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15893 Alden St
D Composite 43.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,000

15893 Alden St · Detroit, MI 48238
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 836 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1921 3,049 sqft lot $29/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special on Detroit's west side! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers solid potential for investors or buyers looking for their next rehab project. Features an unfinished attic space that may be able to be finished to create an additional bedroom or expanded living area - buyer to verify all possibilities and measurements. Property offers a functional layout, basement, and fenced yard. Great opportunity to add value and build equity at an attractive price point.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Functional layout
  • 3,049 sq ft lot

Tags

UNFINISHED ATTIC SPACEFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTFENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax: $1,231

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Built area above grade: 836 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 30 x 100.1 (0.07 acres); Subdivision: FORD VIEW; Directions: South of Puritan Ave and East of Livernois; cross street Puritan Ave and Livernois

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $701 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 41.3% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Paul Robeson Malcolm X Academy (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 395 students, 88% FRL); Mumford High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 889 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools at 87% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 350 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $166 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $720 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $23,640 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.57%
Cap rate
41.35%
Cash-on-cash
125.19%
DSCR
6.57
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$53,200
List price
$24,000
Delta
-54.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15893 Alden St 0.00mi 2/1.5 836 (0%) 1mo $24,000 $29 97
15798 Muirland St 0.16mi 2/1.0 943 (+13%) 1mo $29,000 $31 70
15721 Log Cabin St 0.48mi 2/1.0 844 (+1%) 11mo $23,000 $27 67
6362 Globe St 0.58mi 2/1.0 888 (+6%) 0mo $15,000 $17 62
15488 Wildemere St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 949 (+14%) 1mo $49,900 $53 60
16200 Lawton St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 956 (+14%) 4mo $56,500 $59 60
15865 Princeton St 0.10mi 2/1.0 714 (-15%) 16mo $59,000 $83 57
1952 Louise St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 882 (+6%) 2mo $33,000 $37 56
16230 Santa Rosa Dr 0.62mi 2/1.0 895 (+7%) 10mo $120,000 $134 50
14890 Holmur St 0.69mi 2/1.0 779 (-7%) 10mo $40,598 $52 48
1983 Brighton St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 921 (+10%) 5mo $40,000 $43 45
1931 Pilgrim St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 931 (+11%) 13mo $65,000 $70 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.60×
Total profit
$44,354
Equity at exit
$3,578
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.64×
Total profit
$111,837
Equity at exit
$2,075

Cash invested: $6,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48238

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
350
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,097 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$126
Tax est. 1.5%
$30 /mo · $360/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$701

Break-even live

Break-even rent $210
Max offer price $24,000
Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $718 -5% $709 +0% $701 +5% $693 +10% $684
Rent -10% $614 -5% $658 +0% $701 +5% $744 +10% $788
Rate -1.0pp $713 -0.5pp $707 base $701 +0.5pp $695 +1.0pp $689

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,000
Closing costs
$720
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15906 Alden St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,150 $1.12 19d 1 0.04mi
16174 Princeton St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 985 $1,100 $1.12 46d 1 0.20mi
16174 Princeton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 985 $1,100 $1.12 21d 1 0.20mi
2623 W McNichols Rd Unit 23106 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $1,075 $1.43 46d 1 0.57mi
16927 Inverness St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 897 $1,650 $1.84 19d 1 0.67mi
7350 Globe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 5d 1 0.71mi
14950 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $900 $1.50 26d 1 0.80mi
17215 Warrington Dr Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1015 $2,000 $1.97 46d 1 0.82mi
17150 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 19d 1 0.86mi
1705 Oakman Blvd Unit 8 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $950 $1.46 0d 1 0.87mi
1705 Oakman Blvd Unit 10 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $895 $1.38 26d 1 0.87mi
1705 Oakman Blvd Unit 5 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $895 $1.38 46d 1 0.87mi
17145 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 20d 1 0.88mi
1875 Ewald Cir Unit 2E Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 725 $875 $1.21 7d 1 0.91mi
15771 Turner St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 46d 1 0.92mi
17147 Monica St Unit 2 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $975 $1.08 26d 1 0.92mi
16722 Tuller St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 19d 1 0.97mi
2034 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $995 $0.99 7d 1 0.97mi
941 Merton Rd Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 46d 1 1.02mi
2433 Pasadena St Unit 2435 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 46d 1 1.03mi
17449 Manderson Rd Unit 13 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $1,010 $1.44 0d 1 1.03mi
17449 Manderson Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 22d 1 1.03mi
17449 Manderson Rd Unit 3 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 5d 1 1.03mi
17449 Manderson Rd Unit 3 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $1,015 $1.45 26d 1 1.03mi
17449 Manderson Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 26d 1 1.03mi
17449 Manderson Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 26d 1 1.03mi
17461 Manderson Rd Unit 5 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $1,015 $1.45 24d 1 1.03mi
17497 Manderson Rd Unit 18A Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $91,015 $130.02 24d 1 1.04mi
17497 Manderson Rd Unit 17 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $1,015 $1.45 24d 1 1.04mi
17497 Manderson Rd Unit 17A Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $1,015 $1.45 26d 1 1.04mi
3808 Kendall St Unit 3 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $700 $1.27 46d 1 1.06mi
17551 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1036 $1,095 $1.06 46d 1 1.08mi
13639 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $775 $0.97 46d 1 1.08mi
13639 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $695 $0.87 13d 1 1.08mi
13641 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $775 $0.97 26d 1 1.08mi
3266 Pasadena St Unit 3 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 696 $700 $1.01 46d 1 1.10mi
17701 Manderson Rd Unit 202 Highland Park, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 46d 1 1.11mi
17701 Manderson Rd Apt 203 Highland Park, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 0d 1 1.11mi
17701 Manderson Rd Unit 104 Highland Park, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 46d 1 1.11mi
17701 MANDERSON Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 19d 9 1.11mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    listed $24,000 Active 482-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    Investor special on Detroit's west side! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers solid potential for investors or buyers looking for their next rehab project. Features an unfinished attic space that may be able to be finished to create an additional bedroom or expanded living area - buyer to verify all possibilities and measurements. Property offers a functional layout, basement, and fenced yard. Great opportunity to add value and build equity at an attractive price point.

  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $24,000 Active 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    Investor special on Detroit's west side! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers solid potential for investors or buyers looking for their next rehab project. Features an unfinished attic space that may be able to be finished to create an additional bedroom or expanded living area - buyer to verify all possibilities and measurements. Property offers a functional layout, basement, and fenced yard. Great opportunity to add value and build equity at an attractive price point.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,168
− Mortgage interest
−$1,344
− Property taxes
−$360
− Insurance
−$120
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,053
− Management
−$1,053
− Depreciation
−$698
Taxable income
$8,539
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,049
After-tax cash flow
$6,363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,731
Household income
$33,315
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.96%
Current HPI
189.6227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $24,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $24,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $24,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $24,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+23.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,473 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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