617 Ruth St · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,970 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Listed 56 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Garage (faces front); 1 garage space; 1-car carport; Driveway
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Public sewer; Public water
- Home design: Residential single-family home; Located in Bon Air/Rickarby subdivision
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Fenced yard; View available
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Cabinetry
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crown molding; Accessible bedroom; Accessible doors; Separate dining room; Breakfast bar and additional cabinetry
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Dr Robert W Gilliard Elementary (math 8% / reading 23%, grade F, #503 of 627 statewide, top 80%, 780 students, 94% FRL); Lillie B Williamson High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #273 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 956 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 67% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $70k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.10%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $58,937
- List price
- $99,500
- Delta
- 68.82%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 Dauphin Island Pkwy | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,159 (-6%) | 3mo | $40,500 | $35 | 76 |
| 710 Euclid Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,222 (-1%) | 4mo | $139,000 | $114 | 67 |
| 1805 Woodcock Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,233 (-0%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $158 | 65 |
| 1801 Woodcock Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,253 (+2%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $156 | 62 |
| 1809 Woodcock Pl | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,210 (-2%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $161 | 62 |
| 210 Houston St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,182 (-4%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $131 | 60 |
| 1457 Houston St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,216 (-2%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $45 | 57 |
| 603 Glenwood St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+14%) | 4mo | $137,000 | $98 | 56 |
| 2258 Howell Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,264 (+2%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $115 | 56 |
| 553 Weinacker Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,058 (-14%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $113 | 48 |
| 616 Morgan Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,150 (-7%) | 3mo | $42,000 | $37 | 48 |
| 1709 Belfast St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,078 (-13%) | 4mo | $31,250 | $29 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $13,302
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $57,454
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36606
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,279 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $320/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $420
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611 Dauphin Island Pkwy Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 706 Cherokee St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,375 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 562 Clarke St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,025 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 618 Clarke St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1427 | $1,200 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 615 Mohawk St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2008 W Victory Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 728 Bankhead Pl Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $675 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 400 Westwood St Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,005 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 767 Jemison St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $750 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 209 S Fulton St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1255 | $1,750 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 182 Williams St Unit 1043570P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1399 | $2,476 | $1.77 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 817 Hawkins St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1217 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 122 Demouy Ave Unit 1/2 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,530 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 900 Courtney St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 250 Tuttle Ave Unit B Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,100 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2503 Richard Ave Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $805 | $0.87 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 104 Ellinor St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2500 Taylor Ave Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,195 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1704 McGill Ave Unit B Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2507 Taylor Ave Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2656 Pathway Pl Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $949 | $1.22 | 13d | 9 | 1.18mi |
| 1417 Monroe St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 418 Durande Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,350 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 84 S Lafayette St Unit 1043577P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,116 | $2.08 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 200 S Florida St Unit 101 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,375 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1204 Seneca St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,345 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 111 S Catherine St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $899 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 955 Cloverdale Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $1,125 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 207 Michigan Ave Unit 3 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $795 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 207 Michigan Ave Unit 3 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $795 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 12 S Catherine St Unit 2 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $725 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2425 Nortons Ln Unit C Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2425 Nortons Ln Unit D Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1566 Dauphin St Unit Back Carriage House Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 461 Magnolia Rd Unit A Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $825 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 957 Navco Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 812 | $850 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$99,500 Active 289-char remark
-
2007-10-09soldstatus $70,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $320 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $408 · $34/mo
- Expected delta
- +$88/yr (+$7/mo · 27.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,344
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$320
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,227
- − Management
- −$1,227
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $3,603
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$865
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,178/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,728
- Household income
- $51,303
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 999.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% White 37% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -232.19%
- Current HPI
- 145.9025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.06%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+41.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $99,500 GCMLS AL
- 2007-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $70,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $320 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…