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804 Lichfield Rd
D Composite 43.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

804 Lichfield Rd · Columbus, GA 31904
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,022 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 1956 8,712 sqft lot $99/sqft · 8% below area Est $218k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this conveniently located spacious and versatile home featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths, with an eat-in kitchen, formal living room, dedicated dining area, and a large great room with a cozy fireplace. Office provides the perfect work -from-home space. The attached in-law suite includes its own kitchen, private entrance, and separate driveway, with interior access to the main home-ideal for multi-generational living. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a covered porch and storage shed, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Additional features include a one-car carport with laundry area and a gas water heater.

Key facts

  • Office
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Formal living room

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENFORMAL LIVING ROOMDEDICATED DINING AREALARGE GREAT ROOMCOZY FIREPLACEOFFICE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($140/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (15.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
  • Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: River Road Elementary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,041 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 403 students, 96% FRL); Arnold Middle School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #381 of 470 statewide, top 82%, 645 students, 97% FRL); Jordan Vocational High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #342 of 424 statewide, top 81%, 869 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 61% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $200k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,834 (15.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.25%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$218,283
List price
$199,900
Delta
-8.42%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5217 Hurst Dr 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,918 (-5%) 13mo $259,900 $136 72
821 Lichfield Road Rd 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,788 (-12%) 8mo $275,000 $154 71
5269 Ray Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,763 (-13%) 8mo $232,500 $132 61
5341 Hurst Dr 0.26mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,879 (-7%) 8mo $245,000 $130 61
1037 53rd St 0.63mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,902 (-6%) 1mo $290,000 $152 53
5401 Lichfield Rd 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,730 (-14%) 22mo $155,000 $90 43
9717 Brahman Pl #127 0.53mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,308 (+14%) 15mo $439,925 $191 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-31,589
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-26,296
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31904

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,698 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$198 /mo · $2,382/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,684
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $125 -5% $68 +0% $12 +5% $-45 +10% $-102
Rent -10% $-123 -5% $-55 +0% $12 +5% $79 +10% $146
Rate -1.0pp $112 -0.5pp $62 base $12 +0.5pp $-40 +1.0pp $-93

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
118 Wendell Dr Columbus, GA 4.0 2.0 1490 $1,700 $1.14 45d 1 0.39mi
403 46th St Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,550 $1.10 22d 1 0.58mi
1 Magnolia St Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1542 $1,195 $0.77 15d 1 0.86mi
1915 Coventry Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1726 $1,695 $0.98 22d 1 1.14mi
4402 Riverchase Dr Phenix City, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1078 $1,955 $1.81 15d 21 1.17mi
6157 Bristol Blvd Columbus, GA 4.0 3.0 2834 $2,400 $0.85 22d 1 1.24mi
6101 River Rd Columbus, GA 3.0 2.5 1920 $1,895 $0.99 22d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $199,900 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 134 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 133 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 132 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 131 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,900 Active 129 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,900 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,900 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active 117 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 116 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,900 Active 115 DOM
  18. 2026-04-30
    price $199,900 625-char remark
    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Welcome home to this conveniently located spacious and versatile home featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths, with an eat-in kitchen, formal living room, dedicated dining area, and a large great room with a cozy fireplace. Office provides the perfect work -from-home space. The attached in-law suite includes its own kitchen, private entrance, and separate driveway, with interior access to the main home-ideal for multi-generational living. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a covered porch and storage shed, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Additional features include a one-car carport with laundry area and a gas water heater.

  19. 2026-02-04
    listed $221,000 Active 625-char remark
    Show marketing remark (625 chars)

    Welcome home to this conveniently located spacious and versatile home featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths, with an eat-in kitchen, formal living room, dedicated dining area, and a large great room with a cozy fireplace. Office provides the perfect work -from-home space. The attached in-law suite includes its own kitchen, private entrance, and separate driveway, with interior access to the main home-ideal for multi-generational living. Enjoy a fenced backyard with a covered porch and storage shed, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Additional features include a one-car carport with laundry area and a gas water heater.

  20. 2019-07-18
    soldstatus $129,900
  21. 2019-06-27
    soldstatus $129,900 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath corner lot conveniently located by U. S. 80 near Cascade Hills Church. With two furnished kitchens and spacious living areas, it's the perfect single- or multi-family house to call home. Centrally located, it's minutes away from fun, shopping, and dining at Uptown Columbus, Bradley Park, and Columbus Park Crossing.

  22. 2019-03-07
    listed $129,900 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath corner lot conveniently located by U. S. 80 near Cascade Hills Church. With two furnished kitchens and spacious living areas, it's the perfect single- or multi-family house to call home. Centrally located, it's minutes away from fun, shopping, and dining at Uptown Columbus, Bradley Park, and Columbus Park Crossing.

  23. 2011-03-03
    soldstatus $123,800
  24. 2008-12-22
    soldstatus $129,000
  25. 2008-06-16
    soldstatus $116,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,382 · $198/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,382 · $198/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,380
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,382
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,630
− Management
−$1,630
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$3,275
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$786
After-tax cash flow
$926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muscogee County
NCES district ID
1303870
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,176
Composite
21.6/100
National rank
#8297
State rank
#120 of 174 in GA

Livability — Columbus

Score
64/100
State rank
#254
US rank
#14102

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbus, GA
County
Muscogee County · 180,764 people
City population
180,764
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
Population (ZIP)
35,405
Household income
$66,291
Rent vs Own
48.2% rent · 51.8% own
Severe rent burden
2030.0

Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
216,729 people
By 2030
224,504 · +3.6%
By 2040
238,318 · +10.0%
By 2050
249,027 · +14.9%
By 2075
264,862 · +22.2%
By 2100
254,786 · +17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 28% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
2008→2024 swing
+3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.06%
Current HPI
155.1405
Rent YoY
▲ 3.04%
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $199,900 CBOR
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $221,000 CBOR
  • 2019-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
  • 2019-06-27 Sold (MLS) $129,900 CBOR
  • 2019-03-07 Listed $129,900 CBOR
  • 2011-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $123,800 Public Records
  • 2008-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
  • 2008-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,382 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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