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HARPER Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 45.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$274,990

HARPER Plan · North Weeki Wachee, FL 34613
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,665 sqft · SingleFamily · 243 Days on market
Good condition 2-car garage

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Sandal Key presents the Harper, available in Weeki Wachee, Florida. Welcome inside this stunning single-story, four bedroom and two bathroom home offering 1,665 square feet of luxurious living space. This meticulously designed residence combines modern convenience with timeless elegance and showcases quartz countertops. As you step inside, you're greeted by a foyer leading you into the heart of the home. The open-concept layout seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, creating a perfect space for entertaining with family and friends. With ample room for seating, it's an ideal spot for relaxation and gatherings.

Key facts

  • Multi-acre lagoon
  • Gulf coast beaches
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTION COMMUNITYWORLD-CLASS AMENITY CENTERMULTI-ACRE LAGOONGULF COAST BEACHESHISTORIC WEEKI WACHEE SPRINGSWITHLACOOCHEE STATE FOREST

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $274,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $300,000.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($946/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (0.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.2% in North Weeki Wachee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#534 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Winding Waters K-8 (math 50% / reading 48%, grade D, #1,134 of 2,144 statewide, top 54%, 1,622 students, 56% FRL); Weeki Wachee High School (math 41% / reading 42%, grade F, #284 of 667 statewide, top 43%, 1,435 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 963 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 143d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,724/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $241,991 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91% ✗
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.13%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$300,000
List price
$274,990
Delta
-8.34%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10525 Tucker Rd 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,665 (0%) 3mo $279,990 $168 91
10546 Tucker Rd 0.13mi 4/2.0 1,665 (0%) 4mo $277,990 $167 91
10779 Tucker Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,672 (+0%) 4mo $289,990 $173 86
10780 Tucker Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,672 (+0%) 6mo $287,990 $172 84
10787 Tucker Rd 0.10mi 4/2.0 1,828 (+10%) 2mo $300,000 $164 77
10361 Turtle Run Rd 0.07mi 4/2.0 1,828 (+10%) 5mo $289,990 $159 76
10788 Tucker Rd 0.10mi 4/2.0 1,828 (+10%) 4mo $300,000 $164 75
10398 Turtle Run Rd 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,828 (+10%) 5mo $315,000 $172 74
10756 Tucker Rd 0.14mi 4/2.0 1,828 (+10%) 4mo $309,990 $170 74
10568 Tucker Rd 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,504 (-10%) 3mo $262,990 $175 70
10554 Tucker Rd 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,504 (-10%) 4mo $256,990 $171 69
10513 Tucker Rd 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,504 (-10%) 6mo $258,990 $172 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-43,552
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-31,294
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
42 active · 24 under contract
Months of supply
14.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$307,495 ($176/sqft)
Median days on market
240 d
This list price
17% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+2.2% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34613

Home prices YoY
-17.2%
Active inventory
963
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,724 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax est. 1.5%
−$375 /mo · $4,500/yr
Insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$572
Net cashflow
$79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,624
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $286 -5% $182 +0% $79 +5% $-25 +10% $-129
Rent -10% $-136 -5% $-29 +0% $79 +5% $186 +10% $294
Rate -1.0pp $230 -0.5pp $155 base $79 +0.5pp $1 +1.0pp $-78

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9447 Ashley Dr Weeki Wachee, FL 3.0 3.0 2152 $3,100 $1.44 129d 1 0.90mi
9376 Southern Belle Dr Weeki Wachee, FL 3.0 2.0 2028 $2,300 $1.13 142d 1 1.32mi
9376 Southern Belle Dr Weeki Wachee, FL 3.0 2.0 2028 $2,300 $1.13 145d 1 1.32mi

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
List price $274,990

Exterior

Parking
2 total parking spaces2-car garage
Home design
Single-family plan (HARPER)
Exterior features
Living area approximately 1665

Interior

Bedrooms
4 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Interior features
Plan named HARPERActive listing

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $274,990 Active 243 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $274,990 Active 242 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $274,990 Active 241 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $274,990 Active 240 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $274,990 Active 239 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $274,990 Active 237 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $274,990 Active 236 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $274,990 Active 235 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $274,990 Active 234 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $274,990 Active 233 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $274,990 Active 232 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $274,990 Active 231 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $274,990 Active 230 DOM
  14. 2026-10-26
    days on market $274,990 Active 229 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $274,990 Active 228 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $274,990 Active 227 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $274,990 Active 226 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $274,990 Active 225 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $274,990 Active 224 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $274,990 Active 223 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $274,990 Active 222 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $274,990 Active 221 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $274,990 Active 220 DOM
  24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $274,990 Active 219 DOM
  25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $274,990 Active 218 DOM
  26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $274,990 Active 217 DOM
  27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $274,990 Active 216 DOM
  28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $274,990 Active 215 DOM
  29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $274,990 Active 214 DOM
  30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $274,990 Active 213 DOM
  31. 2026-10-08
    days on market $274,990 Active 212 DOM
  32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $274,990 Active 211 DOM
  33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $274,990 Active 210 DOM
  34. 2026-10-05
    days on market $274,990 Active 209 DOM
  35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $274,990 Active 208 DOM
  36. 2026-10-03
    days on market $274,990 Active 207 DOM
  37. 2026-10-02
    days on market $274,990 Active 206 DOM
  38. 2026-10-01
    days on market $274,990 Active 205 DOM
  39. 2026-09-30
    days on market $274,990 Active 204 DOM
  40. 2026-09-29
    days on market $274,990 Active 203 DOM
  41. 2026-09-28
    days on market $274,990 Active 202 DOM
  42. 2026-09-27
    days on market $274,990 Active 201 DOM
  43. 2026-09-25
    days on market $274,990 Active 199 DOM
  44. 2026-09-24
    days on market $274,990 Active 198 DOM
  45. 2026-09-23
    days on market $274,990 Active 197 DOM
  46. 2026-09-22
    days on market $274,990 Active 196 DOM
  47. 2026-09-21
    days on market $274,990 Active 195 DOM
  48. 2026-09-20
    days on market $274,990 Active 194 DOM
  49. 2026-09-19
    days on market $274,990 Active 193 DOM
  50. 2026-09-18
    days on market $274,990 Active 192 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,689
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$4,500
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,615
− Management
−$2,615
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$4,073
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$977
After-tax cash flow
$1,923/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $8,325–$24,975 screening

This single-story home in Weeki Wachee, Florida, is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for minor updates to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
  • Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve the look and functionality of the bathrooms. ↑
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — New appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters. ↑
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 45/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Winding Waters K-8 D FL #1,134/2,144 Nat'l #13,933/41,679 High Weeki Wachee High School F FL #284/667 Nat'l #7,907/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hernando
NCES district ID
1200810
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,985
Composite
42.03/100
National rank
#3329
State rank
#38 of 73 in FL
C Composite livability gradescore 68/100

Livability — North Weeki Wachee

Score
68/100
State rank
#534
US rank
#10019

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Weeki Wachee, FL
County
Hernando County · 189,218 people
City population
18,280
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,337
Household income
$58,596
Rent vs Own
9.2% rent · 90.8% own
Severe rent burden
7% of renters

Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,218 people
By 2030
194,367 · +2.7%
By 2040
203,398 · +7.5%
By 2050
209,589 · +10.8%
By 2075
218,452 · +15.4%
By 2100
205,923 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hernando

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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