attracting more buyers/tenants. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spartanburg 05
- NCES district ID
- 4503600
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,127
- Composite
- 41.31/100
- National rank
- #3512
- State rank
- #13 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lyman
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #9705
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lyman, SC
- County
- Spartanburg County · 325,495 people
- City population
- 14,068
- Metro
- Spartanburg, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,068
- Household income
- $76,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 33% of renters
Population outlook (Spartanburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 325,495 people
- By 2030
- 338,800 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 363,471 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 384,156 · +18.0%
- By 2075
- 430,137 · +32.1%
- By 2100
- 442,733 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 11% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Serbian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Philippines, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 8% Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Spartanburg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+27.3 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.35%
- Current HPI
- 254.6167
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Spartanburg, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…