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403 W Kelsey St
B+ Composite 76.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

403 W Kelsey St · Bloomington, IL 61701
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,468 sqft · SingleFamily · 15 Days on market
Built 1910 5,500 sqft lot Est $178k · 18% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fantastic investment opportunity! This 1.5 Story home has so much potential . Upon entry you will find a super cozy Enclosed Porch ~ perfect for peaceful evenings or morning coffee relaxation time. The Main Floor has a good sized Living Room, Open Dining , Large expansive Kitchen with plentiful Counters and Cabinetry , Full Bath, and 2 Main Floor Bedrooms. The Upper level has the 3rd Bedroom plus an additional "other room" that would make a fabulous play room or office . The Lower Level has 3 finished areas, a Family Room currently utilized as Train Room Central , an Office Area, a Storage Area , and Large Laundry area. House Roof has been recently replaced .

Key facts

  • Large laundry area
  • Family room
  • Office area

Tags

ENCLOSED PORCHLARGE EXPANSIVE KITCHENFAMILY ROOMOFFICE AREASTORAGE AREALARGE LAUNDRY AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (owned) — 1 garage space, 1 total parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Over 100 years old; Not rebuilt or recently rehabbed
  • Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Below-grade finished area and additional unfinished basement space; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 110 x 50; Lot less than 0.25 acre; School bus service

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eating area / table space; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main and second levels
  • Flooring: Carpet in living room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Separate dining room; Partially finished, crawl space and full basement; Estimated total finished living area about 2,310 (includes below-grade finished area)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement; Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $711 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.4% in Bloomington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#161 in IL, #2,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
  • Bloomington SD 87 (urban): math 14% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #476 of 620 in IL (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bent Elem School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,627 of 2,056 statewide, top 81%, 374 students, 0% FRL); Bloomington Jr High School (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #493 of 665 statewide, top 75%, 1,006 students, 0% FRL); Bloomington High School (math 27% / reading 33%, grade F, #179 of 693 statewide, top 27%, 1,503 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 247 units permitted in McLean County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,217/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 1493% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $142,726 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.18%
Cash-on-cash
21.04%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$177,696
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1002 N Roosevelt Ave 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,222 (-10%) 4mo $160,000 $72 51
1205 N Clinton Blvd 0.74mi 3/1.5 2,520 (+2%) 11mo $210,000 $83 51
1216 N Oak St 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,754 (+12%) 11mo $185,000 $67 49
413 Phoenix Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 2,682 (+9%) 8mo $172,000 $64 49
601 W Chestnut St 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,400 (-3%) 13mo $169,000 $70 48
1411 Fell Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 2,160 (-12%) 7mo $250,000 $116 45
910 N Madison St 0.50mi 3/2.0 2,125 (-14%) 5mo $70,000 $33 45
502 E Emerson St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 2,288 (-7%) 13mo $155,500 $68 45
1408 Fell Ave 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,808 (+14%) 1mo $300,000 $107 41
1404 Fell Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 2,130 (-14%) 10mo $215,000 $101 38
602 N Lee St 0.75mi 4/1.0 (+1) 2,700 (+9%) 9mo $155,000 $57 37
711 Ohara St 0.51mi 3/2.0 2,100 (-15%) 14mo $225,000 $107 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$27,830
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
3.68×
Total profit
$108,556
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61701

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,217 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$220 /mo · $2,639/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$466
Net cashflow
$711

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,317
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $793 -5% $752 +0% $711 +5% $670 +10% $629
Rent -10% $536 -5% $624 +0% $711 +5% $799 +10% $886
Rate -1.0pp $784 -0.5pp $748 base $711 +0.5pp $674 +1.0pp $636

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1102 N Madison St Bloomington, IL 3.0 2.0 1603 $1,950 $1.22 22d 1 0.36mi
501 E Emerson St Bloomington, IL 3.0 1.5 2825 $2,500 $0.88 45d 1 0.56mi
1 Uptown Cir Normal, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1564 $4,750 $3.04 45d 4 1.22mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $144,900 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $144,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $144,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $144,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-05-25
    status Active
  8. 2026-05-25
    price $144,900
  9. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  10. 2026-04-26
    listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,639 · $220/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,964 · $247/mo
Expected delta
+$325/yr (+$27/mo · 12.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,605
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$2,639
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,128
− Management
−$2,128
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable income
$6,652
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,597
After-tax cash flow
$6,939/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bloomington SD 87
NCES district ID
1706480
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,544
Composite
15.05/100
National rank
#9351
State rank
#476 of 620 in IL

Livability — Bloomington

Score
77/100
State rank
#161
US rank
#2987

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bloomington, IL
County
McLean County · 126,490 people
City population
72,415
Metro
Bloomington, IL
Population (ZIP)
35,136
Household income
$57,130
Rent vs Own
43.3% rent · 56.7% own
Severe rent burden
1493.0

Population outlook (McLean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
176,468 people
By 2030
178,002 · +0.9%
By 2040
178,592 · +1.2%
By 2050
177,090 · +0.4%
By 2075
173,224 · -1.8%
By 2100
158,425 · -10.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McLean

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 46.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.7pp toward D · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: 4.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.9 2020: D+3.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+11.1 2008: D+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.13%
Current HPI
172.3659
Rent YoY
▲ 5.60%
Metro
Bloomington, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-25 Price Changed $144,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,639 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…