701 S Oklahoma St · Paoli, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tons of potential for this cute frame home. Just needs a little TLC. Beautiful small acreage w/ large barn, chicken coop & storage area off of carport. Being sold AS-IS. Kitchen stove does not work.
Key facts
- Carport
- Storage area
- Large barn
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($941 rent vs $59k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#362 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Paoli (rural): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #426 of 513 in OK (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Paoli Es (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #755 of 845 statewide, top 90%, 100 students, 0% FRL); Paoli Hs (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 60 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Garvin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (8.9% local appreciation)).
- Garvin County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (8.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $59k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.41%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $123,200
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 W Stewart St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (+2%) | 15mo | $89,000 | $79 | 66 |
| 207 E Church St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+9%) | 18mo | $72,000 | $60 | 49 |
| 109 Denise | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-8%) | 16mo | $115,000 | $114 | 44 |
| 103 Mark Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+9%) | 7mo | $134,999 | $112 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.13×
- Total profit
- $51,667
- Equity at exit
- $48,381
- IRR
- 38.1%
- Equity multiple
- 9.01×
- Total profit
- $132,355
- Equity at exit
- $99,644
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73074
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $941 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $386/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $377
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $411 | -5% $394 | +0% $377 | +5% $361 | +10% $344 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $303 | -5% $340 | +0% $377 | +5% $414 | +10% $452 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $407 | -0.5pp $392 | base $377 | +0.5pp $362 | +1.0pp $346 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2025-10-13status Pending
-
2025-10-06$59,000 Active
-
2007-05-25soldstatus $32,900 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
Tons of potential for this cute frame home. Just needs a little TLC. Beautiful small acreage w/ large barn, chicken coop & storage area off of carport. Being sold AS-IS. Kitchen stove does not work.
-
2007-05-25soldstatus $33,000
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
Tons of potential for this cute frame home. Just needs a little TLC. Beautiful small acreage w/ large barn, chicken coop & storage area off of carport. Being sold AS-IS. Kitchen stove does not work.
-
2006-08-31$32,900 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
Tons of potential for this cute frame home. Just needs a little TLC. Beautiful small acreage w/ large barn, chicken coop & storage area off of carport. Being sold AS-IS. Kitchen stove does not work.
-
1997-10-09soldstatus $24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $386 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $531 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$145/yr (+$12/mo · 37.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,293
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$386
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$903
- − Management
- −$903
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $3,784
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$908
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,619/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paoli
- NCES district ID
- 4023430
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,285
- Composite
- 18.82/100
- National rank
- #13991
- State rank
- #426 of 513 in OK
Livability — Paoli
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #362
- US rank
- #19216
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paoli, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,147
Population outlook (Garvin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,277 people
- By 2030
- 28,619 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 29,478 · +4.2%
- By 2050
- 30,384 · +7.5%
- By 2075
- 34,074 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 36,099 · +27.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% European 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Garvin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.1) · D 16.4% · R 82.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -43.6pp · 2024: -66.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.1 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+60.7 2012: R+46.1 2008: R+43.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.87%
- Current HPI
- 236.8197
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+145.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-13 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-10-06 Listed $59,000 MLSOK
- 2007-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-25 Sold (MLS) $32,900 MLSOK
- 2006-08-31 Listed $32,900 MLSOK
- 1997-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $386 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…