1221 33rd St N · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.1/10.0
$61,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment!
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street, uncovered parking
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Underground utilities; Electric water heater; Internet service availability unknown
- Home design: Existing home; Basement foundation
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Basement foundation
- Exterior features: Storage building; Sidewalks; Interior, irregular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total — two on the main level and one in the basement
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Partial basement with both finished and unfinished areas; Concrete block basement; Attic not available; Hardwood and vinyl floors; Ceilings: other (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $61k).
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Norwood Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 249 students, 71% FRL); George Washington Carver High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #252 of 305 statewide, top 84%, 531 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools at 79% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $422 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.36%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,668
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Norwood Cir | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+1%) | 2mo | $177,000 | $123 | 83 |
| 3624 Norwood Blvd | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,504 (+5%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $53 | 67 |
| 3514 17th Ave N | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,521 (+6%) | 1mo | $39,500 | $26 | 65 |
| 3600 15th Ave N | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,493 (+5%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $47 | 64 |
| 3535 17th Ave N | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,525 (+7%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $36 | 64 |
| 1528 36th Pl N | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,454 (+2%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $169 | 64 |
| 3631 15th Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,472 (+3%) | 14mo | $83,000 | $56 | 60 |
| 2820 Norwood Blvd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,506 (+6%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $163 | 48 |
| 3020 Norwood Blvd | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,520 (+6%) | 15mo | $207,000 | $136 | 46 |
| 1606 27th St N | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,583 (+11%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $73 | 42 |
| 3100 Norwood Blvd | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,598 (+12%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $97 | 42 |
| 2928 Norwood Blvd | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,624 (+14%) | 15mo | $132,000 | $81 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $25,824
- Equity at exit
- $9,095
- IRR
- 42.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.01×
- Total profit
- $68,538
- Equity at exit
- $5,274
Cash invested: $17,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35234
- Home prices YoY
- -3.8%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,257 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$320
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,049/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $560
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,250
- Closing costs
- $1,830
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1405 33rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $990 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3601 Norwood Blvd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $1,323 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1444 31st St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1720 34th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1861 | $2,200 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1515 36th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,273 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2223 28th St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $1,300 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3920 11th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,025 | $0.85 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2807 34th St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $1,100 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2108 25th St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2129 30th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 600 24th St N Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1098 | $1,499 | $1.36 | 1d | 13 | 1.11mi |
| 4108 7th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 813 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,285 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1900 15th Ct N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1748 | $1,425 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2212 20th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1141 | $895 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1117 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $900 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3348 34th St N Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3376 34th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1608 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3373 33rd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 11d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3016 33rd Ct N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $61,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $61,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $61,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $61,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $61,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-23historical $61,000
-
2023-03-03soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,049 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,049 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,083
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,417
- − Property taxes
- −$1,049
- − Insurance
- −$305
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,207
- − Management
- −$1,207
- − Depreciation
- −$1,775
- Taxable income
- $6,124
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,470
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,253/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- City population
- 210,422
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,828
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 80% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.89%
- Current HPI
- 250.4724
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-39.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Coming Soon $61,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,049 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…