CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
213 Poclain Rd
C+ Composite 62.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,998

213 Poclain Rd · Perryman, MD 21001
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 258 Days on market
Built 1992 Good condition 1,742 sqft lot $73/sqft · 44% above area Est $66k · 44% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Experience a premium renovation in this charming mobile home! The interior features beautiful wainscoting that creates a stylish dual-color contrast in the main area and kitchen. The master bedroom boasts an accent wall made of shiplap. The water heater is only a few months old, and the heating and cooling systems are just a few years old. You'll find a sizeable backyard with an included shed. Living room has a working electronic fireplace perfect for cozy evenings. What more could you ask for? $950/month lot rent 600 or above credit score requirement. Cosigners are welcome.

Key facts

  • Premium renovation
  • Included shed
  • Sizeable backyard

Tags

PREMIUM RENOVATIONBEAUTIFUL WAINSCOTINGACCENT WALLSIZEABLE BACKYARDINCLUDED SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 5.7% in Perryman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#293 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, commute D+, schools F.
  • Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 186 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $83,598 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.35%
Cap rate
20.30%
Cash-on-cash
50.03%
DSCR
3.23
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,822
List price
$94,998
Delta
44.33%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1903 Bennett Rd 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-4%) 4mo $90,000 $72 86
225 Poclain Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+8%) 1mo $104,990 $75 82
306 Heron St 0.32mi 3/2.5 1,332 (+2%) 4mo $288,000 $216 76
1922 Fletcher Rd 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+3%) 14mo $89,900 $67 74
1912 Perryman Rd 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,332 (+2%) 7mo $300,000 $225 71
302 Seagull Dr 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,475 (+14%) 17mo $374,000 $254 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.6%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$49,318
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
49.3%
Equity multiple
5.17×
Total profit
$110,893
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21001

Home prices YoY
-30.5%
Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,235 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$469
Net cashflow
$1,109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $94,998
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,998 Active 258 DOM
  2. 2025-09-30
    price $94,998 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Experience a premium renovation in this charming mobile home! The interior features beautiful wainscoting that creates a stylish dual-color contrast in the main area and kitchen. The master bedroom boasts an accent wall made of shiplap. The water heater is only a few months old, and the heating and cooling systems are just a few years old. You'll find a sizeable backyard with an included shed. Living room has a working electronic fireplace perfect for cozy evenings. What more could you ask for? $950/month lot rent 600 or above credit score requirement. Cosigners are welcome.

  3. 2025-09-15
    listed $94,999 Active 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Experience a premium renovation in this charming mobile home! The interior features beautiful wainscoting that creates a stylish dual-color contrast in the main area and kitchen. The master bedroom boasts an accent wall made of shiplap. The water heater is only a few months old, and the heating and cooling systems are just a few years old. You'll find a sizeable backyard with an included shed. Living room has a working electronic fireplace perfect for cozy evenings. What more could you ask for? $950/month lot rent 600 or above credit score requirement. Cosigners are welcome.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,818
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,145
− Management
−$2,145
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$12,542
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,010
After-tax cash flow
$10,298/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home features updated interiors, modern appliances, and a good-sized backyard. It is move-in ready and ready for minor cosmetic upgrades to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Add a small patio or deck — Improves outdoor living space and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Add a small patio or deck — Improves outdoor living space and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harford County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400390
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$79,569
Composite
29.38/100
National rank
#6527
State rank
#9 of 24 in MD

Livability — Perryman

Score
63/100
State rank
#293
US rank
#15253

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Perryman, MD
County
Harford County · 198,512 people
City population
27,168
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
27,168
Household income
$83,238
Rent vs Own
36.7% rent · 63.3% own
Severe rent burden
736.0

Population outlook (Harford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
262,292 people
By 2030
266,437 · +1.6%
By 2040
269,954 · +2.9%
By 2050
265,659 · +1.3%
By 2075
252,886 · -3.6%
By 2100
224,014 · -14.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harford

2024 margin
R (+13.8) · D 41.9% · R 55.7% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -13.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.65%
Current HPI
247.668
Rent YoY
▲ 0.28%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-30 Price Changed $94,998 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $94,999 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…