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262 L 39 Shetucket Tpke
D+ Composite 47.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

262 L 39 Shetucket Tpke · Griswold, CT 06351
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · SingleFamily · 10 Days on market
Built 2003 Fair condition 2,178 sqft lot $262/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If your looking for a place on Pachaug Pond, then here it is, has one bedroom and enclosed screened in porch, for more company to come and stay. Water view right out the front door, just walk to your dock and get on your boat to enjoy the Pond. 2 bath houses and 2 beaches, 2 gazebos and laundry on site to use to. Close to Button woods ice cream, Mystic, RI, EB, state forest to go on walks, Foxwoods Casino, Mohegan Casino. Come and see today.

Key facts

  • 2 gazebos
  • Dock
  • 2 beaches

Tags

WATER VIEWENCLOSED SCREENED IN PORCHDOCK2 BATH HOUSES2 BEACHES2 GAZEBOS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property managed by a professional off-site management company
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA fee is $262 per month; Association amenities include clubhouse, lake/beach access, water, sewer, and property management

Exterior

  • Utilities: Shared well water; Gas heating
  • Home design: Single-family home; Seasonal property; Located in a gated community; Direct waterfront
  • Construction: White exterior color; Other construction; No foundation listed
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Screened porch; Enclosed porch; Porch; Level lot; Open lot; Pond and walk-to-water access; Beach access; Dock or mooring; Water views; Seasonal access; Association access to water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($613/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Griswold School District (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #111 of 153 in CT (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Griswold Elementary School (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #376 of 553 statewide, top 68%, 691 students, 52% FRL); Griswold High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #107 of 194 statewide, top 56%, 533 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 31% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
6.94%
Cash-on-cash
2.31%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-11,943
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-5,479
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06351

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,227 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$262
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$51

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,162
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$262 · $3,144/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $94,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 445-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $94,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,718
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$1,424
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,177
− Management
−$1,177
− HOA
−$3,144
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable loss
−$755
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$181
After-tax cash flow
$795/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home has fair condition with moderate rehab needed. Updates to the kitchen and interior walls would significantly increase its resale value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — slight wear
  • Minor landscaping — simple landscaping

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen
  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Rental landscaping — improved landscaping attracts renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
landscaping · simple landscaping Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen
  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Rental landscaping — improved landscaping attracts renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Griswold School District
NCES district ID
0901740
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$59,711
Composite
31.64/100
National rank
#5932
State rank
#111 of 153 in CT

Livability — Griswold

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
15,697

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Romanian 10% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
All cycles
2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.06%
Current HPI
227.571
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $94,900 Smart MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…