106 E Seventh St · Oil City, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home welcomes you in to stay a while with its charm and views from the deck . . Featuring hardwood floors and a small Sunroom to enjoy that morning coffee or read a book on the main floor and 3 bedrooms upstairs. A bonus is the Deck , as well as the detached Garage and nice sized yard.
Key facts
- Sun porch
- First floor laundry
- Renovated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R; Lot approximately 0.11 acres (about 35 x 140 feet)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 3 covered parking spaces (3 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electrical service with circuit breakers; Cable available
- Home design: Residential property; Multi/split levels; one and one half stories; Facing direction not specified
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Combination foundation; Built year not specified
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Garage(s) on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Wood
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: High speed internet; Full walk-out basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-594/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (6.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 9.6% in Oil City — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#704 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Oil City Area SD (town): math 20% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #436 of 539 in PA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
- Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $129k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.65%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $103,040
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 E 6th St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+3%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $74 | 76 |
| 51/2 West Eighth St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,036 (-8%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $72 | 69 |
| 108 E Fifth St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (+13%) | 2mo | $147,500 | $116 | 66 |
| 109 East 8th St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-14%) | 15mo | $122,260 | $127 | 59 |
| 705 Central Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 974 (-13%) | 22mo | $90,000 | $92 | 54 |
| 16 W Eighth St | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,280 (+14%) | 22mo | $110,100 | $86 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $6,831
- Equity at exit
- $52,113
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $35,862
- Equity at exit
- $76,001
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16301
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $999 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,305/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $-50
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $24 | -5% $-13 | +0% $-50 | +5% $-86 | +10% $-123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-128 | -5% $-89 | +0% $-50 | +5% $-10 | +10% $29 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $15 | -0.5pp $-17 | base $-50 | +0.5pp $-83 | +1.0pp $-117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Central Ave Unit 1 Oil City, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 306 Plummer St Oil City, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1950 W 1st St Oil City, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $995 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 471-char remark
-
2026-06-03$129,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,305 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,671 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- +$367/yr (+$31/mo · 28.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,991
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,305
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$959
- − Management
- −$959
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable loss
- −$2,855
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$685
- After-tax cash flow
- $91/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oil City Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218090
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,451
- Composite
- 27.39/100
- National rank
- #6973
- State rank
- #436 of 539 in PA
Livability — Oil City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #704
- US rank
- #6931
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oil City, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,067
Population outlook (Venango County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,827 people
- By 2030
- 46,061 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 39,989 · -18.1%
- By 2050
- 34,094 · -30.2%
- By 2075
- 22,500 · -53.9%
- By 2100
- 13,659 · -72.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Venango
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+41.4 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.18%
- Current HPI
- 218.0124
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+218.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $129,000 AVBREALTORS
- 2021-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-08 Sold (MLS) $58,000 AVBREALTORS
- 2009-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records
- 2009-05-06 Sold (MLS) $40,500 AVBREALTORS
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,305 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…