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127 10th St
C- Composite 50.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$360,900

127 10th St · Sultan, WA 98294
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,382 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 2001 9,953 sqft lot $152/sqft · 41% below area Est $608k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity in the heart of Sultan! This spacious 2,382 sq ft home sits on a . 22 acre corner lot and offers a rare mix of in-town convenience with a private feel. With 4 bedrooms plus a large bonus room upstairs and vaulted ceilings, there’s plenty of space to reimagine and bring your vision to life. Primary bedroom on the main level features an unfinished en suite bathroom, walk-in closet, and French doors opening to the backyard. Upstairs includes an unfinished full bath. The layout offers great potential with generous living areas, a covered back porch for year-round use, and a large garage with room for vehicles, storage, or hobbies. Unfinished cellar with exterior access is perf

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Walk-in closet
  • French doors

Tags

CORNER LOTUNFINISHED EN SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETFRENCH DOORSCOVERED BACK PORCHNEWER FURNACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 2,382; MLS square footage source: Snohomish County Assessor; Lot size reported as approximately 0.2285 acres; MLS status: Active; On market date: May 5, 2026; Buyer brokerage compensation: 2.5%
  • Financial info: Listing terms include Cash and Rehab Loan (see remarks)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 covered spaces (approx. 400 sq ft)
  • Security: Fully fenced; Security gate
  • Utilities: Public water (City of Sultan); Sewer connected; Power via PUD; Water heater uses propane
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two-story; East-facing; Built on lot
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl exterior; Composition roof; Poured concrete foundation; House structure; Built with electric and propane energy sources
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fully fenced yard; Gated entry; Fruit trees; Garden space; Corner lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (2 on main level, 2 upper level)
  • Flooring: See remarks
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 2 bathtubs; 2 showers; Main level has 2 bathrooms (1 full and 1 half); upper level has 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump; Forced air cooling (heat pump)
  • Interior features: Dining room; Walk-in closets; Water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Propane water heater located in upstairs closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $361k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($133/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $316k (12.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $316k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.0% in Sultan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#183 in WA, #4,863 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Sultan School District (town): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #143 of 291 in WA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $361k implies a 3509% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $315,967 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.92%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$607,936
List price
$360,900
Delta
-40.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
711 10th St 0.54mi 4/2.5 2,469 (+4%) 2mo $633,000 $256 67
406 8th St 0.35mi 4/2.5 2,178 (-9%) 6mo $625,000 $287 64
726 10th St 0.58mi 4/2.5 2,469 (+4%) 10mo $605,000 $245 58
714 Murphy Way 0.46mi 4/2.5 2,166 (-9%) 10mo $568,000 $262 55
730 10th St 0.60mi 4/2.5 2,624 (+10%) 6mo $655,000 $250 50
511 Creekside Rd 0.58mi 4/2.0 2,270 (-5%) 17mo $495,000 $218 49
815 Loves Hill Dr 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,222 (-7%) 10mo $570,000 $257 47
870 Salmon Run N 0.67mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,419 (+2%) 15mo $595,000 $246 47
306 3rd St 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,620 (+10%) 6mo $519,000 $198 44
717 10th St 0.56mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,122 (-11%) 11mo $582,000 $274 42
803 Loves Hill Dr 0.61mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,122 (-11%) 10mo $575,000 $271 40
714 Junction Ln 0.64mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,090 (-12%) 11mo $545,000 $261 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.1%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-57,733
Equity at exit
$53,811
10-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-49,192
Equity at exit
$31,204

Cash invested: $101,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98294

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Active inventory
104
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,160 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,893
Tax from tax record
$376 /mo · $4,507/yr
Insurance
$150
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$664
Net cashflow
$11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,146
Max offer price $360,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $215 -5% $113 +0% $11 +5% $-91 +10% $-193
Rent -10% $-239 -5% $-114 +0% $11 +5% $136 +10% $261
Rate -1.0pp $193 -0.5pp $103 base $11 +0.5pp $-82 +1.0pp $-178

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$90,225
Closing costs
$10,827
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13343 325th Ave SE Sultan, WA 3.0 3.0 1880 $2,995 $1.59 0d 1 1.10mi
32501 133rd Pl SE Sultan, WA 5.0 3.0 2630 $2,899 $1.10 0d 1 1.16mi
1521 10th Pl #157 Sultan, WA 4.0 2.5 2501 $3,500 $1.40 22d 1 1.21mi
1521 10th Pl Sultan, WA 4.0 2.5 2501 $3,500 $1.40 18d 1 1.21mi
1005 17th Ave Sultan, WA 4.0 2.5 2438 $3,000 $1.23 15d 1 1.24mi
1715 Gohr Rd Sultan, WA 4.0 3.0 1847 $3,000 $1.62 44d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $360,900 Active
  3. 2006-12-21
    soldstatus $10,000
  4. 2006-12-18
    historical
  5. 2006-10-16
    listed $16,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,507 · $376/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,507 · $376/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥88°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,916
− Mortgage interest
−$20,216
− Property taxes
−$4,507
− Insurance
−$2,602
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,033
− Management
−$3,033
− Depreciation
−$10,499
Taxable loss
−$5,975
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,434
After-tax cash flow
$1,567/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sultan School District
NCES district ID
5308550
Math proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$63,955
Composite
45.32/100
National rank
#5739
State rank
#143 of 291 in WA

Livability — Sultan

Score
74/100
State rank
#183
US rank
#4863

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living D+ Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sultan, WA
Population (ZIP)
7,838

Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
899,800 people
By 2030
960,975 · +6.8%
By 2040
1,074,447 · +19.4%
By 2050
1,171,954 · +30.2%
By 2075
1,384,849 · +53.9%
By 2100
1,497,296 · +66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 8% Native American 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Slovak 6% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish

2024 margin
D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.36%
Current HPI
277.4099
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2035.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $360,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-12-21 Sold (MLS) $10,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-12-18 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-16 Listed $16,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,507 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…