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3676 Spring Ln
D Composite 40.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$315,000

3676 Spring Ln · Lake Oswego, OR 97035
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,762 sqft · Condo public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1980 $179/sqft · 45% below area Est $576k · 45% under $604/mo HOA · 22% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Convenient location in beautiful, private, park-like setting. Close to the bus line, Mercantile & the new Spring Senior center, minutes to Bridgeport Village & Whole Foods. Freshly painted with new flooring. Quartz counter tops. High ceiling and big windows to bring in the natural lights. Move in ready!

Key facts

  • High ceiling
  • New flooring
  • Convenient location

Tags

CONVENIENT LOCATIONPRIVATE PARK-LIKE SETTINGCLOSE TO BUS LINENEW FLOORINGQUARTZ COUNTER TOPSHIGH CEILING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-560 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (31.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (13.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 1.4% in Lake Oswego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#32 in OR, #769 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Lake Oswego SD 7J (suburban): math 61% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #4 of 58 in OR (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 257 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $315k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Recommended offer $216,086 (31.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
4.16%
Cash-on-cash
-7.62%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$575,700
List price
$315,000
Delta
-45.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.4%
Equity multiple
-0.06×
Total profit
$-93,385
Equity at exit
$46,968
10-year hold
IRR
-66.9%
Equity multiple
-0.74×
Total profit
$-153,174
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97035

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
257
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,724 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax from tax record
$325 /mo · $3,895/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$604
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$572
Net cashflow
$-560

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,433
Max offer price $216,086
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4055 Mercantile Dr Lake Oswego, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 938 $2,788 $2.97 2d 10 0.24mi
4180 Collins Way Lake Oswego, OR 2.0 2.0 1236 $2,548 $2.06 44d 1 0.29mi
4933 Parkview Dr Lake Oswego, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 915 $2,420 $2.65 2d 11 0.68mi
4 Touchstone #143 Lake Oswego, OR 3.0 2.5 1351 $2,595 $1.92 24d 1 0.76mi
200 Greenridge Dr Lake Oswego, OR 3.0 1.0–2.0 745 $2,226 $2.99 2d 16 0.99mi
4771 Auburn Ln Lake Oswego, OR 3.0 2.5 2183 $4,450 $2.04 44d 1 1.03mi
14201 Dolph Ct Lake Oswego, OR 3.0 2.0 1864 $3,850 $2.07 44d 1 1.06mi
4970 Galen St Lake Oswego, OR 2.0 2.0 1332 $2,495 $1.87 44d 1 1.18mi
1581 Woodland Ter Lake Oswego, OR 3.0 2.5 2072 $3,629 $1.75 44d 1 1.22mi
1 Jefferson Pkwy Lake Oswego, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1070 $2,322 $2.17 2d 15 1.25mi
5188 Rosewood St Lake Oswego, OR 3.0 2.5 1800 $3,200 $1.78 20d 1 1.29mi
304 Cervantes Cir Unit 304 Lake Oswego, OR 3.0 2.0 1260 $2,500 $1.98 44d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$604 · $7,248/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $315,000 Pending 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,000 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $315,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $315,000 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $315,000 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $315,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $315,000 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $315,000 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-04-20
    price $315,000 312-char remark
    Show marketing remark (312 chars)

    Convenient location in beautiful, private, park-like setting. Close to the bus line, Mercantile & the new Spring Senior center, minutes to Bridgeport Village & Whole Foods. Freshly painted with new flooring. Quartz counter tops. High ceiling and big windows to bring in the natural lights. Move in ready!

  13. 2026-02-26
    listed $335,000 Active 312-char remark
    Show marketing remark (312 chars)

    Convenient location in beautiful, private, park-like setting. Close to the bus line, Mercantile & the new Spring Senior center, minutes to Bridgeport Village & Whole Foods. Freshly painted with new flooring. Quartz counter tops. High ceiling and big windows to bring in the natural lights. Move in ready!

  14. 2012-01-30
    historical
  15. 2011-10-24
    soldstatus $130,000
  16. 2011-08-02
    listed $139,900 Active
  17. 1987-05-01
    soldstatus $59,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,895 · $325/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,895 · $325/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,685
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$3,895
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,615
− Management
−$2,615
− HOA
−$7,248
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable loss
−$12,071
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,897
After-tax cash flow
$-3,822/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Oswego SD 7J
NCES district ID
4107230
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$85,996
Composite
59.86/100
National rank
#889
State rank
#4 of 58 in OR

Livability — Lake Oswego

Score
84/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#769

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Oswego, OR
County
Clackamas County · 361,406 people
City population
47,242
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
25,911
Household income
$130,603
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
667.0

Population outlook (Clackamas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
458,456 people
By 2030
485,185 · +5.8%
By 2040
532,932 · +16.2%
By 2050
574,445 · +25.3%
By 2075
665,497 · +45.2%
By 2100
697,488 · +52.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Asian 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
15% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
83% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 3% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Clackamas

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 53.4% · R 43.6% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-0.6pp no change · 2008: 10.4pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+11.1 2016: D+6.1 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -511.92%
Current HPI
304.7663
Rent YoY
▲ 0.36%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+433.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $315,000 RMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $335,000 RMLS
  • 2012-01-30 Listing Removed WVMLS
  • 2011-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2011-08-02 Listed $139,900 WVMLS
  • 1987-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,895 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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