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1221 33rd St N
B Composite 74.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.1/10.0

$61,000

1221 33rd St N · Birmingham, AL 35234
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,428 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1930 7,405 sqft lot Est $116k · 47% under ↓ 39% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment!

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street, uncovered parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Underground utilities; Electric water heater; Internet service availability unknown
  • Home design: Existing home; Basement foundation
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Storage building; Sidewalks; Interior, irregular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total — two on the main level and one in the basement
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combo
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Partial basement with both finished and unfinished areas; Concrete block basement; Attic not available; Hardwood and vinyl floors; Ceilings: other (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $61k).
  • Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Norwood Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 249 students, 71% FRL); George Washington Carver High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #252 of 305 statewide, top 84%, 531 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools at 79% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $422 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
17.31%
Cash-on-cash
39.36%
DSCR
2.75
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,668
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
43 Norwood Cir 0.21mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,440 (+1%) 2mo $177,000 $123 83
3624 Norwood Blvd 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,504 (+5%) 3mo $80,000 $53 67
3514 17th Ave N 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,521 (+6%) 1mo $39,500 $26 65
3600 15th Ave N 0.35mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,493 (+5%) 8mo $70,000 $47 64
3535 17th Ave N 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,525 (+7%) 2mo $55,000 $36 64
1528 36th Pl N 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,454 (+2%) 6mo $245,000 $169 64
3631 15th Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,472 (+3%) 14mo $83,000 $56 60
2820 Norwood Blvd 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,506 (+6%) 9mo $245,000 $163 48
3020 Norwood Blvd 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,520 (+6%) 15mo $207,000 $136 46
1606 27th St N 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,583 (+11%) 4mo $115,000 $73 42
3100 Norwood Blvd 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,598 (+12%) 12mo $155,000 $97 42
2928 Norwood Blvd 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,624 (+14%) 15mo $132,000 $81 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.6%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$25,824
Equity at exit
$9,095
10-year hold
IRR
42.4%
Equity multiple
5.01×
Total profit
$68,538
Equity at exit
$5,274

Cash invested: $17,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35234

Home prices YoY
-3.8%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,257 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$320
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,049/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$560

Break-even live

Break-even rent $548
Max offer price $61,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,250
Closing costs
$1,830
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1405 33rd St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 952 $990 $1.04 23d 1 0.13mi
3601 Norwood Blvd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1558 $1,323 $0.85 2d 1 0.27mi
1444 31st St N Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1014 $1,295 $1.28 23d 1 0.31mi
1720 34th Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 3.0 1861 $2,200 $1.18 1d 1 0.38mi
1515 36th Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1204 $1,273 $1.06 43d 1 0.40mi
2223 28th St N Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1836 $1,300 $0.71 43d 1 0.93mi
3920 11th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,025 $0.85 1d 1 0.94mi
2807 34th St N Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1556 $1,100 $0.71 43d 1 0.99mi
2108 25th St N Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1446 $1,300 $0.90 43d 1 1.04mi
2129 30th Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,000 $0.96 23d 1 1.09mi
600 24th St N Birmingham, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1098 $1,499 $1.36 1d 13 1.11mi
4108 7th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 23d 1 1.23mi
813 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1424 $1,285 $0.90 43d 1 1.31mi
1900 15th Ct N Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1748 $1,425 $0.82 43d 1 1.33mi
2212 20th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1141 $895 $0.78 43d 1 1.36mi
1117 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1026 $900 $0.88 43d 1 1.36mi
3348 34th St N Birmingham, AL 5.0 1.0 1094 $1,250 $1.14 43d 1 1.39mi
3376 34th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 928 $1,200 $1.29 2d 1 1.42mi
1608 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1243 $950 $0.76 43d 1 1.42mi
3373 33rd Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,150 $1.26 3d 1 1.45mi
3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 928 $1,200 $1.29 23d 1 1.45mi
3376 34th St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 928 $1,200 $1.29 11d 1 1.45mi
3016 33rd Ct N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1012 $1,100 $1.09 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $61,000 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $61,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $61,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $61,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $61,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-05-23
    historical $61,000
  7. 2023-03-03
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,049 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,049 · $87/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,083
− Mortgage interest
−$3,417
− Property taxes
−$1,049
− Insurance
−$305
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,207
− Management
−$1,207
− Depreciation
−$1,775
Taxable income
$6,124
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,470
After-tax cash flow
$5,253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
City population
210,422
Population (ZIP)
3,828

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 80% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.89%
Current HPI
250.4724
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-39.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Coming Soon $61,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,049 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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