Triplex
2310 Avenue T · Lubbock, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
2 duplexes plus a rear unit, all are 2-bedroom 1-bath units
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 153 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-187 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-62/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (14.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $192k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,323/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 777% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $225k implies a 246% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.57%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-50,630
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.09×
- Total profit
- $-68,554
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79411
- Home prices YoY
- -10.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 24.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,323 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$321 /mo · $3,858/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$488
- Net cashflow
- $-187
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $2,322 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $774 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $774 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $774 |
| Total (3 units) | $2,323 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 23rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1615 | $1,249 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1904 24th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2118 24th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1435 | $1,000 | $0.70 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2119 25th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2113 22nd St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $850 | $0.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1915 26th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1221 | $1,100 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1920 27th St Unit 1 Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1901 26th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $950 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1912 21st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1473 | $1,025 | $0.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2115 27th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $875 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2109 20th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1391 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1912 20th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,000 | $0.63 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2124 20th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,150 | $0.78 | 13d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2201 28th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $995 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1610 28th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $750 | $0.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1922 18th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2220 29th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2032 | $1,300 | $0.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2403 22nd Pl Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $900 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2404 25th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,395 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1517 25th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1514 | $1,095 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2123 18th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $949 | $0.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2402 21st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1453 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2106 32nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1398 | $925 | $0.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2106 32nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1398 | $695 | $0.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2003 32nd St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,150 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2119 32nd St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1055 | $950 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2122 16th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $1,025 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2119 15th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2103 33rd St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $700 | $0.65 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2416 30th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1746 | $1,425 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2220 16th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,300 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2420 30th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2211 33rd St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1293 | $1,200 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2511 23rd St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1626 Avenue Y Unit 3 Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $850 | $0.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2516 21st St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $1,125 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1919 34th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $1,100 | $0.75 | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2430 31st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1592 | $1,450 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2606 26th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,395 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2620 25th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1282 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $225,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $225,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $225,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-01-16$225,000 Active 59-char remark
Show marketing remark (59 chars)
2 duplexes plus a rear unit, all are 2-bedroom 1-bath units
-
2024-04-08soldstatus $65,000
-
1986-02-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,858 · $321/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,118 · $343/mo
- Expected delta
- +$260/yr (+$22/mo · 6.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,876
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,858
- − Insurance
- −$6,244
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,230
- − Management
- −$2,230
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$5,834
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,400
- After-tax cash flow
- $-838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lubbock ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828500
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,820
- Composite
- 31.44/100
- National rank
- #5984
- State rank
- #481 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lubbock
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #1749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lubbock, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 283,030
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,865
- Household income
- $47,634
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 777.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 39% Two or more races 10% Black 9% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 37% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 35%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.58%
- Current HPI
- 210.495
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.87%
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+246.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Listed $225,000 LARMLS
- 2024-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1986-02-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,858 · -14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…