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2410 Netherwood Dr
A- Composite 81.56
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$85,100

2410 Netherwood Dr · Moline Acres, MO 63136
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1957 7,501 sqft lot Est $106k · 19% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential with minimal work required. The property features spacious rooms, a functional layout, and a solid foundation, complemented by beautiful hardwood floors throughout. Well-maintained and ready for your finishing touch. This home provides an excellent opportunity to add modern touches and enhance its overall appeal. The home also features a partially finished basement, providing additional living space and ample storage. This HUD home is sold “As Is” and is managed exclusively by Olympusams under an Exclusive Agency. To place a bid, visit www. HudHomeStore. gov or www. olympusams-at.com and enter case #292-506717. An activ

Key facts

  • 7,501 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1957

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#480 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Danforth Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 271 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,994 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
12.70%
Cash-on-cash
22.87%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$105,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2410 Netherwood Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,320 (0%) 1mo $85,100 $64 99
2568 Dorwood Dr 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,336 (+1%) 4mo $105,000 $79 65
9435 Eastchester Dr 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,195 (-10%) 2mo $55,500 $46 58
8871 Boyce Pl 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-5%) 4mo $149,900 $120 54
9732 Cambria Dr 0.46mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,434 (+9%) 2mo $114,900 $80 54
9737 Wendell Dr 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,183 (-10%) 4mo $60,000 $51 52
2506 Shannonaire Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,450 (+10%) 2mo $160,000 $110 52
2035 Sun Valley Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,170 (-11%) 4mo $68,900 $59 50
9279 Dell Ct 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,195 (-10%) 4mo $150,000 $126 47
1118 Dunford Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,195 (-10%) 6mo $139,900 $117 46
2225 Kerwin Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,135 (-14%) 2mo $135,900 $120 46
9922 Lanier Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,159 (-12%) 5mo $85,000 $73 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$45,583
Equity at exit
$42,106
10-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
6.11×
Total profit
$121,847
Equity at exit
$68,051

Cash invested: $23,828 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,363 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$141 /mo · $1,692/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$454

Break-even live

Break-even rent $788
Max offer price $85,100
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,275
Closing costs
$2,553
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,450 $1.43 7d 1 0.43mi
1225 Newark Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 944 $1,400 $1.48 3d 1 0.49mi
9418 Pattonwood Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 982 $1,500 $1.53 23d 1 0.52mi
9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,345 $1.33 43d 1 0.54mi
2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.5 1030 $1,100 $1.07 43d 1 0.59mi
9908 Norbridge Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1240 $1,650 $1.33 19d 1 0.74mi
8883 Saint Cyr Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1632 $1,200 $0.74 43d 1 0.75mi
2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 975 $1,320 $1.35 23d 1 0.80mi
1130 Forest Home Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,275 $1.24 43d 1 0.90mi
2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,050 $0.99 23d 1 0.92mi
44 Jendale Ct Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1820 $1,350 $0.74 23d 1 0.92mi
2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 949 $1,195 $1.26 23d 1 0.94mi
2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 23d 1 0.95mi
7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 894 $1,200 $1.34 17d 1 1.01mi
956 Fontaine Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1192 $1,400 $1.17 23d 1 1.02mi
8817 Shady Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1085 $1,075 $0.99 23d 1 1.11mi
1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,575 $1.47 10d 1 1.12mi
10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 882 $775 $0.88 43d 1 1.12mi
10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1016 $900 $0.89 43d 1 1.14mi
9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 43d 1 1.22mi
9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,495 $1.00 22d 1 1.25mi
8720 Akins Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,150 $1.14 23d 1 1.26mi
9517 West Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 43d 1 1.28mi
1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1062 $1,200 $1.13 23d 1 1.28mi
1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1095 $995 $0.91 14d 1 1.33mi
9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 923 $985 $1.07 23d 1 1.35mi
2415 Shirley Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 990 $1,450 $1.46 23d 1 1.36mi
2022 McLaran Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1181 $1,593 $1.35 14d 1 1.37mi
10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 912 $1,250 $1.37 23d 1 1.39mi
2427 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,300 $1.29 43d 1 1.43mi
1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 905 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 1.43mi
10200 Tappan Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,450 $1.59 16d 1 1.43mi
10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,325 $1.47 7d 1 1.43mi
10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,728 $1.61 23d 1 1.45mi
2527 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,135 $1.28 16d 1 1.47mi
8824 Huiskamp Ave Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1548 $1,200 $0.78 23d 1 1.49mi
8527 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 976 $1,295 $1.33 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-03-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-02
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-02
    price $85,100
  4. 2025-12-31
    listed $92,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,692 · $141/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,692 · $141/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,357
− Mortgage interest
−$4,767
− Property taxes
−$1,692
− Insurance
−$426
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,309
− Management
−$1,309
− Depreciation
−$2,476
Taxable income
$4,380
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,051
After-tax cash flow
$4,398/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Riverview Gardens
NCES district ID
2926670
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,759
Composite
4.22/100
National rank
#10058
State rank
#324 of 324 in MO

Livability — Moline Acres

Score
60/100
State rank
#480
US rank
#18899

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $85,100 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-31 Listed $92,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,692 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…