307 N Eleazar Ave · Kaplan, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$126,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy Cajun charm in the heart of Kaplan!This 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom brick home offers 1,398 sq ft of character, original hardwood floors, and an adorable mid-century kitchen and bathroom. Built over 50 years ago, it's filled with that warm, familiar feel you can only find in small-town Louisiana.Located within city limits, you're close to schools, shops, and all the conveniences of Kaplan living. Beautiful rose bushes frame the front yard, and a 2-car carport adds plenty of covered parking.Affordable at under $130,000, this sweet home is ready for its next chapter!
Key facts
- Rose bushes
- 2-car carport
- Mid-century bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $126k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (10.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $111k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.4% in Kaplan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#192 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Vermilion Parish (town): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #15 of 98 in LA (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 228 units permitted in Vermilion Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $874 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vermilion County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $126k implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.35%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $103,798
- List price
- $126,400
- Delta
- 21.78%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 N Foote Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (+10%) | 4mo | $142,400 | $91 | 69 |
| 112 N Wilson Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,523 (+7%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $118 | 61 |
| 804 N Louisiana Ave | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,264 (-12%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $87 | 50 |
| 413 W 3rd St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (-4%) | 12mo | $74,000 | $54 | 50 |
| 708 N Wilson Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-9%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $35 | 46 |
| 707 W Veterans Memorial Dr | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+12%) | 7mo | $149,900 | $94 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-12,362
- Equity at exit
- $18,847
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-439
- Equity at exit
- $10,929
Cash invested: $35,392 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70548
- Home prices YoY
- -32.8%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,136 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$663
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $645/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $200 | -5% $164 | +0% $128 | +5% $92 | +10% $57 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $38 | -5% $83 | +0% $128 | +5% $173 | +10% $218 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $192 | -0.5pp $160 | base $128 | +0.5pp $95 | +1.0pp $62 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,600
- Closing costs
- $3,792
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $126,400 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $126,400 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $126,400 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $126,400 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $126,400 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $126,400 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $126,400 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $126,400 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $126,400 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $126,400 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $126,400 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $126,400 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $126,400 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $126,400 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $126,400 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $126,900 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Cozy Cajun charm in the heart of Kaplan!This 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom brick home offers 1,398 sq ft of character, original hardwood floors, and an adorable mid-century kitchen and bathroom. Built over 50 years ago, it's filled with that warm, familiar feel you can only find in small-town Louisiana.Located within city limits, you're close to schools, shops, and all the conveniences of Kaplan living. Beautiful rose bushes frame the front yard, and a 2-car carport adds plenty of covered parking.Affordable at under $130,000, this sweet home is ready for its next chapter!
-
2026-03-30price $127,500 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Cozy Cajun charm in the heart of Kaplan!This 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom brick home offers 1,398 sq ft of character, original hardwood floors, and an adorable mid-century kitchen and bathroom. Built over 50 years ago, it's filled with that warm, familiar feel you can only find in small-town Louisiana.Located within city limits, you're close to schools, shops, and all the conveniences of Kaplan living. Beautiful rose bushes frame the front yard, and a 2-car carport adds plenty of covered parking.Affordable at under $130,000, this sweet home is ready for its next chapter!
-
2025-12-05$130,000 Active 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Cozy Cajun charm in the heart of Kaplan!This 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom brick home offers 1,398 sq ft of character, original hardwood floors, and an adorable mid-century kitchen and bathroom. Built over 50 years ago, it's filled with that warm, familiar feel you can only find in small-town Louisiana.Located within city limits, you're close to schools, shops, and all the conveniences of Kaplan living. Beautiful rose bushes frame the front yard, and a 2-car carport adds plenty of covered parking.Affordable at under $130,000, this sweet home is ready for its next chapter!
-
2012-08-02soldstatus $50,000 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
Spacious older home located in Kaplan's westside addition. Some minor updating could make this home your dream home.
-
2012-04-23$75,000 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
Spacious older home located in Kaplan's westside addition. Some minor updating could make this home your dream home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $645 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $695 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$51/yr (+$4/mo · 7.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,633
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,080
- − Property taxes
- −$645
- − Insurance
- −$632
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,091
- − Management
- −$1,091
- − Depreciation
- −$3,677
- Taxable loss
- −$583
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$140
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vermilion Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201800
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,115
- Composite
- 39.37/100
- National rank
- #3974
- State rank
- #15 of 98 in LA
Livability — Kaplan
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #15267
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kaplan, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,077
Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,095 people
- By 2030
- 65,915 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 68,985 · +7.6%
- By 2050
- 70,804 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 73,897 · +15.3%
- By 2100
- 71,793 · +12.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 3% Pacific Islander 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18% Estonian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.8) · D 17.6% · R 81.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.3pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -63.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.8 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+59.6 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.08%
- Current HPI
- 104.662
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+69.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $126,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $127,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2012-08-02 Sold (MLS) $50,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2012-04-23 Listed $75,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $645 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…