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909 Nashville Rd
C Composite 57.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

909 Nashville Rd · Rocky Mount, NC 27803
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,185 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 164 Days on market
Built 1910 10,454 sqft lot Est $87k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Excellent investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently tenant occupied and generating $850 per month in rental income. The property features both an attached 1-car carport and a detached 1-car carport, providing ample covered parking. Additional highlights include low-maintenance vinyl siding and a covered front porch, perfect for relaxing. A great addition to an investment portfolio with immediate cash flow in place.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Tenant occupied
  • Attached carport

Tags

TENANT OCCUPIEDRENTAL INCOMEATTACHED CARPORTDETACHED CARPORTVINYL SIDINGCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned residential
  • Financial info: No financial details provided
  • HOA & community: Not in a subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: On-site parking; 2-space carport
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built on crawl space
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Chain link fence around backyard

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heat pump
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space basement; Has a view
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Nash-Rocky Mount Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #155 of 178 in NC (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Williford Elementary (201 students, 98% FRL); G R Edwards Middle (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #388 of 475 statewide, top 83%, 410 students, 88% FRL); Rocky Mount High (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #449 of 535 statewide, top 85%, 1,072 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 59% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 500 units permitted in Nash County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nash County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
10.21%
Cash-on-cash
13.98%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$86,505
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1642 W Raleigh Blvd 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,170 (-1%) 9mo $158,000 $135 78
902 Nashville Rd 0.03mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,293 (+9%) 0mo $57,900 $45 76
1201 York St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,243 (+5%) 2mo $91,000 $73 75
623 Henry St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,188 (+0%) 4mo $21,000 $18 71
605 Dexter St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+3%) 2mo $65,000 $53 68
625 Powell Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,212 (+2%) 1mo $148,500 $123 60
1220 Neal St 0.30mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,342 (+13%) 1mo $149,000 $111 58
414 Dexter St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,154 (-3%) 8mo $62,500 $54 55
513 Mullins St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-11%) 4mo $103,000 $98 52
733 Cedarbrook Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,322 (+12%) 2mo $84,000 $64 45
736 Cedarbrook Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (+6%) 8mo $168,500 $134 40
625 W Raleigh Blvd 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,332 (+12%) 7mo $30,000 $23 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$8,999
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$55,139
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27803

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,383 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $273/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$391

Break-even live

Break-even rent $888
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $459 -5% $425 +0% $391 +5% $357 +10% $323
Rent -10% $282 -5% $336 +0% $391 +5% $446 +10% $500
Rate -1.0pp $451 -0.5pp $422 base $391 +0.5pp $360 +1.0pp $328

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Active 164 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,900 Active 162 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 161 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 160 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 159 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 158 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 156 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 155 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 153 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 152 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 151 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 150 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 146 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 145 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 144 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 143 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 142 DOM
  18. 2026-01-08
    listed $119,900 Active
  19. 2025-05-06
    historical
  20. 2025-03-27
    price $119,900
  21. 2025-03-03
    listed $129,900 Active
  22. 2023-06-15
    listed $79,900 Active
  23. 2014-01-10
    soldstatus $301,500
  24. 2014-01-09
    soldstatus $22,000
  25. 2012-08-06
    listed $25,000
  26. 2012-08-01
    historical
  27. 2010-07-20
    listed $39,900
  28. 1997-09-09
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$273 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$983 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$710/yr (+$59/mo · 259.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,596
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$273
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,328
− Management
−$1,328
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$2,863
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$687
After-tax cash flow
$4,005/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nash-Rocky Mount Schools
NCES district ID
3703270
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$41,553
Composite
22.04/100
National rank
#8198
State rank
#155 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rocky Mount

Score
70/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#7692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rocky Mount, NC
County
Nash County · 50,768 people
City population
70,300
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
20,055
Household income
$60,124
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
641.0

Population outlook (Nash County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
91,107 people
By 2030
89,193 · -2.1%
By 2040
84,959 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,517 · -11.6%
By 2075
72,941 · -19.9%
By 2100
63,602 · -30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 44% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nash

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+0.2 2012: D+0.9 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.95%
Current HPI
190.0204
Rent YoY
▲ 5.51%
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+274.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $119,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-05-06 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-03-27 Price Changed $119,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-03-03 Listed $129,900 Hive MLS
  • 2023-06-15 Listed $79,900 Hive MLS
  • 2014-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $301,500 Public Records
  • 2014-01-09 Sold (MLS) $22,000 Hive MLS
  • 2012-08-06 Listed $25,000 Hive MLS
  • 2012-08-01 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2010-07-20 Listed $39,900 Hive MLS
  • 1997-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $273 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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