262 L 39 Shetucket Tpke · Griswold, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
If your looking for a place on Pachaug Pond, then here it is, has one bedroom and enclosed screened in porch, for more company to come and stay. Water view right out the front door, just walk to your dock and get on your boat to enjoy the Pond. 2 bath houses and 2 beaches, 2 gazebos and laundry on site to use to. Close to Button woods ice cream, Mystic, RI, EB, state forest to go on walks, Foxwoods Casino, Mohegan Casino. Come and see today.
Key facts
- 2 gazebos
- Dock
- 2 beaches
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property managed by a professional off-site management company
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA fee is $262 per month; Association amenities include clubhouse, lake/beach access, water, sewer, and property management
Exterior
- Utilities: Shared well water; Gas heating
- Home design: Single-family home; Seasonal property; Located in a gated community; Direct waterfront
- Construction: White exterior color; Other construction; No foundation listed
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Screened porch; Enclosed porch; Porch; Level lot; Open lot; Pond and walk-to-water access; Beach access; Dock or mooring; Water views; Seasonal access; Association access to water
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($613/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Griswold School District (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #111 of 153 in CT (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Griswold Elementary School (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #376 of 553 statewide, top 68%, 691 students, 52% FRL); Griswold High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #107 of 194 statewide, top 56%, 533 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 31% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.31%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-11,943
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-5,479
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06351
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,227 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$262
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $51
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $262 · $3,144/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $94,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 445-char remark
-
2026-06-09$94,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,718
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,424
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,177
- − Management
- −$1,177
- − HOA
- −$3,144
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable loss
- −$755
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$181
- After-tax cash flow
- $795/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home has fair condition with moderate rehab needed. Updates to the kitchen and interior walls would significantly increase its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor bathroom fixtures — slight wear
- Minor landscaping — simple landscaping
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Rental landscaping — improved landscaping attracts renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · simple landscaping | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen ↑
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental landscaping — improved landscaping attracts renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Griswold School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901740
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,711
- Composite
- 31.64/100
- National rank
- #5932
- State rank
- #111 of 153 in CT
Livability — Griswold
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,697
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Romanian 10% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.06%
- Current HPI
- 227.571
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $94,900 Smart MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…