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451 Moss St Duplex
B- Composite 68.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

451 Moss St · Plymouth, PA 18651
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,836 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1900 9,000 sqft lot Est $211k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special in Plymouth priced at $95,000 with serious value add potential! This duplex offers two separate units with existing layout in place and the opportunity to renovate and significantly improve rents. The property needs work, but the structure, footprint, and multi unit configuration create a strong foundation for the right buyer ready to roll up their sleeves. Interior spaces are ready for updates, allowing you to modernize kitchens, baths, flooring, and finishes to maximize long term performance. With separate entrances and defined living areas, the setup is already there for a functional income producing property once improvements are completed. Exterior features include covered entry areas and off street access from the rear. With the right upgrades, this property can be repositioned into a solid cash flowing asset at an attractive basis. Conveniently located near local shops, restaurants, schools, and everyday amenities. Just minutes to Route 11 and Route 92 with easy access to Wilkes Barre, Nanticoke, and the broader Wyoming Valley employment centers. Close to the Susquehanna River and nearby parks for added lifestyle appeal. At this price point, opportunities with this much upside do not last. If you are looking for your next project with real income potential, this one deserves a serious look. Schedule your tour today!

Key facts

  • Up and down duplex
  • Modern kitchens
  • Immediate income

Tags

UP AND DOWN DUPLEXIMMEDIATE INCOMEUPDATED LUXURY VINYL PLANKMODERN KITCHENSGRANITE COUNTERTOPSREMODELED BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Multi-family residential income property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 180; Zoned for multi-family

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating available; Natural gas heating available; Baseboard heating; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $715 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $357/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 8.3% in Plymouth — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,068 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $200k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $199,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.58%
Cash-on-cash
15.32%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,140
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
557-559 Fellows Ave 0.75mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,090 (+14%) 19mo $240,000 $115 18

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$13,124
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$70,010
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18651

Home prices YoY
-11.5%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
13.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,554 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,055/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$536
Net cashflow
$715

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,649
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $828 -5% $771 +0% $715 +5% $658 +10% $602
Rent -10% $513 -5% $614 +0% $715 +5% $816 +10% $917
Rate -1.0pp $815 -0.5pp $766 base $715 +0.5pp $663 +1.0pp $610

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,554

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 307-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $199,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,055 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,607 · $217/mo
Expected delta
+$552/yr (+$46/mo · 26.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,648
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,055
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,452
− Management
−$2,452
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$5,677
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,362
After-tax cash flow
$7,215/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wyoming Valley West SD
NCES district ID
4225950
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,437
Composite
25.38/100
National rank
#7470
State rank
#445 of 539 in PA

Livability — Plymouth

Score
66/100
State rank
#1068
US rank
#12056

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plymouth, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,672

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 19% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.78%
Current HPI
229.6791
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+566.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $199,900 LCAR
  • 2026-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $86,250 Public Records
  • 2026-05-12 Sold (MLS) $86,250 LCAR
  • 2026-05-12 Sold (MLS) $86,250 PMAR
  • 2026-03-19 Pending LCAR
  • 2026-03-19 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $95,000 LCAR
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $95,000 PMAR
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $95,000 PMAR
  • 2014-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,055 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…