4733 State Route 136 · Hempfield, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CLOSE TO RT 30 AND HOSPITAL THIS 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH FEATURES NEW ELECTRIC PANEL, H/W FLRS, HUGE LIVING ROOM, 4 CAR DETACHED GARAGE WITH EXTRA STORAGE UPSTAIRS, 2 OUT BUILDINGS and shed
Key facts
- 0.96 acre lot
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: House
- Construction: 1,200 finished living area
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.96-acre lot
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hempfield Area SD (suburban): math 50% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #90 of 539 in PA (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $120k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.49%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,526
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $53,101
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15601
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,440 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$248 /mo · $2,982/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $210
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 Zeller St Greensburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 133 Oakland Ave Unit CARRIAGE HOUSE Greensburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 315 W Otterman St Fl Apartment Greensburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 33 Westminster Ave Unit Upper Greensburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $889 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 33 Westminster Ave Unit Lower Greensburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 102 Alderwood Dr Greensburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1392 | $2,550 | $1.83 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 439 Westminster Ave Unit 1 Greensburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $978 | $1.22 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 505 Westminster Ave Greensburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 112 College Ave Greensburg, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,825 | $1.59 | 1d | 6 | 1.17mi |
| 449 College Ave Greensburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $925 | $0.93 | 1d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 103 E Pittsburgh St Apt 3E Greensburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 288-char remark
-
2026-06-08$120,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,982 · $248/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,982 · $248/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$2,982
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,382
- − Management
- −$1,382
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $720
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$173
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,344/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hempfield Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211760
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,928
- Composite
- 49.01/100
- National rank
- #2066
- State rank
- #90 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hempfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Westmoreland County · 183,777 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,425
- Household income
- $78,555
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1209.0
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.23%
- Current HPI
- 177.4921
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.95%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+20.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $120,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2015-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2015-06-12 Price Changed $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 2015-06-11 Price Changed $95,000 West Penn MLS
- 2015-06-11 Sold (MLS) $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 2015-05-29 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2015-05-13 Price Changed $95,000 West Penn MLS
- 2015-04-10 Listed $99,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,982 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…